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Editor | L.Y.
Preliminary
On the night of September 29, Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu at the White House, and the two together dropped out a so-called “Gaza peace plan.”
This plan sounds beautiful, but one of them makes my back feel cold: Hamas must deliver all hostages, whether dead or alive, within 72 hours, before 3 o’clock on October 3.
Where is this a peace plan? This is clearly an ultimatum, a surrender agreement with a written ending.
The plan appears to depict the beautiful picture of peace in Gaza, but one of the terms is like a heavyweight bomb, making the whole situation even more tense. Trump demands that Hamas must deliver all hostages before 3 October 18am (Beijing time, October 4th, 6am) and that they will face the “Hell Disaster” whether dead or alive.
72 Hour Ultimate: Hamas’s Compromise and Internal Disputes
Trump posted on social media that the plan was Hamas's "last chance" and called on Palestinians to "immediately leave this area, which may face greater danger, and move to a safer place in the Gaza Strip." Israel has accepted Trump's conditions, and now all pressure is concentrated on Hamas.
In the face of Trump's "ultimatum", Hamas is not without resistance. Hamas said it was willing to accept Trump's peace plan for Gaza but asked for more time to review its conditions, according to Arab mediators. Hamas has reservations about some provisions in the 20-point plan, including provisions for disarmament and destruction of weapons, a demand it had previously rejected. In addition, Hamas also said it would be difficult to release all 48 hostages within 72 hours as Trump planned, because it lost contact with other organizations that held several hostages in recent weeks.
Islamic governments such as Qatar, Egypt and Turkey urged Hamas to respond positively to the plan, and discussions on the concerns of the organization continued until the evening of October 1 local time.These countries warned Hamas leaders that this was their last chance to end the war in Gaza and that it would no longer get their diplomatic support if the organization rejected Trump’s agreement.
In the face of this internal diplomatic impasse, Hamas issued a statement on the evening of October 3 local time, announcing that it had submitted a response to Trump's "20-point plan" to the mediator and expressed its willingness to negotiate through the mediator to implement the relevant plans.
Delivery of hostages
Hamas said that in order to a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the full withdrawal of Israel from the Gaza Strip, the organization agreed to release all Israeli hostages and deliver the bodies of the victims in accordance with Trump’s proposal, provided that the necessary conditions for the exchange were met. In this context, Hamas is willing to negotiate immediately through mediators to discuss the details of this process.
Trump's "Gaza Peace Plan", on the surface, is to achieve peace and stability in Gaza and end this long-running conflict. But in fact, the plan is regarded by many as a "surrender agreement." Because according to the plan, Hamas would not only hand over the hostages, but also disarm, declare its dissolution, and be unable to participate in the governance of the Gaza Strip. A "peace council" chaired by Trump will assume management responsibilities, while the Palestinian National Authority will also be excluded from governance in Gaza.
For Hamas, this is undoubtedly an extremely difficult decision. If they accept the plan, they will lose their armed forces and political status in Gaza, and the goals they have been fighting for for many years will be in vain. But if they reject the plan, they will face stronger military pressure from the United States and Israel, and the people of the Gaza Strip will continue to suffer from the war.
Israeli Military Adjustment
At the international community level, all parties also have different views on Trump's "Gaza Peace Plan." Some countries believe that this plan provides a new idea and opportunity for resolving the Gaza conflict and helps promote the Palestinian-Israeli peace process. However, many countries also pointed out that the plan lacks protection of the basic rights of Palestinians, especially the lack of a clear commitment to the Palestinian right to independent statehood, which may lead to further escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
Hamas has already made a preliminary response, willing to accept Trump’s plan and negotiate under certain conditions, but the future path is still full of uncertainty. How the situation in the Gaza Strip will develop, whether Hamas can make substantial progress in negotiations between Israel and the United States, and what role the international community will play in it, will be key factors affecting the Middle East.
conclusion
In any case, the conflict in Gaza has been going on for too long, countless lives have been lost in the fighting and countless families have been broken. People yearn for peace, for no more bloodshed and sacrifice. Hopefully, Trump's "Gaza Peace Plan" can truly become the starting point for peace, rather than the fuse of another conflict.
After that, if Hamas withdraws from Gaza, then Fatah may take over Gaza with the support of the United States and Israel. Since Fatah and Israel can basically be regarded as a "cooperative" relationship, Israel may continue to encroach on Gaza step by step like the West Bank of the Jordan River. The final result may be Israel's complete annexation of Palestine. By that time, Hamas may almost "withdraw from the stage of history."
After this battle, Israel has further established its military hegemony in the Middle East. The hegemony of the US-Israel military bloc in the Middle East may become more stable, and the situation in the Middle East will usher in more uncertainties.
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