Venezuela is encircled, the U.S. military "extinction fleet" is in place, another aggression war is to start at the U.S. gate? two-stage reserves are out, the conditions for mobilization have all been met, the U.S. military leaves the battle only close to the door? Trump took office for less than a year, ending Iran and fighting Venezuela, how China and Russia should face the gradually crazy America.

According to open source information from various sources, after Trump announced that he would take military action against drug trafficking groups in Venezuela, the United States has massed troops on a large scale in the Caribbean since the end of September.

So far, the U.S. military has deployed a bipartisan reserve group in the region, including the bipartisan assault vessel "Sulphur Island", the dock landing vessel "San Antonio" and the dock landing vessel "Lauderdale".

At the same time, along with a ¡°Ticondrocha¡± missile cruiser, three ¡°Ali Burke¡± missile destroyers, a ¡°Los Angeles¡± nuclear-powered attack submarine, accompanied by escort missions. In terms of scale, it has completely exceeded Trump¡¯s previously called ¡°Drug War¡±, and the military deployment needed is clearly different.

In terms of the size of the U.S. deployment force, the deployment capacity of a bipartisan assault ship and two dock landing ships has exceeded three thousand people, and according to the preparation of the U.S. Navy Marine Corps, this has met the basic requirements for carrying out the bipartisan landing operation mission, can compile a enhanced version of the bipartisan operation camp. The unit can directly carry out the beach capture mission, and can also launch an attack to the depth, fighting for up to fifteen days.

Coupled with the amphibious assault ship itself carrying helicopter gunships and fixed-wing carrier-based fighter jets, the US military already has the hard conditions to launch an amphibious combat landing in Venezuela.

Even worse, the geographical environment of Venezuela is very poor, the capital of Venezuela, Caracas, although located in the valley, but its port of Laguarai from the western coastline, only a short thirty kilometers away, because of this port is very important to the trade of Venezuela, so the modernization of the port facilities is very high, there are twenty-five ships landing, and most of the landing sites water holding capacity, in about eight to ten meters, can fully support the offensive ships and landing vessels, such large vessels landing, can provide continuous logistical support for the troops after landing.

And the distance of thirty kilometers, for the U.S. Navy Corps at the present stage, with the "Strack" wheeled motor vehicles mainly for the expedition camp, I am afraid that it will not take an hour to "fast-track" to the capital of Nebraska. because the Venezuelan army, although to China, purchased some more sophisticated bipartisan combat vehicles, but the Venezuelan Air Force, but has no ability to struggle with the U.S. Navy and Navy Corps hidden aircraft, from the moment the conflict erupted, Venezuela will inevitably lose air control.

There is also a detail to note here that if Trump wants to fight, there is no obstacle in legal matters. Because according to the U.S. Constitution, the president of the United States has a 90-day sole command of the U.S. Naval Corps, and is legally entirely capable of launching a ¡°cutting-head¡± operation against Maduro.

On specific patterns of implementation, the Trump administration has repeatedly stated that it will use the way the past war on terrorism has been used to solve the drug problem facing the United States, so in the Caribbean operations, the focus is on fighting Venezuela¡¯s drug trafficking ships.

But the crux of the problem is that the war model implemented by the United States in Afghanistan is also a "war on terror". Although the U.S. military directly disintegrated the Taliban's control of Afghanistan in a very short period of time through large-scale intervention, it drove the Taliban into the ravine. But then, the U.S. military fell into an anti-guerrilla war that lasted for more than 20 years, which directly turned the entire Afghanistan into a "negative asset" of the United States. Finally, it had to announce its desperate withdrawal from Afghanistan, creating a world-famous joke: It took the United States more than 20 years to transform the Afghan government from the Taliban to the Taliban.

As this lesson from history is too painful, the U.S. government has been concerned about the military operation in Venezuela.A large number of White House officials and former officials have said that the U.S. military has planned to take the next phase of intervention against drug trafficking suspects located in Venezuela, directly from the supply chain, to break down the drug trafficking network in Venezuela and further strengthen control over Maduro.

