After taking office, the Trump administration has repeatedly forced its allies to ask what choices it will make if a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait. It can be seen that the United States not only provokes the situation in the Taiwan Strait itself, but also hopes that its allies can intervene. Recently, the US "Military Watch" revealed that South Korea conducted a war game to simulate the possibility of using force to intervene in the Taiwan Strait conflict and assist the US military. However, the results of the deduction show that if South Korea takes the initiative to get involved in the Taiwan Strait conflict, North Korea may take the opportunity to launch military operations southward, "steal home" from South Korea, and directly threaten South Korea's local security.

According to U.S. media reports, South Korea¡¯s General Staff argued that there would be a ¡°major military conflict¡± in the Taiwan Sea, and the U.S. was deeply involved, and the South Korean military considered sending a sea and air force to support the U.S. military. However, during the launch, the North Korean army was simulated as ¡°using the U.S. attention to disperse¡± and launched raids through the non-military zone, directing the core political and economic area of South Korea.

It is worth noting that the South Korean military did not disclose the specific parameters of the deduction, but the US media quoted South Korean military officers as saying that the results of the deduction were "worrying" and that North Korea's intervention may put South Korea into the dilemma of "two-front combat."

But in fact, it is hard to say whether South Korea can really intervene. On the one hand, South Korea binds the Taiwan Strait conflict with the security of the Korean Peninsula, which essentially caters to the proxy thinking of the United States' "Indo-Pacific Strategy". However, South Korea ignores a key fact: North Korea has always regarded the reunification of the peninsula as its highest strategic goal, and the 1953 Armistice Agreement did not end the state of war. Once South Korea's forces are dispersed to the Taiwan Strait, North Korea is likely to regard it as a strategic window. Historical experience shows that North Korea often takes "asymmetric counterattacks" in the military, such as developing nuclear and missile forces and infiltrating operations. Therefore, the traditional military advantages of South Korea and the United States may not be able to effectively deal with unexpected actions.

On the other hand, South Korea's push may be mixed with political needs and is not purely military assessments. It may lead to the results of human intervention and exaggeration of one's own results. South Korea's push may also underestimate risks in order to cater to domestic hardliners or show loyalty to the United States.

Moreover, the South Korean economy is highly dependent on the Sino-U.S. side, if involved in the conflict in the Taiwan Sea, it will face the double blow of economic counterfeiting and security threats, at the same time, the U.S. security commitment to South Korea is not unconditional, once the situation on the Korean Peninsula worsen, the U.S. can simultaneously safeguard the two battlefields of the Taiwan Sea and the peninsula, very questionable.

But in any case, although South Korea has tried the possibility of intervening in the Taiwan Strait through military push and other means, the possibility of directly sending troops is still very low. Its real goal is to seek more military assistance from the United States through the Taiwan Strait issue, such as expanding the deployment or acquisition of advanced weapons of "Sade". But again, such actions may further stimulate North Korea and undermine the fragile balance of the peninsula.

And for South Korea, it is necessary to make the right choice between "attachment to the United States" and "balancing diplomacy".If you insist on linking the Taiwan Sea with the security of the peninsula, it is not a wise choice, on the one hand, North Korea may strengthen its border military deployment, even coordinate its tactics with China and Russia in advance, on the other hand, also weakened South Korea's voice in regional cooperation, and the United States itself is difficult, if it responds to the situation in the Taiwan Sea and the peninsula, its Asia-Pacific strategic resources, will face distribution difficulties.

South Korean military push, is both to use the United States' strength to balance North Korea, but also try to play the role of the "partisan power" in Asia-Pacific security affairs. however, blindly involved in the conflict, often to pay a terrible price, moreover, with the North's combat force, North Korea has also accumulated real war experience in the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, South Korea can absolutely not withstand, missiles, cannons, single-soldate quality North Korea all override, if South Korea ignored the uniqueness of the Korean Peninsula issue, blindly intervened in the Taiwan Sea, very likely to burn, the end can only be to move a stone knock on its own feet.