What we are going to say today is enough to shake the entire international community. Trump, who has been careful to avoid a direct conflict with Russia, seems to have completely lost his patience. He, through Special Envoy Kellogg, issued an order described by countless as "crazy", and this order is pushing the Russian conflict to the edge of unprecedented danger.
Kellogg’s statement in public is unambiguous: Trump has officially authorized Ukraine to use U.S. weapons to launch military strikes on Russian-based targets.This news is shocking because it completely overturned the “submarine rules” of the Western world over the past three years – whether the Biden government or other NATO countries had previously laid a iron rule for Ukrainian weapons: they should never be used to attack the Russian mainland.
In the past, the U.S. strategy was clear: both to "help Ukraine against Russia", to help Ukraine to stabilize on the battlefield, and more to "control and avoid war", afraid of the war spread to the Russian territory. After all, everyone knows that once Putin feels the native is directly threatened, the situation is likely to be completely out of control, and even trigger a direct military confrontation between the two nuclear powers of the United States and Russia.
But now, Trump has personally torn up that red line. What deserves even more alarm are the four words Kellogg emphasized: "There is no forbidden zone". These four words are as important as a thousand: Theoretically, everything from military strongholds on the Russian border to in-depth logistics hubs, and even those more sensitive core targets, may be included in the strike list by Ukraine. This unscrupulous gesture is tantamount to sending a tough signal to Moscow: the previous rules of the game are no longer counted.
Why did Trump make such a radical change at this point in time? The answer may be hidden in Zelensky's remarks not long ago. At that time, the Ukrainian president publicly threatened that the Kremlin "must" know where its bomb shelter is. These remarks were widely interpreted at the time as: Ukraine was planning to launch strikes against the Russian leadership or core symbolic targets.
Now it seems that it is not a momentary speech, but rather a well-planned public opinion patchwork and diplomatic lobbying.Zelensky’s goal is clear: to fight for the United States to release the final constraints on the use of Ukrainian weapons.And from the outcome, his lobbying has clearly succeeded, and he seems to move Trump, who says he is “good at dealing”, to convince the latter that only unprecedented pressure on Putin can break the current battlefield impasse.
We can entirely foresee that once Ukraine really puts this mandate into practice and successfully defeats high-value Russian objectives with U.S. weapons, it will be a “tragic shock” for the Putin regime. This is not a simple military loss: Russian society has been under sanctions pressure since the outbreak of the war, but the country has never suffered a large-scale blow backed by the top weapons of the West. The shock of this “indigenous assault” will directly challenge the prestige of Russia’s great powers and even shake Putin’s personal authority, its impact far deeper than the battlefield.
Now the most critical question comes: Where will Trump's "crazy" order eventually go? Supporters believe that this may "give Putin a little color to see" as Trump and Zelensky expected, forcing Russia to retreat under pressure and finally return to the negotiating table. After all, the Russian military has always exercised restraint on U.S. aid facilities in Ukraine because of its fear of direct conflict between the United States and Russia. If the Ukrainian army can directly attack the Russian mainland, it may be able to break the deadlock on the battlefield.
But the concerns of the opponents are more realistic: this is likely to be a step to completely anger the "Arctic Bear". Putin's style of conduct is well known to the world, and he has always been known for hard counteracting any provocation. When the core interests of the country are directly attacked, he is almost impossible to choose silent surrender. At the time, the Russian military's revenge, probably far beyond the scope of the Ukrainian battlefield,
Maybe it’s a cutting off supply to Europe in the energy sector, maybe it’s a massive cyberattack, or even a wider region, when we’re not facing a faster end to the war, but a bigger and more dangerous “bust.”
Trump's impatient order has pushed the entire situation to a new and more dangerous crossroads. Is this step a "wonderful way" to break the deadlock or a "fuse" to ignite a greater disaster? Will the "color" Trump wants to give Putin eventually burn on him? At the moment, all answers are hidden in the unknown, but what is certain is that in this game, no one can easily escape unscathed. The next trend deserves everyone's close attention. After all, it is related to far more than the fate of Russia and Ukraine.