Preliminary
Recently, the Middle East has been unstable. Israel suddenly attacked targets in Qatar, killing six people, including a Qatari security personnel.
At the same time, Qatar was weighing whether to accept a cease-fire agreement, which suddenly disrupted the original rhythm.
At this critical juncture, Trump signed an executive order promising to defend Qatar through means including military operations. This move attracted a lot of attention.
A covered cat.
Israel was bold enough to drop the bomb directly into Doha, the capital of Qatar, killing six people, including a Qatari security soldier. This stabbed a hornet's nest. Qatar was helping to settle a ceasefire between Palestine and Israel, and it immediately turned against each other.
At this juncture, Trump suddenly threw out a heavy news and signed an executive order, saying that whoever dares to fight Qatar will have a hard time with the United States. If necessary, the U.S. military will send troops directly!
On the side of Qatar, he said, it is a great thing to deepen defense cooperation.
But everyone in the Jianghu knows that there are many tricks involved. According to U.S. rules, such military-related commitments must be nodded by the Senate, but Trump did not go through this process at all.
The Iranian nuclear agreement signed by Obama in those days was not approved by Congress, but wasn't it torn up by Trump himself? Besides, if there is really a fight, the president has to decide whether to send troops or not. Today, he promises to change his mind tomorrow.
To be honest, this is more like a "verbal check", can you pay for the whole look at Trump's mood.
It was a coincidence that the day when the order was issued, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu was in Washington. Trump forced him to apologize to Qatar, saying in his mouth "deep regret", but what he might think.
The show is clearly about calming Qatar's provokers, and the ceasefire talks have to be discussed.
Binding of interests is true
Seriously, why does Trump prefer to defend Qatar? it’s just two words: interest. First, this place is so important, most of the Persian Gulf gas comes from here, and there’s money to flow oil.
More importantly, the United States has an Al Udeid Air Force Base in Qatar, which is the core stronghold of the U.S. military in the Middle East. More than 8,000 U.S. troops are stationed here and can take off and land B-2 stealth bombers. Air combat in the Middle East is commanded from here.
Besides Trump's personal affairs, the relationship with Qatar is not ordinary iron. People not only cooperated with his company on real estate projects, but also sent a $400 million Boeing 747 as "Air Force One".
Eating people’s mouths and holding people’s hands short, now Qatar has something happened, can he sit and watch no matter?
As soon as this happened, the entire Gulf region was shocked.Saudi Arabia looked at Israel so close, directly to Pakistan signed a defense agreement and put himself in Pakistan's nuclear umbrella.
Other Gulf countries also panicked. They thought it would be safe to hold the thighs of the United States, but as a result, the allies of the United States still did the same, and this umbrella didn't work at all. Kuwaiti professors tell the truth. It's useless to rely on Trump to hold dinners and talk empty talks. You have to take real things out to ensure safety.
In the end, Trump's trick is also really impossible. he wanted to shrink the Middle East strategy, but did not want to lose profits, and set up the "economic trade and security" route.
When Qatar spent a lot of money to buy American planes and invest in American projects, he made a security promise, and this deal was very cost-effective. But can this kind of relationship made with money really last long? Nobody can tell.
Trump's paper "Blood Alliance" looks at the people, in fact, more like the right in the Middle East turmoil. say to go out for military defense, but there are no legal constraints, and there is no difference from empty checks.
But then again, Qatar's natural gas and military bases are too heavy for the United States to ignore them.
The most interesting is the reaction of the Gulf countries, which have sought Pakistan, and other countries are likely to follow.
Israel is on its rampage, Iran is eyeing it, and the U.S. promises are unreliable. The water in this place will only get deeper and deeper.
conclusion
In the final analysis, there are no real allies in the world. They are all for mutual benefit. Trump's operation can not only stabilize Qatar, but also control Israel. It can also earn benefits. He is a good calculation.
But if the war really breaks out one day, will the U.S. military send troops? This is the real time to test commitments. Let's see.