The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been fighting for more than three years, and recently the situation has changed again, and the U.S. side has received the latest intelligence, Reuters citing the U.S. State Department's internal news that Cuba has sent about 1,000 to 5,000 military personnel to the battlefield in Ukraine, supporting Russia, fighting side by side with the Russian-Korean forces. To know if this intelligence is true, Cuba will become the second country after North Korea to openly support Russia. In this regard, the Trump administration is unable to sit, on the one hand, mobilize diplomatic forces, strongly oppose the lifting of sanctions against Cuba at the UN level, and on the other hand, accuse Cuba of "direct involvement in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict".
Trump did not think that he claimed to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict for 24 hours after he came to power, but the major half of the time has passed, and the two sides have not even seen signs of a ceasefire, but Russia has taken more initiative, this time Cuba's aid proves this.
If we refer to the North Korean model, Cuban personnel may be mainly engineers and logistical support, rather than direct combat units. However, although the Cuban army is equipped with outdated equipment, such as T-55 tanks and old MiG fighters, its soldiers are well trained and have overseas combat experience, such as the civil war in Angola, Africa. If it is put into the battlefield, its role will be obvious. It can play a role in tasks such as fortification construction and demining, and alleviate the shortage of Russian military manpower.
However, the size of 5,000 people, still symbolically far greater than the real war value, on the one hand, is to strengthen the Russian "anti-Western united front", and in comparison to the Russian front of hundreds of thousands of troops, is still limited. on the other hand, mainly to test the bottom line of the United States and NATO, and recently Russia with Cuba cooperation has significantly warmed up, accelerated the advancement of the military cooperation agreement, according to the recent signing of the Russian military cooperation agreement with Cuba, may involve the transfer of weapons technology, which will further touch the sensitive "backgarden" nerves of the United States, although the officials of Cuba did not respond, but has triggered the United States high alert.
In fact, the military cooperation of Cuba and Russia is not a coincidence, during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis, the Soviet Union deployed medium-range missiles in Cuba, and at present, the situation is almost the same, Russia is mainly facing comprehensive sanctions of the West, the urgent need to break the international isolation, while Cuba, due to the long-term US blockade, also intends to support Russia in exchange for economic and military assistance.
But in any case, it can be certain that if the news of Cuba’s departure to Ukraine and getting a real hammer, then the United States may escalate sanctions on the old, and even resume the “Latin American military deployment”, but should not be direct military intervention. The reason is simple, Trump is now difficult, on the one hand, he also has hope for Putin, had promised in the campaign “24 hours to resolve the Russian conflict”, against unrestricted assistance to Ukraine, not to mention direct military intervention, mostly to aid long-range weapons, or to give NATO countries more autonomy.
On the other hand, the United States has recently accelerated military aid to Ukraine through the NATO framework and threatened to impose tariffs and impose larger sanctions on Russia. This also shows that Trump has not yet thought whether it is soft or hard. The swing of Trump's policy is mainly due to domestic political pressure, including anti-war voices within the Republican Party, which further shows that the United States is trying to avoid directly involved in conflicts and at the same time wants to contain Russia.