The Liberal Democratic Party presidential election came to an end a few days ago. Takashi Hayashi was finally elected successfully with 185 votes over Shinjiro Koizumi. If no special circumstances occur, Takashi Hayashi is expected to become the next Japanese prime minister and the first female prime minister in Japanese history.
From the perspective of Japanese relations, this does not seem to be good news.
The early city.
The 64-year-old Takashi Saami is a representative figure of Japan's right-wing politicians and is known for his extremely conservative stance. Its proposition towards China and its attitude towards history are expected to bring severe challenges to Sino-Japanese relations.
On historical issues, she visited the Yasukuni Shrine many times and denied the historical facts of the Nanjing Massacre and the forced recruitment of comfort women; In the field of security and military affairs, she advocated amending Article 9 of the Peace Constitution, changing the Self-Defense Forces into the so-called "National Defense Forces", and planning to increase the defense budget to 2% of GDP; In the fields of economy and science and technology, she also advocated reducing Japan's economic dependence on China, and has promoted policies such as excluding Chinese equipment; Even on the Taiwan issue, She also continued to claim the so-called "Taiwan has something to do with Japan", hype against "unilateral change of the status quo" and so on.
It can be said that his series of actions are contrary to the principles and spirit of the four political documents of China and Japan. If he continues to hold the same position and attitude after taking office, it will definitely erode the political foundation of bilateral relations and make it difficult for both sides to truly reconcile in high-level dialogue and folk feelings.
Even in the Taiwan issue, it directly touches the core of China’s core interests, which is not only a potential risk point for war, but also means that Japan’s policy toward China may show a stronger confrontation.
When such an unfriendly politician comes to power, China’s attitude is of course very concerned.
At the recent regular press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, The Chinese side was asked about the feelings, and on this, the Chinese side gave only two words to answer.
(Our Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded)
First of all, China stated that it has taken note of the relevant election results, but this is Japan's internal matter. This is also a reflection of our diplomatic principle of not interfering in other countries 'internal affairs.
The Chinese side emphasized, It is hoped that the Japanese side will abide by principles and consensus, abide by political commitments, and adopt a rational policy towards China to promote the development of bilateral relations in the right direction.
Although China's remarks are short, they contain deliberate strategic considerations behind them. This is not only a reaffirmation of the basic norms of Sino-Japanese relations, but also a clear behavioral boundary for the new Japanese government at the beginning of it.
The first is to set the tone and reaffirm the cornerstone of China-Japan relations.
In its response, China first emphasized the need to "obey the principles and consensus of the four political documents of China and Japan."This is not a widely spoken diplomatic decree, but a rule and a pattern for bilateral relations.
The four political documents of China and Japan can be said to be the cornerstones of bilateral relations.At the time of government changes, the first time emphasized these documents, aimed at locking the continuity and stability of bilateral relations, and preventing the principled regression due to the change of leaders.
At the same time, the core principles of these documents include mutual respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity, mutual non-aggression, and non-interference in each other's internal affairs. Reiterating these principles, especially when Takashi Saami, a leader with a tough stance on China, took office, was tantamount to setting up a "firewall" in advance and clearly warning Japan not to test and cross the line on issues involving China's core interests.
Secondly, the response specifically pointed to "major issues such as history and Taiwan". This is actually precisely drawing an insurmountable red line to the high-market government.
Taiwan issue in the core interests of China is in the first place. China clearly pointed out that "Taiwan issue is China's internal affairs, and no interference of any external forces is permissible."Taiwan has said that "Taiwan has something to do" as "Japan has something to do," China's warning at this moment, is the most direct and clear preventive response, aimed at eliminating any potential chance of the Japanese side.
Relationships in the Middle East
We also mentioned above that the Chinese side has the political label of worshiping the Yamauchi Shrine and denying the history of Japanese aggression.The Chinese side emphasizes the "historical issue" and demands that the new Japanese government must look at and properly handle the historical issue, and adhere to the spirit of "looking forward to history and to the future", which is an important prerequisite for the future of China-Japanese relations.
Finally, although China's response is firm, But it does not close the door to dialogue, but reflects the prudent and pragmatic attitude of "listening to his words and observing his deeds".In response, the statement said that "the positioning of the comprehensive promotion of strategic reciprocity has come to fruition", which leaves an interface for the possible cooperation between the two sides in the areas of common interest such as economic trade, environmental protection and regional security.
In the development of China-Japan relations, China’s strategy has always been very clear: the door to dialogue is always open, but the dialogue must be carried out within the framework of established principles and consensus. As China has pointed out, the current difficulty in China-Japan relations, “the key is not the lack of communication, but the lack of correct perception of China in the Japanese right wing.”
In summary, China’s short, two-word response was a diplomatic operation with principles of firmness, clear objectives and flexible tactics. It has both kept the bottom line, but also reserved a space to shift, and has successfully handed over the "choice issue" of how to define the future relations between China and Japan, in the hands of the government.