Reference News Network reported on October 6 According to the Russian satellite news agency on October 5, the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a statement that strongly condemned the recent U.S. attacks on ships in international waters near Venezuela.

Data map of Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov

Russia strongly condemns a new round of U.S. military attacks on ships in international waters near Venezuela on October 3.

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hagerseth previously stated that on October 3, the United States launched a military strike against a "drug trafficking ship" in international waters near Venezuela, in accordance with the order of President Trump. He said four "drug terrorists" were killed on board the ship as a result of an attack in international waters near Venezuela.

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Swords and swords were drawn out! Is there a triple calculation behind the United States' "soldier pressure" on Venezuela?

During the last few days, the sword has been drawn between the United States and Venezuela.

The U.S. military continues to increase its military deployment in the Caribbean waters, attacking what it deems Venezuelan "drug carriers" twice in a row. Venezuela, on the other hand, has stepped up its combat readiness to prepare for ground warfare. Venezuelan President Maduro said on the 15th that not only was the relationship between the two countries tense, but the United States also unilaterally launched "all-out aggression" against Venezuela, pointing out that communication between the two governments was basically interrupted.

Analysts believe that the United States is striking the pretext of "drug-seeking" on Venezuela's "gigant pressure", intended to overthrow the Maduro regime, and the situation is difficult to ease in the short term.

Do you want a ¡°three-foot¡± arrow?

According to CCTV News and other reports, Maduro said on the 15th that Venezuela is being threatened by missiles, ships and submarines and is facing the crisis of bombing, invasion and occupation. What the United States is doing is a "all-out aggression" in the political, diplomatic and military fields, rather than a mere situation of tension.

Venezuelan President Maduro

Since August, the United States has continued to exert pressure on Venezuela, including offering a reward of $50 million for Maduro's arrest and deploying nuclear submarines and several warships in the Caribbean waters near Venezuela. It is reported that the ship carries about 4,500 US troops, including 2,200 Marines.

In September, U.S. actions continued to escalate. On September 2nd, the U.S. military attacked a "drug ship departing from Venezuela" for the first time in the South Caribbean, killing 11 people on board. On September 15th, the U.S. military repeated its old trick, attacking a "drug ship" and killing three people.

In this regard, several parties pointed out that the United States not only failed to provide evidence, but the attack itself also violated international law.

In addition, the U.S. ordered 10 additional F-35 fighter jets to be deployed to overseas Puerto Rico to fight the Latin American drug trafficking group.The U.S. also detained a fishing captain for up to eight hours in the exclusive economic zone.

What is the purpose of US pressure on the Commission under the name of ¡°drug-hunting¡±? WangÓÑÃ÷, researcher at China Institute for International IssuesIt is believed that the U.S. ¡°great military pressure¡± indicates that the momentum of its ¡°artillery policy¡± is becoming increasingly apparent.

First, in the name of fighting drug trafficking, to exercise its policies in the Latin American region.

Second, it is intended to overthrow Maduro's regime. Trump tried to trigger a "regime change" in Venezuela in his first term, but failed. Now, under the instigation of Secretary of State rubio and others, he still wants to accomplish this set goal. The Bolivarian Alliance built with Venezuela, Cuba, Bolivia and other countries is known as the "anti-American alliance" and has long become a "thorn in the side and a thorn in the flesh" for Trump and his aides.

Third, covet Venezuela's oil resources. Venezuela is currently the country with the largest proven oil reserves in the world, which makes Trump "obsessed". Besides oil, Venezuela is rich in strategic resources such as natural gas, gold and coltan.

Regarding the banner of "anti-drug" by the United States, Wang Youming believes that the United States dispatched nuclear submarines, warships and more than 2,000 Marines. Such a posture is simply out of proportion to combating drug trafficking organizations, just like "anti-aircraft guns hitting mosquitoes".

Venezuela is not the main channel for drugs to flow to the United States, but Mexico, Guatemala and other countries are. In addition, the gang "Aragua Train", which was listed as the target of the US, has long been the target of the Maduro regime, and the effect of the attack is remarkable.

¡°Therefore, despite the U.S. rhetoric of ¡®drug-seeking¡¯, it is not convincing, and there are few respondents in the international community,¡± Wang said.

Trump's picture of U.S. troops cracking down on "drug ships" in the Caribbean

Will the situation escalate?

In the face of "all-out aggression" by the United States, Maduro said that Venezuela was ready.

Venezuela launched its "Independence 200 Plan" on 11th, deploying 2.5 million troops and militias in 284 "front" locations in the country.The government has recently conducted national recruitment several times.Maduro said on 5th that if the United States attacks Venezuela, it will face a "popular armed struggle against aggression".