Given that the U.S. government has announced that Maduro is the head of Venezuela¡¯s drug trafficking group, the U.S. pushing Maduro down in the name of anti-drug is entirely feasible, and politically it is also a ¡°round back.¡±

But the embarrassing thing is that the US military-related action has been delayed without the approval of U.S. President Trump.

The reason behind this is also simple, the experts of the US well-known media The New York Times generally believe that if the US government chooses to defeat Maduro, then there are only two possibilities, one is that the U.S. military is plunged into the long-term security war with Iraq, Afghanistan, and again on its doorstep. The other is that Venezuela is facing the situation of the dragons, becoming another "Haiti", becoming the "failed country" in Trump.

A few years ago, it was not that the United States had thought of cultivating another agent in Venezuela, namely Venezuelan opposition politician Guaido, and also sent a group of so-called "patriots" to smuggle into Venezuela with weapons provided by the United States. However, the result was very surprising, and it was a replica of the Bay of Pigs incident in Cuba. These agents, carefully trained by the United States, were all arrested by the Venezuelan military, and several of them were carrying toy guns, which once made the CIA of the United States a global laughing stock.

The support of various factors has led to the Venezuelan problem and made Trump a bit of a dilemma.

From the perspective of China and Russia, the current entanglement of the United States on the Venezuelan issue actually reflects the sharp decline in the United States 'control over its neighbors after entering a period of decline in national strength. This may also explain why in the new version of the national defense strategy announced by the United States this year, it does not talk about the so-called defeat of China, but instead focuses on building the so-called Western Hemisphere defense circle and relies on the more advanced "Golden Dome" missile defense system to turn its own Americas into an "iron barrel". This is obviously copying China's homework, that is,"cleaning the house before treating you."

At the same time, on September 30, U.S. President Trump and U.S. Defense Secretary Hagerseth also gathered the vast majority of U.S. military generals around the world to hold a so-called "warrior spirit" meeting.

And publicly told them that if they didn't want to listen, then there was no "future" to go back, which directly caused some senior U.S. military officers on the scene to get somewhat stuck, laughing at the floor.

From a higher level, this US military siege of Venezuela reflects the serious problem facing the United States, which is that the big war does not dare to fight, the small war will hesitate.

Because what happened in the Russia-Ukraine conflict has proved that in today's era of multiple powers coexisting side by side, when a big country takes the initiative to launch a war, the subsequent development of the war will not be determined to a large extent by the two parties involved in the war, but may Let potential, more powerful opponents grasp the rhythm of the entire war and use it as a means to weaken themselves.

Therefore, if Trump is really determined to fight Venezuela, it will inevitably be a high-intensity conflict that will end in a very short period of time, and the victory of the "War on Drugs" will be announced by defeating the Maduro regime. But as some American experts worry, is this victory really a victory for the United States?

While the United States is focused on carrying the big flag of isolationism, Trump is proactively setting fire to his own backyard to create a mess. Even if Trump is able to gain enough political reputation from this "moving the stone and knocking his feet" operation, the ultimate loss will only be the interests of the United States.

After Trump showed his determination to use force, although Maduro opened a general mobilization in Venezuela, but did not show unprecedented hostility to the United States, and not even shouted to launch an asymmetric strike on the United States, or some outstanding "actions" such as the events in the Moscow Concert Hall,ined a considerable strategic strength, which makes the "grande justice" of the United States seem somewhat unstable.

Even more funny is the fact that the United Nations has expressed its opposition to a possible U.S. move, and even sent a letter specifically to the White House, emphasizing the current drug crisis, which is mainly caused not by Venezuela, but by Colombia, Peru and Bolivia.

In other words, even the United Nations thinks that Trump should not fight Venezuela if he wants to do it, but this has obviously been directly ignored by the United States, and it is enough to see that compared with his last term, Trump seems to have become more stubborn, which is both a good thing and a bad thing for China and Russia.