The Nobel Peace Prize, originally one of the most respected awards in the world, does not look at the size of power, no matter which country you are the leader, only depends on whether you have really promoted peace.

"Not giving me the Nobel Prize would be an insult to the United States," he said at a closed-door military meeting. This was not a casual joke, but he said it seriously.

From this word, the prize was forcibly tied to the political train of the United States. He not only wanted to win the prize, but also to make it a proof of his "Make America Great Again."In his eyes, the Peace Prize was not only an honor, but also a performance, and an opportunity to redefine his image.

But the question is, what exactly does he rely on to win this award? Is it "peace" by lip service? Or rely on the "Gaza Peace Plan" he recently launched? More importantly, is this political operation around Gaza really for peace, or is it to build momentum for itself?

As soon as the Gaza plan was announced, Trump flashed the "ceasefire card"

The Middle East issue has always been a headache for the U.S. president. Especially Gaza, which explodes once every few years, and whoever wants to touch it has to think about the consequences. But I didn¡¯t think that Trump recently came up with a so-called ¡°Gaza solution¡± of 20 points, which is to say, to put the ceasefire, hostages, reconstruction, and Hamas governance together in a basket.

The plan looks clear and clear, but in essence it is a Trump-style ¡°trade logic¡± ¨C you give a step, I give you a benefit. He doesn¡¯t want to be a judge, but to be a ¡°commercial¡± who presides over the big deal, even as a merchant, and to mark every step.

What really changed the situation was the Hamas response last week. They said they could put hostages, but they were vague about disarmament and governance arrangements. Israel's side blasted the pot, and Prime Minister Netanyahu felt this was not acceptable, and he still wanted to continue military operations.

But Trump did not think so. He directly called Hamas¡¯ return a ¡°preliminary acceptance¡± and then countered Netanyahu¡¯s pressure to demand that Israel stop its offensive in Gaza City. Not long after, the Israeli military actually suspended the military operation. Trump¡¯s special envoy team then headed to Egypt to start the next step of negotiations.

This turning point is crucial.On the one hand, he indeed replaced a temporary ceasefire with political means; on the other hand, he also put this ¡°success¡± in the light of light as proof of his ¡°practical commitment.¡±

But is it for the sake of peace or for the sake of his own political capital?

Behind the award is a battle to shape "image"

Trump's obsession with the Nobel Prize is actually not complicated to put it bluntly. He has always wanted others to recognize him as a "successful president", and the Peace Prize is just the brightest medal that can label him with this label.

He is not the first to express this idea. In the past, there have been allies who have helped him nominate, but he has always had no chance with the prize. This time, he didn't wait for others to speak, and he first tied "national honor" and "price belonging" together, giving the public a strong impression: not giving me the prize is not giving the face of America.

There are two intentions behind this. The first is to wash the image. His first term left a lot of controversy, from immigration policy to epidemic response, where people did not buy it.

He needed a "clean" accomplishment to redefine his place in history.The second was election consideration.He knew the Peace Prize could not be directly exchanged for votes, but the award could help him create a narrative framework for "I fight for America."

More importantly, he turned the award into a political tool. Whether he gets it or not, he can say that he tried his best. If you get it, you are a great man in history; If you don't get it, it's "unfair system" and some people don't want the United States to win. This kind of two-way logic will never suffer for him.

But the Peace Prize is not an election prop, nor can it be won just by saying it. The judges look at whether you are actually promoting peace, not how loudly you shout in the media.

After the ceasefire, the road to peace is still rough

Although the military operation in Gaza City has been temporarily stopped, this does not mean that peace will come.

The internal problems in Israel are very complex. Although Netanyahu apparently stopped, he faced tremendous pressure at home. Far-right political allies were very dissatisfied with his "compromise" and even threatened to let him step down. He has to maintain the alliance and cooperate with Trump's pace, which is in a dilemma.

The Hamas side is also not clear.They are willing to take hostages because of huge military and diplomatic pressure, but they want them to give up arms and give up governance, this is not to say that they can promise.Their ambiguous response is actually to delay time to see how the situation changes.

Another issue that cannot be ignored is that the negotiations were not led by the United Nations, but a "peace group" composed of Trump, Blair, Kushner and several Gulf states.

These people have money and influence, but their goals are not necessarily consistent. Saudi Arabia may be concerned about regional speech rights, Qatar has its own political considerations, and the UAE is more concerned about rebuilding the economic interests behind the contract.

So many different voices, can you really sit down and talk about a "everyone can accept" scheme?It's hard to say.

The current ceasefire is more like a "political delay" than the beginning of complete peace. The real test is how to maintain this fragile balance.

The trophy hasn't landed yet, peace is still on the way

From the current perspective, Trump has indeed done something ¡°influential¡±.He pushed for a ceasefire in Gaza, opened the door to negotiations, and also made the world¡¯s eyes again focused on the Middle East.But does that mean he should get the Nobel Prize?The answer is not simple.

This award is not to see who shouts loudly or who moves quickly, but to see if you can really change the situation and make the war a thing of the past. If this ceasefire can be continued, and if Hamas and Israel can really negotiate an enforceable agreement, then Trump is indeed eligible to be nominated.

But for now, everything is still hanging. The negotiations have not yet reached the critical point, the parties are still wrestling, and peace is far from taking shape. Trump's operation is indeed clever, but he uses a "pressure + trading" method, which is effective in the short term, but whether it can last until the end depends on how things develop.

The Nobel Prize has never been merely a recognition of decision making, but also a recognition of ¡°durable peace¡±. Now it is too early to talk about winning the prize. Trump is closer to that prize, but the real victory is not the prize, but can the people of Gaza really have a safe life.

Thus, whether or not Trump will win the prize, it is not he alone who counts.History will remember what he pushed and will judge what he left.And the Nobel Committee, the focus is never on who wants the most, but who deserves the most.