Maduro said the communications between the two governments have deteriorated from ¡°damaged¡± to ¡°fundamental interruptions¡±, but the two countries still maintain basic communication channels to coordinate the U.S.-repatriated Venezuelan immigration.

In the face of U.S. Commission tensions, leaders from Bolivia, Colombia, Mexico, Honduras and other countries, as well as the Cuban Foreign Ministry, have expressed their support for Venezuela, criticizing U.S. actions that threaten regional peace, violate the sovereignty of relevant countries and violate the basic principles of international law.

If U.S. hegemony escalates, will Venezuela be ¡°tough¡±?

¡°Whether the situation will escalate, the ball is on the side of the United States.¡± Wang said that due to the US military strength and the comprehensive national strength gap, the Maduro regime does not want the tension to escalate. but ¡°the tree wants to be quiet and the wind is not more¡±, the United States has not reached the set goal, and will not be good.

However, Wang Youming believes that the United States is still afraid and is not expected to rashly escalate tensions.

First, the move of the United States has attracted widespread resentment and condemnation in Latin American countries, which are currently ruled mostly by the left or center-left, and generally support the Maduro regime to defend sovereignty and oppose the US bullying policy.

Secondly, Trump is still concerned about the Nobel Peace Prize, and if there is no proper excuse to escalate into war, he will undoubtedly ¡°hit his face.¡±

Third, the relationship between Russia and Venezuela has always been relatively close, and the United States is still afraid of Russia's presence in Latin America to a certain extent.

Wang said he expects that the short-term tension in the U.S. Commission will not ease.In the future, the U.S. may still take comprehensive measures and control of Venezuela, trying to "make Venezuela change."

In addition to military deterrence, it is expected that military intelligence personnel will be arranged to cultivate domestic opposition forces in the Committee, hoping to repeat the "Guaido Incident" during Trump's first term. At the same time, the United States is expected to strengthen the "public opinion war", accusing Maduro of being a "drug trafficker", etc., and continuously discrediting him by public opinion.

"In this case, it cannot be ruled out that there will be an accidental fire." Wang Youming said that Venezuela had previously sent two fighter jets to fly over U.S. ships, which caused a great reaction from the United States.

Replace "carrot" with "big stick"?

After Trump re-entered the White House, the Latin American country frequently swallowed the bullshit, the "Monroeism" mist did not spread, and a series of tough initiatives sparked general dissatisfaction in Latin America.

Since the beginning of this year, the United States has taken steps one after another, ranging from threatening to take over the Panama Canal to putting Cuban leaders on the sanctions list, from new policies to restrict immigration to a series of threats to the Mexican government, from imposing a 50% top tariff on Brazil to "pressing the border" on Venezuela...

Wang Youming believes that Trump's "backyard" policy in the 2.0 period has undergone obvious changes. Instead of regaining the "American Growth Initiative" for Latin America during his first term, he has taken transactionalism as the principle and tariff pressure as a means to serve "making America great again" in an all-round way.

Overall, Trump¡¯s ¡°back yard¡± new policy has two main characteristics.

First, it is no longer as "soft" as in Biden's era, but shows more coercive posture. The frequency and range of using "big sticks" are significantly higher than those of "carrots".

¡°After Trump¡¯s return to the White House, dealing with illegal immigration and drug trafficking in Latin America is seen as an urgent task in his foreign affairs. he believes that the Biden-era ¡®American Economic Partnership for Prosperity¡¯ plan is useless and believes that only ¡®heavy code¡¯ is effective.¡±

Second, the policy of "pulling the right against the left" is obvious, and it is intended to rewrite the political map of Latin America.

Wang Jinping pointed out that the United States has taken a heavy hand to pressure the leftist countries, especially to severely punish the regional leftist leader sheep Brazil, to impose a high tariff of 50%, so that the already advanced Brazilian economy faces greater trouble. Trump's move is to pressure the Brazilian government, want to make it open to the former president Bolsonaro network, and the second is to punish the Lula leftist regime to join the BRICS countries "de-dollarization" words.

"A series of actions by the United States mean that the 'Monroe Doctrine', which was previously thought to have ended, has resurfaced during the Trump era, even more than before."

The change in U.S. policy is expected to trigger a chain reaction in the region. Wang said next two years will be a multi-Latin American election year. This year general elections will be held in Chile and Bolivia, and next year in Colombia and Brazil.

In addition, Wang Youming pointed out that changes in US-Latin America relations will also have a certain impact on China-Latin America relations. The United States is pushing Latin America to "de-China," believing that embedding China factors in its "backyard" will endanger the strategic security of the United States in the Western Hemisphere. It is foreseeable that the strategic focus of subsequent Trump's "backyard" policy will be to increase attention and prevention to prevent regional countries from "alienating the United States from leaving the United States."