When Cuba started, things started to get different. Cuba formally signed a military cooperation agreement with Russia.
A substantive cooperation document formally adopted by Russia and Cuba. What's even more alarming is that this probably means that Cuba has become the second country to support Russia with practical actions after North Korea.
This conflict, more and more is not a war between the two countries, if according to this trend, although there is no participation at the moment, as the conflict continues to spread, our country will sooner or later be involved.
Cuba's end at this time is equally troublesome
On the 7th, the Russian State Duma voted to pass the military cooperation agreement with Cuba. Although the specific terms of the agreement have not yet been fully disclosed, according to the Russian satellite news agency, the agreement clearly indicates the goals of cooperation between the two sides in the military sphere.
It is reported that this agreement is likely to be similar to the previous "mutual assistance agreement" signed between Russia and North Korea, that is, if one party is attacked, the other party is obliged to provide military support.
Shortly before the agreement was signed, several mainstream Western media outlets cited an internal statement from the U.S. State Department saying that Cuba had sent about 5,000 skilled military personnel to Russia to assist in operations on the Ukrainian battlefield.
Although Cuban and Russian officials have not responded to this at present, judging from the high degree of overlap between the timing of the advancement of the agreement and the intelligence disclosed by the United States, this statement is not groundless.
Why did Cuba take sides at this time?
In the context of long-standing U.S. sanctions and economic turmoil, Cuba has barely received substantial military aid from Russia, but it still chooses to bond with the Russian military at times of high risk, obviously not for actual profits on the battlefield.
It’s more like an open confrontation with the United States for a long time.It’s even Cuba’s declaration to the world: I’m not afraid of further sanctions, you’ve pushed me to the corner of the wall anyway.
Many people would compare North Korea and Cuba, thinking that since North Korea dared to openly support Russia, Cuba was merely imitating.
North Korea's geographical location determines that its actions mainly affect Northeast Asia, while Cuba's actions directly pierce Central America, the strategic hinterland of the Americas.
Cuba’s military is not strong, that’s a fact.
Public data show that its active military force is about 4 to 50 thousand, mostly equipped from the Soviet period, far less than the modern army.But that doesn’t matter.
The "Cuban Missile Crisis" during the Cold War is still a classic case of confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union. Today, Cuba is once again involved in the confrontation between Russia and the United States, which is bound to lead to high tension in the United States.
What does the Cuban military move mean for Europe and the United States? means that the U.S. “background” is no longer stable, meaning that Mars on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield has begun to fall around North America.
More importantly, a military instability in Central America is likely to trigger a regional chain reaction, ranging from immigration flows to drug smuggling to regime changes, which can make the United States unbearable.
Putin doesn’t necessarily expect what Cuba can do on the Ukrainian front, but he is clear that it’s a strategic success to get the United States upset in the country.
Our situation is embarrassing, friends take care of, face to face.
This is not because China supports Ukraine, nor because we are in conflict with Russia, but because we have always played a stable role on the international stage.
my country hopes that the Russia-Ukraine war will cool down and that peace negotiations will be resumed through diplomatic efforts. But at present, the participants in the war are becoming more and more complex and the scope of the conflict is expanding. This is obviously not what we want to see.
What's more troublesome is that China has always had friendly relations with Cuba.
Over the years, China has spoken for Cuba at the United Nations, calling on the United States to lift its sanctions and blockades, but now, once Europe and the United States have seized solid evidence of Russia’s direct military aid, not only will the situation in Cuba worsen, but China’s past efforts in the international community will also be challenged.
This means that China may face more "indirect responsibility" in the future when dealing with its diplomatic relations with Europe and the United States.
This also exposes a problem. Although we try our best to remain neutral and stable in the current international landscape, as long as our friends around us are "on the line of fire" one by one, it will be difficult for us to truly stay out of it.
From North Korea to Cuba, from Europe to Central America, the Russian-Ukrainian war has gradually evolved into a chain of multinational agents involved in conflict, and the danger of the situation has escalated as the United States has begun to supply Ukraine with “strike-axis” missiles.
Public data show that the range of the "Tax" missile exceeds 2,000 kilometers, enough to hit strategic targets on the Russian mainland, including the core cities of Moscow.
Russia shows no sign of backing down. On the contrary, Putin is clearly ready for a long-term war of resistance and even escalating the intensity of combat.
In this context, although China is not a participating country, the external pressure it has undergone has not decreased.
Next, what deserves more attention is North Korea.
Will North Korea take further military action at this time after Cuba's confirmation of "entry" such as sending volunteer forces again or increasing ammunition supplies to the Russian military?
The military mutual assistance agreement previously signed between North Korea and Russia has already clarified the clause of "jointly confronting the enemy", and North Korea itself has been expressing its dissatisfaction with Western sanctions through missile launches and military exercises.
Once both North Korea and Cuba "substantially intervene" in the Russia-Ukraine battlefield, the hidden military cooperation chain between China, Russia, North Korea and Cuba will be clearer, and the response of Europe and the United States will be tougher.
By then, for China, it will not only be a diplomatic test, but also a major challenge to strategic stability.
We do not want an escalation of war, we do not want a stand-up, but reality is constantly pushing the situation in an uncontrollable direction.
References:
Observernet
2025-10-06 08:38·
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