On October 10, 2025, at 5 p.m., the Norwegian side will announce the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize, only three days from the final time, US President Trump can not sit, a show has been performed, vowing to put the Nobel Prize in the pocket.
On October 6, local time, Israeli and Hamas delegations held a negotiation in Egypt. The content of the discussion was Trump's "20-point plan" on the Gaza issue. As this plan has 20 points, there are only three core points. One is that Hamas releases the Israeli hostages it has seized, the other is that Hamas disarms, and the third is that Hamas withdraws from the Gaza Strip and goes to the "receiving country" and is not allowed to participate in any governance work in Gaza in the future. To put it bluntly, this is a surrender agreement for Hamas. If Hamas achieves the above, Israel will end the war, release the hostages, and withdraw its troops from the Gaza Strip in stages. This work for the United States will not be in vain. After it is completed, Trump will serve as chairman of the "Peace Council" in the Gaza Strip and lead the reconstruction of Gaza.
In order to get Hamas to agree to this plan, Trump promised that international humanitarian aid would enter Gaza to alleviate the lack of food and clothing for the local people. He would also send joint troops to maintain stability and promote dialogue between Israel and Palestine to achieve peaceful coexistence. On the other hand, Trump also threatened that if Hamas rejected the proposal, the United States would continue to support Israel and let Hamas "disappear". The "20-point plan" proposed by Trump is a trap no matter how you look at it. At present, Hamas has only a few dozen Israeli hostages left as its "bargaining chips". This is also the biggest resistance to the Netanyahu government's bombing of Gaza. If the hostages are handed over and voluntarily disarmed, it will become fish on the chopping board and left to the United States and Israel.
Hamas cannot refuse it readily, otherwise the United States and Israel will ruthlessly label it as "unwilling to peace" and intensify their crackdown on Hamas. After two years of consumption, Hamas 'personnel, senior officials and supplies were no longer able to afford it. Since September 9, the Israeli army has continued to increase ground operations in Gaza. Gaza City has been controlled by the Israeli army. Hamas is currently facing a life-and-death crisis.
What is Trump's purpose? Is it really about ending the Gaza conflict? Not all, what he wants above all else is the Nobel Peace Prize. From the proposal of the "Twenty-Point Plan" on September 29th to the negotiations between Israel and Hamas on October 6th, there are only 10 days in between. It is not difficult to see that Trump is catching up with the progress and striving to win the Nobel Peace Prize before the selection., to promote a ceasefire in Gaza and an end to the war, and Hamas is the "victim". This is his main motivation to pressure Israel and Hamas to "set up a stage and sing a show." Secondly, the mid-term elections in the United States in 2026. Whether it is economic or diplomatic, Trump needs a "report card", otherwise he is likely to lose a majority in the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.
Fortunately, Hamas saw through Trump's plan and responded in a brilliant way. Regarding Trump's first request, Hamas agreed to release Israeli hostages and exchange their bodies, but on the premise that Israel would cease fire first. On disarmament, Hamas did not agree or refuse, but instead avoided the issue. A senior Hamas official revealed that Hamas could only surrender its weapons if the Israeli army withdrew from Gaza first. Hamas also did not respond directly to Trump's demand for a withdrawal from Gaza, but agreed to negotiate on the issue. As for the outcome of the talks, we will talk about it then.
Faced with the plot of the United States and Israel, Hamas played its own tricks and "used softness to overcome the tough", achieving certain results. During the October 6th negotiations, Hamas and Israel were said to have had good talks, and the talks ended in a "positive atmosphere." But outside the negotiating table, the Gaza Strip is still full of artillery fire, and the two sides are fighting back and forth. To put it bluntly, the United States is Israel's largest military aid country, while Hamas is also in an unstable situation. The Netanyahu government and Hamas are singing a drama with Trump and helping Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize.
In addition to the U.S. special envoy for the Middle East, the secretary of state also lobbied Norway, and Trump also called the Norwegian finance minister and former NATO secretary-general Stoltenberg, which could be said to be around.In addition, Trump also threatened to raise taxes on Norway, meaning that if the Nobel Peace Prize did not give him, the U.S. would raise tariffs on Norway.
What does the Nobel Prize selection committee say? Recent rumors have revealed that the committee is not cold to Trump, although he claims to end "seven conflicts", but Trump's return to the White House to raise global taxes, withdraw from the Paris Agreement, deny climate issues at the United Nations are all contrary to the long-term peace in the world. On the other hand, the nomination deadline for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025 is January 31, and Trump is not in office until January 20, and this year's work he does does not fall within the scope of the Nobel Prize in 2025.
More importantly, the Nobel Prize selection is a global majority, and objectively neutral stance is an important principle of the jury, if compromised against the United States due to external pressure, the Nobel Prize loses global credibility.