Bashar al-Assad, who has ruled Syria for more than twenty years, is facing death over and over in exile.
On September 20, 2025, he was suddenly poisoned in Moscow and was sent to the intensive care unit within hours.
Eleven days later, media that Assad had recovered from the hospital.
However, this incident is far from as simple as it appears. What it reflects is a deep struggle of power, revenge and geopolitical games.
The "poisoning game" is staged again
According to the Syrian Human Rights Watch, Assad was "poisoned and assassinated" in Moscow, and the identity of the murderer remains a mystery. According to informed sources, the intention behind the poisoning may not be a simple assassination, but to "discredit the Russian government" by creating a sensational incident, suggesting that Moscow has been unable to protect its allies.
It is worth noting that this is not the first time Assad has been poisoned, and in December 2024, he was poisoned and received emergency treatment after toxic substances were detected in his body.
Now that the assassination technique has reappeared again, it is obvious that some people are unwilling to let the former president remain "safe and sound".
Who works in the dark?
There is no clear evidence to point to any country or organization, but the timing, place, and goal of the incident are forced to relate to several possible.
Since the outbreak of the Syrian civil war, the Assad regime’s bloodshed against the opposition has not been resolved. Even if he has left Damascus, it is difficult to completely get rid of the enemies who vowed to “clean the old bills.”
The second is the calculation of "those who plan chaos". If this operation is really to "smear Russia," then the mastermind may not be in Syria, but in some Western intelligence systems that are trying to weaken Russia's influence in the Middle East. After all, Assad is Moscow's important "symbolic asset" on the Syrian issue. His assassination in Russia is enough to put the Kremlin under public pressure of "failure to protect."
The third is the possibility of "internal game". Even in exile, Assad still holds some old contacts in Syrian politics, which still poses a potential threat to the current power structure in Damascus. Some forces may think that completely "solving" him is the key to reshaping the future.
The Hidden Projection of the Great Power Game
Assad's experience is not only a tragedy of personal destiny, but also a mirror of the Middle East pattern.
Since the outbreak of the civil war in 2011, his political career has gone far beyond Syria itself, becoming the intersection of the Russian-American game, Iran’s expansion and Israel’s strategic security.
Today's Moscow is his haven from the wind, and it may also be a battlefield where undercurrents are surging.
If anyone really tries to use assassination to weaken Russia's image of "protecting allies," this will directly impact the Kremlin's strategic prestige in Syria and even the entire Middle East, and may also open a gap for the diplomatic offensive of the US-European camps.
For other Middle Eastern regimes, the incident is more of a warning: even the former president, even if he is far from the center of power, could become a living target of geoconflict.
Beyond the poison is a war on the future
Assad's escape from death seems to be a simple assassination attempt, but in fact it is more like a "warning"-a warning to himself and all forces related to it. His existence itself is like a thorn that stings the wounds of the old order in Syria and threatens the future chessboard carefully arranged by some people.
And for Russia, this is a sign that must not be ignored: even if a key ally like Assad fails to ensure security, the Kremlin’s “security commitment” to the world will be questioned.
This is not only about Syria, but also about Iran, African allies, and even Russia's overall credibility in its strategic layout in the global South.
The rest of my life is not calm.
From the heart of power in Damascus to the edge of Moscow’s bed, Assad’s political life has undergone a dramatic shift from peak to escape, from ruler to prey.
His fate is no longer in his own hands, but is driven, manipulated and even determined by greater forces.
He may still live, but he can no longer live "peacefully".
As a Middle East analyst put it: "Assad is no longer a problem for Syria, but a problem for the world."
The poisoning event may only be a prelude to this big-power game, and the real fight has only just begun.