#Number One Creator Incentive Plan
Hamas is on its way to a dead end, Russian refineries are attacked again
Original Tonga Vision Talk October 5, 2025 15:34
The Morning Mist.
1. Interpretation of major international news
Pakistan Resistance Factions React to Hamas StatementVarious factions of the Palestinian Resistance Force issued a statement through Hamas's social media account on October 4, saying that Hamas's response to the U.S. proposal was the result of a responsible national stance. This response was made after in-depth consultations with the Palestinian Resistance Force factions aimed at reaching an agreement that is in the interests of the Palestinian people and stopping the war of genocide against the Palestinians.
The statement called on all parties to complete various steps and measures, and stressed that the Palestinian National Authority should fulfill its duties and obligations from this moment, including convening an emergency national conference to discuss the implementation mechanism of the Palestinian independent institution to take over the Gaza Strip.
It needs to be explained that, The so-called Palestinian Resistance Factions are mainly Palestinian extremist armed groups in the Gaza Strip, excluding the Palestinian Authority led by Abbas and the mainstream Palestinian faction Fatah.。
If Palestinian extremist organizations, including Hamas, want to bargain on the core contents of the "20-point plan" proposed by the United States, including the release of all hostages, the laying down of arms by Hamas and other extremist armed groups, Hamas's permanent abandonment of the governance of Gaza, and the takeover of Gaza by a US-led multinational force and the establishment of a US-led administrative agency to take over the governance of the Gaza Strip, the United States and Israel will definitely reject it categorically, and the Israeli army will soon resume military operations.
From beginning to end, I believed that after Hamas's massacre of Israel on October 7, Hamas only had two paths left: Surrender or be destroyed, there is no third wayHamas has now lost all its money and has also lost its bargain with Israel, which is now the last chance for the remaining Hamas militants to survive. If no agreement can be reached within two weeks, the Israeli army will soon seize Gaza City and destroy all the remaining Hamas militants.。
The final stage of the war in Gaza is now, and the “drop time” will not be more beneficial to Hamas, as Gaza City is besieged like an Israeli barrel of iron, with large numbers of civilians fleeing Gaza City every day and fewer and fewer “human-meat shields” for Hamas.
A new round of talks will take place in Egypt on October 6.U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East, Witkov, and Trump’s son-in-law, Kushner, will join the Israeli-Hamas cease-fire talks in Gaza, Egypt’s capital, Cairo. Palestinian factions may hold coordination meetings in Egypt to discuss how to intervene in Gaza after the war, and elections in the Palestinian Autonomous Region a year later.
The remnants of Hamas in Gaza are gone.
2. [Palestinian President Abbas welcomes Hamas's official response to the "20-point plan"]Palestinian President Abbas said on October 4 that he welcomed US President Trump's announcement of a ceasefire and completion of specific details in response to Hamas's positive statement.
At the same time, he welcomed Hamas's statement on releasing all detainees and actively responding to this stage, saying that this requires all parties to show the highest degree of national responsibility.
Abbas also thanked Arab and Islamic nations for their efforts, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Indonesia and Pakistan.
Abbas stressed that the most important thing now is to immediately commit to a comprehensive ceasefire, release all detainees and prisoners, provide emergency humanitarian assistance through United Nations organizations, ensure that Palestinians are not displaced or the Gaza Strip is annexed by Israel, and start the reconstruction process.
Obviously, Abbas is reluctant to take responsibility for undermining the ceasefire in Gaza, so he did not ask the Pakistani government to play any role in it, and in fact fully endorses the U.S. proposed Gaza ceasefire "20-point plan".It should be noted that Abbas mentioned these Arab and Islamic countries in his statement, and they all publicly expressed their support for the US "20-point plan."
In addition to Hamas voluntarily laying down its weapons and seeking self-destruction, I don’t think who can save it from the destiny of being destroyed.I’m not saying this now, but on the first day of the October 7th Holocaust, just when the vast majority didn’t believe it.
I think, Israel’s best response to Hamas’s delayed strategy is to first ask Hamas to fulfill its promise and release all hostages in exchange for a ceasefire; then negotiate the Hamas’s proposed Israeli withdrawal and governance of Gaza, just to let go of the attack.。I believe that Israel will do so.
What Hamas cannot get on the battlefield must not be able to get from the negotiating table; Similarly, the Israeli government withstood all pressure and persisted until the last moment to completely eradicate Hamas in the Gaza Strip. It will never give up this fundamental goal in order to avoid the casualties of more than 20 surviving hostages.
The Latest Dynamics and Comments of the Russian War
The drone attacked Kirich refinery, one of Russia's largest refineries in Leningrad.On the evening of October 3 and 4, drones attacked the town of Kirish in Leningrad Oblast, Russia, hitting one of Russia's largest oil refineries, the Kirish Refinery.
