As the number of men in Ukraine continues to decrease, the cost of obtaining high-quality women for men who are still in Ukraine has become lower and lower. Even Ukrainian men will not be happy in the face of such a situation. Because the number of men continues to decrease, it shows that the war is unfavorable, and few of those who go to the front line can come back alive. [Breeze]
On October 2, the Institute of Population and Quality of Life of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences published a report on population forecasts.
The report mentioned that if current trends are not improved, the total population of Ukraine may drop to approximately 25.2 million by 2051.
This number is quite worrying to see that in January 2021, before the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the total population of Ukraine was still around 42 million, and in just a few years there was a marked decline.
The reason why researchers give such pessimistic expectations is that Ukraine's population is shrinking at a rate visible to the naked eye. According to data released by Ukrainian officials in July this year, the population of areas actually controlled by the government is only about 31.1 million.
But even this number, there are people who question its authenticity.The French newspaper Figaro has publicly pointed out that the population of Ukraine may have dropped to 30 million, and official statistics may have some humidity.
There are mainly two reasons for this situation.
The first is the direct casualties caused by the Russo-Ukrainian war, especially the male group of appropriate age. A large number of combatants were killed or injured on the battlefield, and the impact on the population structure was particularly obvious. Secondly, the mass exodus caused by war.
A large number of women, children and young people choose to leave Ukraine to move to other European countries to escape the war, many of whom find it difficult to return in the short term.
The prolonged conflict has not only continued to increase the number of deaths, but has also prevented expatriates from returning to settle, a double impact that makes it more difficult to reverse the decline in the population in Ukraine.
On the front line, the casualty rate is alarmingly high. Many soldiers understand that once they are sent to the battlefield, they are almost equivalent to receiving a "one-way ticket." As the war continued, the supply of troops became increasingly tight, and the standards for conscription were relaxed again and again.
In the past, strict medical examinations were required, and many minor problems are no longer considered restrictive conditions.As a result, the average age of soldiers in the army has risen to about 43 years, and young men under the age of thirty have become rare.
In the back of the city, this demographic change is also noticeable.
Take Kiev as an example. About 80% of the young people are women. Street cafes, shopping malls and subways are full of young girls, while men of the same age are so rare that they can be noticed at a glance.
In Zaporizhzhia, where the war is more intense, the ratio of men to women aged 25 to 35 is even close to 1 to 5, and men have almost become a "rare resource".
This is not the manifestation of social progress, but the reality of war.In the past, most of the work was taken over by men, and now it has to be taken over by women.
In the farms, women used tractors to sow and harvest; in the freight companies, they sat on the driver's seat of heavy trucks; in the repair teams, they learned to pull, weld guns, repair pipes and equipment themselves.
The government offers some subsidies to encourage women to learn these skills, but wages are still generally low, and they do the same job but don’t get the same income.
The more realistic pressure is that, outside of work, they have to bear the burden of the whole family on their own: caring for children, caring for the elderly, andining daily expenses.
It is almost a luxury for young women to find a stable partner. Even if someone pursues it, many people have to face the risk that the other person may be recruited to the front line at any time.
In such an environment, family formation and social stability are weakened, and future demographics and social structures are even more unpredictable.
On October 2, the Institute of Population and Quality of Life of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences published a report on population forecasts.
The report mentioned that if current trends are not improved, the total population of Ukraine may drop to approximately 25.2 million by 2051.
This number is quite worrying to see that in January 2021, before the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the total population of Ukraine was still around 42 million, and in just a few years there was a marked decline.
The reason why researchers give such pessimistic expectations is that Ukraine's population is shrinking at a rate visible to the naked eye. According to data released by Ukrainian officials in July this year, the population of areas actually controlled by the government is only about 31.1 million.
But even this number, there are people who question its authenticity.The French newspaper Figaro has publicly pointed out that the population of Ukraine may have dropped to 30 million, and official statistics may have some humidity.
There are mainly two reasons for this situation.
The first is the direct casualties caused by the Russo-Ukrainian war, especially the male group of appropriate age. A large number of combatants were killed or injured on the battlefield, and the impact on the population structure was particularly obvious. Secondly, the mass exodus caused by war.
A large number of women, children and young people choose to leave Ukraine to move to other European countries to escape the war, many of whom find it difficult to return in the short term.
The prolonged conflict has not only continued to increase the number of deaths, but has also prevented expatriates from returning to settle, a double impact that makes it more difficult to reverse the decline in the population in Ukraine.
On the front line, the casualty rate is alarmingly high. Many soldiers understand that once they are sent to the battlefield, they are almost equivalent to receiving a "one-way ticket." As the war continued, the supply of troops became increasingly tight, and the standards for conscription were relaxed again and again.
In the past, strict medical examinations were required, and many minor problems are no longer considered restrictive conditions.As a result, the average age of soldiers in the army has risen to about 43 years, and young men under the age of thirty have become rare.
In the back of the city, this demographic change is also noticeable.
Take Kiev as an example. About 80% of the young people are women. Street cafes, shopping malls and subways are full of young girls, while men of the same age are so rare that they can be noticed at a glance.
In Zaporizhzhia, where the war is more intense, the ratio of men to women aged 25 to 35 is even close to 1 to 5, and men have almost become a "rare resource".
This is not the manifestation of social progress, but the reality of war.In the past, most of the work was taken over by men, and now it has to be taken over by women.
In the farms, women used tractors to sow and harvest; in the freight companies, they sat on the driver's seat of heavy trucks; in the repair teams, they learned to pull, weld guns, repair pipes and equipment themselves.
The government offers some subsidies to encourage women to learn these skills, but wages are still generally low, and they do the same job but don’t get the same income.
The more realistic pressure is that, outside of work, they have to bear the burden of the whole family on their own: caring for children, caring for the elderly, andining daily expenses.
It is almost a luxury for young women to find a stable partner. Even if someone pursues it, many people have to face the risk that the other person may be recruited to the front line at any time.
In such an environment, family formation and social stability are weakened, and future demographics and social structures are even more unpredictable.