The Indo-Pacific sea, looking at the surface of the wind and calm, in fact, has long become the main battlefield of all parties.
Recently, the United States suddenly transferred more than half of its attack nuclear submarines to the Indo-Pacific, which is tantamount to placing the most sensitive weapons at China's door. This is the first big card played by Trump after returning to the White House, and the amount of information is very large.
However, China did not shy away. Defense Minister Dong Jun directly named him in front of global security officials at the Xiangshan Forum in Beijing, making it clear that peace in the Taiwan Strait is not something that anyone can intervene in.
At the moment, this is no longer a test but a real stall.
The submarine is fully imprinted too. What does the United States want to do with this move?
After Trump regained power, he continued his "Indo-Pacific bet" that he left in office.The United States did not twist again, but simply lighted out the bottom line.Distributed most of the attack nuclear submarines to the Indo-Pacific, and so put the most sensitive and most dangerous weapons at the doorstep of China.
This approach, strategically speaking, is very consistent with the United States' consistent position.Distributing ahead, compressing opponent space, and also reassuring allies, giving themselves courage.
In addition to the recent years, the United States has continued to encourage the "Indo-Pacific Alliance", pulling Japan, Australia and other countries together, the intention has become obvious: not only to intimidate, but also to repress.
But what’s interesting is that while this operation looks tough, there’s a bunch of problems behind the rule. submarines are there, it’s not like they can start fighting at any time.
The aging of the domestic military-industrial system in the United States has long been not a news, maintenance can not be followed, a submarine to build a long line.
It's like a man wearing old shoes a few decades ago, and going to run a marathon, hard under his feet, will wear the bubble.
Not to mention, these U.S. bases in the Indo-Pacific are at the forefront, but their logistics capabilities are still far behind. If there is real trouble, I am afraid even the US military has no idea whether it can ensure that submarines can be dispatched at any time.
Therefore, it looks like a bright sword, but in fact it may be a bluff. The United States dares to show its cards, but whether it has the confidence to fight to the end is watched by the outside world.
China's response is unambiguous, words are tough, and actions are more real.
Faced with the step-by-step approach of the United States, China did not choose to avoid it.
At the Beijing Shanshan Forum, the defense minister's words were very straightforward: foreign forces do not want to easily interfere in Asia-Pacific affairs, and Taiwan's affairs are not anyone who can draw their fingers at will.
Previously, China usually chose vague and restraint, but this time the obvious argument was more direct, and the bottom line was clearer.
This is not a simple verbal warning, but a strategic signal.China is no longer content with passive response, but must proactively set up defenses.
Regarding the deployment of U.S. submarines, China is not in a hurry to make reciprocal actions, but focuses on improving the overall defense system.
This approach seems slow, but actually has more chapters.
China's current thinking is very clear: instead of competing with the United States for the quantity of hardware, it will engage in systematic countermeasures. What do you mean? Even if defenses are deployed from the air, water and underwater at the same time, it is difficult to let the opponent in, hide and move.
Maritime patrol, anti-submarine, surveillance and other aspects are constantly escalating, with the goal of minimizing the activity space of U.S. submarines.
The more the other party wants to hide, the more China wants to find it.
One of the key points here is that China’s strategy is more focused on the long run, not the pursuit of a momentary confrontation effect, but on time, endurance and technology.
The United States wants to suppress China by short-term deployment, while China is ready to fight a protracted war. The underwater game is not to see who takes the move first, but to see who can hold on and whose means are more stable.
The Indo-Pacific seabed has become the main battlefield, behind which is the deep game between major powers
The nuclear submarine dispute appears to be a military issue, but is essentially a dispute of strategic choices.The U.S. anxiety is no longer hidden.In the face of China's rapid rise, it no longer believes that rules can maintain balance, only by force to maintain a sense of existence.
And Trump's approach is more direct, putting the China-US contradictions on the face, and supporting the political game with military means.
But the problem is that this is very expensive, andining large overseas military deployments is a long-term burden on the U.S. finances.
And the pressure of the domestic economy, the dissatisfaction of the people, the aging of the military and industrial system, has long left America's global strategic power unconscious.
On the contrary, China is more calm. Don't rush to seize the dominance, nor do you rush to brighten your muscles, but do it step by step. Starting from local defense, it slowly extends to offshore waters and then to open waters.
It's not that you don't want to expand, but that you have to lay a solid foundation first. This sense of rhythm is based on a judgment of one's own strength and a grasp of the regional situation.
This underwater battle, in fact, is a new type of strategic confrontation. unlike before, relying on aircraft carriers and aircraft, now more than who can hide, who can discover, who can handle more accurately.
These depend on technology, systems and long-term investments.The results cannot be seen in the short term, but the impact is far-reaching.
More importantly, this is not just a matter for the two countries, the countries in the Indo-Pacific region are all looking at and are measuring which side they should stand.
Once the situation gets out of control, no one can think of being alone. So although this game may seem far away from us, it is actually closely related to peace and stability in the entire region.
Now, the U.S. pushed the submarine to the Indo-Pacific, was a bet, and a trial. It wanted to see if China would not give in, and also wanted to see if the allies would not cooperate. But China obviously did not intend to withdraw, is also slowly chess in its own way. Both sides do not want to give in, do not want to start, but are ready to respond once the gun is wiped out.
This competition has no end and will not quickly separate victories.It is like a marathon without smoke, rather than who can keep the rhythm and keep the bottom line.
The more intense the confrontation underwater, the calmer the surface. But that calm, like the silence before a storm, could be broken at any moment.
For ordinary people, these invisible warships, unheard submarines, seem to be very far from life. but in fact, their movement, determines the sense of a country's security, also affects whether we can live safely.
Indo-Pacific is not a battlefield, but it has become the forefront of the game. Whoever controls the initiative can influence the future.
Therefore, it seems that a mobilization of submarines is behind the adjustment of the entire regional pattern. The United States made a move, and China also responded. Each next step will determine the trend of this deep-sea competition. What we need to do is to clearly understand the situation and take every step we take.