All statements in this article have reliable sources of information, and are described at the end of the article.
The dream pursuit.
Editor of Dreams.
Preliminary
On October 2, the White House time, less than 48 hours from the U.S. government closure, the airport turmoil, parks completely shut down, the economy is bleeding every day.
However, Trump, who is best at chatting, is now like a different person. He opens his social account and searches around. Previously, those intense words and words about China's trade were left untouched and replaced by a silence.
Even more surprisingly, he also told his neighbors in private that he felt that China would soon give him a face and a breakthrough in the trade agreement with the United States, this attitude changed rapidly than a book, and no one could grasp what medicine he sold in his hose.
So why is Trump suddenly so soft about China?
American society becomes a puddle.
To know just before the US government "shutdown", Trump was still hardened in front of the media, saying that the government "shutdown" can streamline institutions, and even talk about permanent cuts on unnecessary jobs.
Within a few days, the American society became a mess!
Washington Dulles airport originally 12 security checkpoints, hard life cut to only five, passengers are in line for a few hours of long row, flight delays rate jumped directly to 35%, many people openly look at their flight schedule.
Yellowstone National Park also closed its doors, and the owner of the neighboring hostel saddened not to sleep, a day down losing $ 10,000, in his mouth continuously rumored it was to be forced to bankrupt by politicians.
What is even more worrying is that the CDC, the influenza surveillance system is directly offline. Seeing that the flu season is coming, Americans can't even check the progress of vaccine approval, and they are even more panicked.
The economic aspect is even more unbearable, even if Goldman Sachs had a account, the government every week of shutdown, the economic growth rate has to fall by 0.15 percentage points, if it is really shutdown for a month, the photovoltaic tourism industry will have to lose hundreds of billions.
Trump looked at this messy situation, and he knew more than anyone else, and his trouble would be bigger!H, at this time he turned his eyes to China, especially the soybean business in the Sino-U.S. trade.
American soybean farmers are almost white these days, and their exports to China have plummeted by 40%. The soybeans piled up in warehouses cannot be sold, so they can only watch them depreciate.
The bean farmers, who were so anxious that they directly sent an open letter to Trump, urging him to quickly resolve his relationship with China. Trump was also unambiguous and immediately patted his chest to promise that he would soon send US$10 billion in aid to farmers.
But anyone with discerning eyes can see that the United States cannot even pay salaries to its soldiers. Where this $10 billion comes from is simply unknown.
More interestingly, the people around Trump are not lazy, Finance Minister Bessent recently interviewed, a bite that the APEC summit at the end of October will be a major breakthrough in China-U.S. trade, and said that China does not buy American soybeans, the responsibility is all in Biden.
He even recalled that before meeting with Chinese representatives, when asked why not to buy soybeans, the Chinese representative said "Biden" two words, this word can't stand, a little bit of the timeline knows.
Trump's attitude towards China changes sharply
In April this year, the Trump administration initially raised the soya tariffs on China to 34%, which suddenly left the U.S. soybeans out of competitiveness in the international market.
In July, three more U.S. soybean companies had their export qualifications suspended by China in accordance with regulations due to product quality problems. This was originally done in accordance with the rules, but Trump insisted on saying that China was engaging in political retaliation, which was obviously shirk responsibility.
What is even more confusing is that the U.S. government has inconsistent attitudes towards China!
Trump's side is insinuating on social media, hoping that China will buy more American soybeans. However, Secretary of State Rubio has always been known as a hardline on China, but recently suddenly sent China National Day congratulations.
Trade representatives there also rushed to start the next round of Sino-U.S. trade negotiations, and in a moment said that the outside world could not understand what the United States really wanted to do, and it was clear that in order to cope with the crisis ahead, the response was temporarily compiled.
Trump knows better than anyone else that whether China buys American soybeans or not is not a matter of giving face at all. The key depends on the market. Chinese enterprises that import soybeans have an account in their hearts. Whether to buy from the United States or Brazil or Argentina depends on which country's tariff is more cost-effective and which country's soybean price is more affordable.