"A fire broke out in the industrial zone. Fire departments have begun to extinguish it," confirmed Leningrad region governor Alexander Drozdenko, claiming that Russian air defense systems shot down seven drones over the town.
The Kirich refinery, located more than 800 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, is one of the largest refineries in Russia, processing more than 18.4 million tons of crude oil annually, producing a variety of petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel, aviation fuels and so on.
This is not the first time the Ukrainian army attacked the refinery. On March 8, the Ukrainian army first attacked the refinery, and the Russian authorities acknowledged that one of the drones hit a tank. The second attack occurred in the late afternoon of September 13 to the morning of September 14, when a violent explosion and fire occurred at the refinery.
According to the Ukrainian military, the Ukrainian army has destroyed 40% of Russia's refining capacity.Russia has now begun importing large amounts of finished oil from neighbouring countries to ease tensions in gasoline supply across Russia.
(Photos of Kirich refinery attack)
2. [The Ukrainian army successfully attacked a series of Russian army targets in depth]The General Staff of the Ukrainian Army reported on October 4 that it successfully attacked a series of Russian targets in depth that day.
In the Lake Onega region of the Russian Republic of Karelia, a small missile boat "Buyan-M" was hit and the extent of the damage is being ascertained.
The Popl-M-class Hail is one of Russia's newest and most advanced ships and joined the Russian Baltic Fleet on December 29, 2022. Its main weapon is the "caliber" cruise missile vertical launch system, which is often used to attack targets in Ukraine.
In Kursk Oblast, the Ukrainian army hit two high-value Russian targets: an "Accordion" radar station and a transport loading vehicle belonging to the "Iskander" tactical missile system.
The message also said that the Ukrainian army also carried out strikes on the command of the Russian Army Group 8 stationed in the Donetsk region, the target has been hit, and the specific results are being verified.
3.[A passenger train was attacked in Sumei, Ukraine]Oleg Grigorov, the military administrator of Sumy, Ukraine, posted on social media on October 4 that a passenger train from Shostka to Kiev in the state was attacked by Russian troops. The attack killed one person and injured about 30 people.
When the Russian army launched the attack, the passenger train was parked at the railway station in Shostka. The attack caused the train to catch fire and injured about 30 people. The injured have been taken to hospital for treatment, and the number of injured people is being further verified.
In addition, on October 5th, the industrial park of Lviv, the capital of Uzbekistan, burned after an attack in Russia; at 6:36 p.m., the Ukrainian air force issued an early air defense warning, saying that Russian "high-speed" supersonic missiles were approaching the city, and soon after Lviv came the explosion.
(Uzbekistan passenger train was hit by a Russian drone)
The suspect who murdered the former Ukrainian parliamentarian is a Russian agentThe Ukrainian Security Service (SSU) said on October 4 that its investigators had gathered “unfathomable evidence of treason” for the murder of Ukrainian lawmaker and former lawmaker Andrei Paruby, Mikhail Shernikov.
SSU found that the suspect living in Lviv was recruited by the Russians more than a year ago and has since been accepting the mission and "reporting" to them the completion of the mission.
When the suspect was considered ready to perform a "more complicated" task, the Russian secret service instructed him to murder Andrei Parubi and jointly worked out an implementation plan. In order to carry out the "orders" of the Russian secret service, the suspect monitored Parubi's daily routine and travel route.
Investigators also confirmed that the suspect originally planned to flee abroad after committing the murder case. Law enforcement agencies prevented the suspect from leaving the country and arrested him in the state of Khmelnitsk.
According to the Lviv state prosecutor’s office, “According to the new evidence obtained, the suspect’s conduct is accused of violating Article 111.2 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine (crimes of treason committed under an order of arms), Article 112 (attempting to kill members related to their state or public activities) and Article 263.1 (illegal handling of weapons).”
According to the law, the suspect may be sentenced to life imprisonment. Ukraine has abolished the death penalty, which is the highest penalty. In addition, the suspect hopes to be exchanged to Russia through prisoner exchange, and Ukraine has not yet made a decision on this. Whether Ukraine is willing to exchange him with Russia in the end depends mainly on how high the price Russia is willing to pay.
Suspect Mikhail Shernikov
Zelensky signed several sanctions orders against RussiaUkraine President Zelensky announced on October 4 that a number of new sanctions resolutions have been signed today, covering different areas. The first is to extend the expiring sanctions on Russian entrepreneurs and their connections to Putin's system. The second decree targets the Russian military industry, specifically manufacturers of drones and their parts. The third decree imposes sanctions on individuals and companies related to the Russian oil industry.
