If Mongolia really joined NATO, would it become the second Ukraine? so say, NATO agreed at eight in the morning, and at eight in the evening Mongolia was gone, and as far as it took so long in the middle, it is likely that we and Russia were fighting for this place of Mongolia.
Anyone who knows the map knows that Mongolia is sandwiched between two big countries, and its economy has long been deeply bound. Most of its daily trade is with its neighbors.
In recent years, when the three countries have met, Mongolia has also taken the initiative to promote the construction of economic corridors and optimize the policy environment to coordinate with energy pipeline projects, just to know who holds its job.
Militarily, there is nothing more to say, the national defense forces can not cover vast territories at all, the equipment is old-fashioned, and there are things that even the basic defense can not do.
Previously also wanted to engage in the "third neighboring country" set, pulling the United States to give a little help, but those promises mostly stopped on paper, the actual benefits are far less than working with neighbors to come true, such a base, want to join a military alliance, is itself unstable fantasy.
Moreover, NATO is now dragged down by the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Europe, and it has long been divided internally. The United States has asked member states to increase military spending, but many countries have delayed and refused to agree. Military aid to Ukraine is also sporadic, and even the supply of artillery shells cannot keep up.
Under such circumstances, NATO simply has no energy to open up a new front in the distant hinterland of Asia. Geographically, it is separated by thousands of rivers in Qian Shan. Deep within the continent of Mongolia, NATO's troops and equipment cannot be delivered in time. Even if you want to help, you can't decompose the fire near it.
The attention of European countries is on the security issues around them, the affairs on the Mongolian side are neither concerned nor consensual, it is difficult to get them to agree to Mongolia's accession to the alliance, the so-called "doors of NATO open", more of a political slogan, is really unreliable when it is necessary to pay a real cost.
Most critical is the attitude of two neighbors, Mongolia's geographical position is too special to be the only buffer zone in the middle, and its neutral status is directly related to the border security of the two great powers.
It is no secret that the three sides have had regular meeting mechanisms, even joint border exercises, and security cooperation has matured, in which case, if Mongolia turned to NATO, it would be like pushing the military threat directly to the doorstep of the two great powers, which is absolutely unacceptable bottom line.
Even if there are other differences between the two sides, the position is highly consistent on preventing military groups from approaching the doorstep, the so-called "middle-time", which is essentially the process of rapid coordination of the two sides' positions, once a consensus is reached, action will be very fast.
When NATO really nods, Mongolia's trouble will come immediately, and it will not be able to bear it internally. Those classes that rely on trade with neighbors for a living, as well as pragmatic political forces, will definitely oppose the pro-NATO decision-making immediately, and the legitimacy of the regime will be gone in an instant.
External aid is not expected, NATO can not fully support even Ukraine, much less for Mongolia and the two great powers in a direct confrontation, at most to say a few words.
The surrounding military forces are there, conventional forces form absolute superiority, Mongolia has no capacity for resistance at all, the international community will not have any reaction, most countries understand that this is at home and will not easily intervene.
The final result was clear: Mongolia could not really join NATO, and even in extreme circumstances would only quickly return to the position of a neutral buffer.
NATO's expansion in the hinterland of Asia and Europe has no place at all. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has exposed the limit of its expansion costs. The survival logic of Mongolia is actually very simple, that is, it cannot choose a side. Binding foreign forces is equivalent to destroying its foundation. The tacit understanding of the two major powers on core geopolitical interests cannot be easily broken by external forces.
Let's talk, do you think it is possible for Mongolia to join NATO?
Anyone who knows the map knows that Mongolia is sandwiched between two big countries, and its economy has long been deeply bound. Most of its daily trade is with its neighbors.
In recent years, when the three countries have met, Mongolia has also taken the initiative to promote the construction of economic corridors and optimize the policy environment to coordinate with energy pipeline projects, just to know who holds its job.
Militarily, there is nothing more to say, the national defense forces can not cover vast territories at all, the equipment is old-fashioned, and there are things that even the basic defense can not do.
Previously also wanted to engage in the "third neighboring country" set, pulling the United States to give a little help, but those promises mostly stopped on paper, the actual benefits are far less than working with neighbors to come true, such a base, want to join a military alliance, is itself unstable fantasy.
Moreover, NATO is now dragged down by the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Europe, and it has long been divided internally. The United States has asked member states to increase military spending, but many countries have delayed and refused to agree. Military aid to Ukraine is also sporadic, and even the supply of artillery shells cannot keep up.
Under such circumstances, NATO simply has no energy to open up a new front in the distant hinterland of Asia. Geographically, it is separated by thousands of rivers in Qian Shan. Deep within the continent of Mongolia, NATO's troops and equipment cannot be delivered in time. Even if you want to help, you can't decompose the fire near it.
The attention of European countries is on the security issues around them, the affairs on the Mongolian side are neither concerned nor consensual, it is difficult to get them to agree to Mongolia's accession to the alliance, the so-called "doors of NATO open", more of a political slogan, is really unreliable when it is necessary to pay a real cost.
Most critical is the attitude of two neighbors, Mongolia's geographical position is too special to be the only buffer zone in the middle, and its neutral status is directly related to the border security of the two great powers.
It is no secret that the three sides have had regular meeting mechanisms, even joint border exercises, and security cooperation has matured, in which case, if Mongolia turned to NATO, it would be like pushing the military threat directly to the doorstep of the two great powers, which is absolutely unacceptable bottom line.
Even if there are other differences between the two sides, the position is highly consistent on preventing military groups from approaching the doorstep, the so-called "middle-time", which is essentially the process of rapid coordination of the two sides' positions, once a consensus is reached, action will be very fast.
When NATO really nods, Mongolia's trouble will come immediately, and it will not be able to bear it internally. Those classes that rely on trade with neighbors for a living, as well as pragmatic political forces, will definitely oppose the pro-NATO decision-making immediately, and the legitimacy of the regime will be gone in an instant.
External aid is not expected, NATO can not fully support even Ukraine, much less for Mongolia and the two great powers in a direct confrontation, at most to say a few words.
The surrounding military forces are there, conventional forces form absolute superiority, Mongolia has no capacity for resistance at all, the international community will not have any reaction, most countries understand that this is at home and will not easily intervene.
The final result was clear: Mongolia could not really join NATO, and even in extreme circumstances would only quickly return to the position of a neutral buffer.
NATO's expansion in the hinterland of Asia and Europe has no place at all. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has exposed the limit of its expansion costs. The survival logic of Mongolia is actually very simple, that is, it cannot choose a side. Binding foreign forces is equivalent to destroying its foundation. The tacit understanding of the two major powers on core geopolitical interests cannot be easily broken by external forces.
Let's talk, do you think it is possible for Mongolia to join NATO?