Just as soybeans in Brazil and Argentina are not only cheap, but because of China's investment in local ports and warehousing, the transportation time is shortened by more than half compared with shipping from the United States. On the premise of low cost and high efficiency, companies are naturally willing to choose South American soybeans.
In addition, China has been promoting new soybean varieties over the years, increasing domestic soybean production, and also promoting soybean meal substitutes, in order to reduce dependence on a single import channel and firmly grasp food security in its own hands.
Trump doesn't care about this. All he can think about now is how to make China let go. After all, besides the problem of soybean farmers, he has more headaches.
Following the September polls, his support fell to 43 percent, the lowest since his second term, and the Republican party also exploded, fearing that the next midterm elections would be a loss if the workers and peasants’ basic voters could not be stabilized.
You should know that most of the major soybean producing areas in the United States are Republican voting bases. For example, in places such as Iowa and Illinois, if soybean farmers are not satisfied, they will definitely not support the Republican Party when voting.
In addition, what makes Trump anxious is military issues. As soon as the government closes, the military budget also gets stuck.
The US military originally planned to accelerate the construction of the "Colombia-class" nuclear submarine. As a result, the delivery time has now been delayed from 2027 to 2030. The active Virginia-class nuclear submarine is even worse and can only rely on dismantling parts to maintain operation.
China's Type 095 nuclear submarine used axial pump push technology, the noise pressure to 95 decibels below, Xinhua news agency exposed the image of it hiding cruise.
Russia's "God of the North Wind - A" nuclear submarine, recently tested the "Blava" missile, with a range of more than 9000 kilometers.
China has already made its position clear
Urgent or useless, China's attitude has always been very clear, it is not impossible to talk, but it must be honest.
Wang Yi said before: The practice of asking others to pay for your illness will not work! If the United States does not abolish unilateral tariffs and stop chip control, shouting slogans alone will not solve the problem.
During the Geneva talks in May this year, China had already given the United States a chance, but it was the United States that reneged on its word. Now it would be naive to make China give in with a few good words.
Trump has a "big plan" has not landed, October 13 is the 250th anniversary of the United States Navy, he has long spoken about going to a "most large-scale" celebration in the history of the Navy, to say it is to want to engage in the style of the ship, make a good look.
But now the government has no budget, whether this celebration can be done, it is still unknown, on the one hand, the army cannot send out, and on the other hand, it wants to hold a major celebration; on the other hand, it promises to provide aid to farmers, and on the other hand, there is no source of funding.
While wanting to make China give face in trade and unwilling to give up pressure methods, Trump is now in a dilemma.
He is now in a hurry to make China face, saying that it is ultimately forced away by the domestic mess.
The U.S. "veto policy" has crushed the government enough, the two parties are fighting for the budget, the Republicans want to cut medical insurance subsidies, the Democrats want to secure welfare spending, even on Ukraine's aid issues can not talk together, two provisional allocations bills are all rejected, the House of Representatives simply shut the pot.
In such a situation, if Trump is unable to find a breakthrough as soon as possible, the trouble will only grow.
But China is no longer the one that was manipulated by others before. Over the years, relying on industrial upgrading and diversified cooperation, it has gained its own confidence in the fields of trade and science and technology.
Trump wants to rely on the set of hegemony to allow China to make concessions, it will not work at all, and then look to see if Trump can recognize the reality, bring out the real sincerity to solve the problem, if it is still held by luck, in the end, I am afraid that it can only be self-sufficient.
After all, international cooperation is about mutual benefit and win-win results, not unilateral "giving face." If Trump had understood this earlier, he would not have ended up in this situation.
References:
Observer Network: 2025-10-03,"The United States has a bumper soybean harvest and China refuses to buy it," Trump considers US$10 billion in aid ""
International Online: 2025-10-05, The US Government “Stop” Continues Multiple Negative Impacts Appear