He said that we will continue to implement a comprehensive policy of pressure on Russia and will remain in coordination with our partners on this. Currently, several sanctions initiatives in Ukraine have become the basis for our partners to develop sanctions policies. We look forward to synchronizing the sanctions with our partners and also look forward to the introduction of the 19th round of new sanctions by the EU, while looking forward to the United States to act accordingly.
He said that Russia almost completely ignored or rejected every opportunity to end this conflict and ensure security.Putin wanted to start a war, and he wanted to go to war with the use of means of terror, and lowly means.Russia must pay the price for its actions.Europe, the United States, the G7 and the G20 have the ability to deal with any terrorist acts, and this will eventually be achieved.
Obviously, Ukraine does not expect its own impact on the Russian sanctions, but hopes that this will play a role as a brick-and-mortar, prompting European and American countries to follow up on Ukraine’s sanctions against Russia.
President of Ukraine Zelensky
6.[The Ukrainian army has stabilized the situation in Lyman and Dobropilia]Ukrainian Army Commander-in-Chief Silsky said on October 4 that the Ukrainian army has stabilized the Donetsk region. LehmannThe situation in the south-east direction near Yan Pear village.
He said, "I have worked with people in Dobropilya, Siversk and LehmannMilitary command headquarters and military units on the front line operations have been in contact. They confirmed that the situation near the Yampier settlement has stabilized. Special operations forces, Ukraine Armed Forces ground forces and Ukraine National Guard troops are conducting search and destruction operations in the village to detect and destroy remaining enemy disruptive groups."
Syrsky said the Ukrainian Defense Forces are improving the efficiency of strikes against clusters of Russian military personnel and destroying their presence in Dobropilha Frontand logistics.
In the last 24 hours, Russia has lost a total of 47 soldiers in the region, 32 of whom died on the ground. Since Ukraine began a counterattack on the Dobropolya front, the Russian army has lost approximately 3,520 people, of whom 1988 died on the ground. At the same time, 991 Russian military equipment has been damaged or destroyed.
Syrsky said he reviewed operational situations with commanders fighting on the front lines and considered recommendations to improve the combat effectiveness of formations, units and detachments. The tasks identified include improved force coordination, logistics and casualty evacuation.
7. [Introduction to the latest war situation between Russia and Ukraine]Ukrainian National Border Agency Phoenix City drone system forces on October 4 in the Pokrovsk region destroyed a Russian military TOS-1A "Sun" heavy flame jets system.
In the last day, The Russian and Ukrainian armies engaged in a total of 188 engagements, clockwise according to the map, including 7 on the Kursk-Sumy border, 12 on the northern border of Kharkiv, 4 on Kupyansk, and 19 on Lyman， and SevilleTwelve times ToretskTwelve times Polkovsk 60The next, New Pavlivka 34 times, other directions are not listed one by one. The Russian army fired 182 gliding bombs, 5857 drones, and carried out 4373 artillery shells.
In the last day, The Russian army suffered 870 casualties, and there was no significant change in the contact line between the two sides.
(Russia's latest military defeat announced by the General Assembly)
Let us keep praying: May God give peace and stop war; Let the wicked be punished and the good be sheltered。
3. Respond to readers' inquiries and refute rumors
1. Are you sure Hamas will accept the "20-Point Peace Plan"?
A: My recent article made it very clear: there is this possibility because Hamas is desperate-surrender can save the lives of the remaining people, and if it does not surrender, it will be physically eliminated before the end of the year-Hamas has lost its bargaining power with Israel.
Whether Hamas will agree to the "20-point plan" to give up arms and surrender will be revealed by about two weeks, and Israel will not allow this process to prolong unlimitedly.
In the event of the election of Cao市早苗 as president of the Japanese People's Party and possibly becoming prime minister of Japan, what changes will be brought to China's policy, do you do a more detailed analysis?
A: Sorry, I don't have the guts to grasp the sense of discretion, really. If you don't say it well, it may lead to being permanently banned. In recent years, I have adhered to a bottom line principle and tried not to talk about domestic-related matters; For sensitive topics, I'm even more afraid to avoid them. I promise to provide you with true and objective information. In doing so, we must avoid matters related to the country. We can't have your cake and eat it. I hope everyone understands, understands.
3, Czech parliamentary elections, the victory of the right-wing opposition party, former prime minister Babis's ANO, will lead to the formation of a coalition government.
A: ANO has made it clear that it is a pro-Europe and pro-NATO political party and supports more transparent aid to Ukraine. In addition, the Czech President holds a firm stance on aiding Ukraine, so the change of the Czech government will not affect aid to Ukraine.
Source of information: 2025-10-05 WeChat Public No.
ID：cmyjts
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