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China's attitude towards Taiwan has changed now. Can China win Taiwan before the Russia-Ukraine War ends?
China's attitude towards Taiwan has changed now. Can China capture Taiwan before the end of the Russia-Ukraine war? Let's put it this way, the key to the liberation of Taiwan Province is not estimated in time, and we are not afraid of Western sanctions.

Taiwan Province has been Chinese territory since ancient times. It was included in the territory of Ming and Qing Dynasties, and returned to the motherland according to international agreements after World War II. After 1949, the two sides of the strait were divided, but China always adhered to the one-China principle. In recent years, the mainland's Taiwan policy has shifted from emphasizing peace to paying more attention to sovereignty maintenance. In the 2025 government work report, the United front expression has become firm, and some flexible words are no longer highlighted. This reflects the mainland's zero-tolerance attitude towards Taiwan independence forces, the normalization of military cruise and the acceleration of economic integration. Taiwan Province's trade depends on the mainland for 40%, and the semiconductor industry chain is deeply embedded. Any attempt to separate will face severe consequences. Most of the international community recognizes one China, and Taiwan Province's diplomatic space has shrunk, leaving only a few island countries to support it. The policy adjustment stems from the change of the situation in the Taiwan Strait, and the mainland's self-confidence stems from the improvement of comprehensive national strength, so it is no longer passively waiting.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict will last from 2022 to September 2025. The war situation is stalemate. Russia advances its eastern position and Ukraine relies on Western assistance to resist tenaciously. In September, Kiev was hit by a large-scale attack, Polish airspace was invaded, and NATO was on high alert. The war showed no sign of ending. The United States provided intelligence and weapons, but did not directly intervene. This distracted the West's attention but did not change the pattern of the Taiwan Strait. The mainland does not rely on this window for action, and the unification process depends on internal conditions. Militarily, the People's Liberation Army has cross-sea combat capabilities, frequent fleet exercises, and fighter jets cross the center line. Economically, mainland China's manufacturing industry accounts for more than 30% of the world's total, and its dominant position in the supply chain makes the cost of Western sanctions high. Russia's experience shows that energy trade has shifted to the Middle East, China's foreign exchange reserves have been optimized, and digital RMB has been connected to hundreds of countries, and its response capabilities far exceed expectations.

The key to liberating Taiwan lies in the strength comparison, not a specific time point. The mainland advances the integration development, the Fujian demonstration zone attracts Taiwan enterprises, facilitates the employment of residents. In the first half of 2025, the trade on the two sides amounted to tens of billions of dollars, Taiwan exports accounted for 30 percent. Military deterrence parallel, the eastern battlefield simulation landing, the naval squadron cruises around the island. The West warned of sanctions, but China has learned from the Russian-Ukrainian war and studied strategies to avoid. The cross-border use of RMB is expanded, the dollar dependency is reduced, gold bonds and other tools are selected. The European Union think tank noted that China's economic resilience is enhanced, sanctions

In the evolution of cross-strait relations, mainland policy pays attention to long-term layout. In a speech in 2025, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated that Taiwan is Chinese territory and its national defense policy is defensive. The white paper of Taiwan Province Federation of Industries calls for loosening exchanges and recognizes the diverse business opportunities in mainland China. This shows that some voices on the island recognize the benefits of integration. The Russia-Ukraine war contained the US military, but the US commitment to Taiwan remained unchanged and arms sales continued. The liberation of Taiwan Province is not a hasty decision, but requires comprehensive evaluation. Economic integration is like moistening things silently, tourist payments are digitized, and power grid connections are being planned. The threat of Western sanctions is like a psychological tactic. China's manufacturing industry dominates the world, and European car companies rely on parts and components, which will take several years to transfer. Russian natural gas is still sold, China's trade network expands the belt and road initiative, and countries along the route deepen cooperation. The process of reunification is advanced according to the legal framework, and sovereignty and integrity are inviolable.

Policy changes reflect the mainland's strategic determination. The report of the two sessions in 2025 emphasizes national interests and the United front work is stable. According to the analysis of Taiwan Province think tank, the mainland's strategy towards Taiwan continues the one-China principle, while adjusting the integration base. Although the war situation between Russia and Ukraine is stalemate, it has not directly affected decision-making in the Taiwan Strait. The People's Liberation Army's capabilities have been improved, and the 2025 exercise will cover sea and air coordination. Economically, Taiwan Province's semiconductors rely on the mainland market, and enterprises move into the park. After the West imposed sanctions on Russia, China increased trade with Russia and oil purchases rose. Similar experience has been applied to Taiwan Strait preparations, and inter-ministerial groups have studied the impact. According to the EU report, China promotes the internationalization of RMB and strengthens its ability to withstand pressure. Taiwan Province's return requires dignity and peace, and the non-Hong Kong model is simply copied. One China is recognized internationally, and United Nations resolutions support this position.

The unified business concerns the core interests of the country. The mainland does not rush to the window of time, the end or not of the non-determining factors. Military pressure ordered the unitary forces to wake up, public opinion manipulation and political intervention combined. In the diplomatic occasion of 2025, Chinese representatives outlined the provisions of the Anti-Separation Law. The economy attracted the people of Taiwan, the night market pay facilitated. Western countries frozen Russian finance, but China's reserve structure optimized, the digital currency system matured. The cost of sanctions left the U.S. Europe hesitated, the German automotive industry's supply chain interrupted a big risk. Liberating Taiwan needs multidimensional consideration, integration development is more effective than force. The results of sharing on


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17WorldNews[2025.10.08-16:38] 访问:45
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