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China is a big country with a population of 1.4 billion. With such a large population base, how many people die every day? The real data behind it sounds the alarm for us. What is the situation of the United States and Japan, which are also receiving much attention?

Let's first look at the population situation of the United States. According to data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, in 2024, the number of births in the United States will be more than 3.6 million, an increase of 1% compared with 2023.

The number of deaths reached 30.7 million, and the mortality rate fell by 3.8% compared to 2023, the lowest level since the 2020 coronavirus outbreak.

However, what is interesting is that the population of the United States will increase by a full 3.3 million in 2024. This situation really makes many people puzzled. In fact, of the 3.3 million new population, nearly 2.8 million are immigrants from abroad, accounting for 84.3%.

So, in 2024, the natural growth population in the United States will be about 51.9 million, then the natural growth rate of the population is 0.15%.

In terms of population growth, the U.S. population growth rate was 1% this year, the strongest growth since 2001.But in 2020 this figure dropped to 0.41%, and later, under the influence of the epidemic, the population growth rate in 2021 was only 0.1%.

This shows that although the population growth in the United States is relatively significant in 2024, the natural growth rate is only 0.15%, which is far lower than the period of higher levels in history. For example, compared with 2019, the natural population growth will be more than 40% less, which shows that the natural growth motivation of the United States population is still insufficient.

In addition, the number of people under the age of 18 in the United States also declined during this year, from 73.3 million in 23 to 73.1 million, a decrease of 0.2%, which also reflects to a certain extent the lack of natural population growth.

From the number of deaths to the analysis, of the 30.7 million deaths in the United States in 2024, the overwhelming majority is still due to various diseases, of which the highest cause of death is cardiovascular disease, reaching 68,000, followed by cancer, with 610,000.

It is noteworthy that in 2024, the number of deaths due to suicide has exceeded 490,000, and the suicide rate has continued to rise, equivalent to 14.7 suicides per 100,000, of which 24,000 deaths due to gun suicide.

As the deaths from drug overdose have improved, the number of deaths from drug overdose in the U.S. reached about 80,000 in 2024 and decreased by 27% compared to 23 years, the lowest level since 2019.

Let's take a look at the situation in Japan. In 2024, the number of newborns in Japan will be only 680,000, a sharp drop of more than 40,000 from the previous year, falling below 700,000 for the first time, setting a record since 1899.

The number of deaths reached 1.6 million, an increase of 2,8 million from the previous year, and the mortality rate reached 13%, a record high.

This time and again, Japan's population has dropped significantly, directly reducing by 618,000 compared with the previous year, and the natural population growth rate is negative 0.73%.

This situation reflects the problem of Japan's demographic structure, as of October 1, 2024, Japan's population aged 0 to 14 decreased by 34.3 million, dropping to the lowest level in history of 13.83 million, accounting for only 11.2 percent of the total population, and the new life force markedly shrunk.

According to the relevant data of the Ministry of General Affairs of Japan, in 2024, Japan's elderly population over the age of 65 reached 36.91 million, the proportion of the country's population reached 29.4%, which also made a new record high, and the aging again accelerated.

More exaggeratedly, these older people over 65 years of age, the number of employment is 9.3 million more, and even 16,000 more than the previous year, accounting for 13.7 percent of the total employment population, which must be surprising to see that there is such an older number, but so many people rely on work to maintain their livelihoods.

As the degree of aging deepens, the pressure on social protection such as pension and medical care will increase greatly. Some experts predict that Japan's social security expenditure will reach 190 trillion yen by 2040.

The real working-age population situation, Japan's 15 to 64-year-old working-age population decreased by 22.4 million in 2024, the number has dropped to 7372.8 million, accounting for 59.6%, highlighting the growing problem of labor shortage in Japan, which has an extremely adverse impact on the development of Japan's economy.

For example, the working population in manufacturing, nursing, agriculture and other fields will reach 14.3 million, and some enterprises will also go bankrupt because of "no-one available."At the same time, with the shrinking of the consumer market and the lack of innovation momentum, enterprises will also find it difficult to fill the human resources gap when relying on automation.

Finally, according to the relevant data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, China's birth population in 2024 was 95.4 million, an increase of 52 million from the previous year, which is the first recovery since 2017.

The death toll is as high as 10.93 million, equivalent to 29,900 deaths every day, but it is 170,000 fewer than the previous year. In terms of the total population, the overall decrease is 1.39 million, and the natural population growth rate is negative. 0.99%.

The number of births has increased compared to the previous year, mainly due to the gradual implementation of fertility policies across the country in recent years.

For example, Tianmen City, Hubei Province has introduced a policy to encourage childbirth. Families with two children can enjoy a subsidy of 96,300 yuan. If they give birth to three children, the subsidy amount will reach 16.51 yuan. Therefore, by the end of 2024, the number of births in Tianmen City has increased by 910 compared with the same period of the previous year.

Another factor to note is that 2024 is the year of the dragon, this portrait is deeply loved by the Chinese, in the traditional Chinese culture, the dragon symbolizes happiness, authority and power, many families see the dragon year as the "year of happiness", and believe that the children born in the year of the dragon will be lucky.

Inevitably, the natural growth rate of China's population in 2024 will remain negative. Although it has rebounded from the negative 1.48% in the previous year, this is mainly due to the combined effect of the increase in births and the decrease in deaths.

From the overall trend of development, the negative population growth remains a long-term trend in the future. According to the existing data, the estimated number of births is around 5 million throughout the year in 2025 and up to 6 million, and the number of births may continue to face a decline.

What follows is the deepening of aging. It is estimated that by 2030, the number of elderly people over 60 years old will rise from 22% in 24 years to about 24% to 25%, and China will enter a deeply aging society.

China faces this situation, the birth of the population on the one hand, to continue to intensify the implementation of the encouragement of fertility policy, as well as to improve the conception of fertility of young people now, also to focus on people's livelihoods, healthcare and other aspects of the situation.

Demographic issues are crucial to a country and directly determine the country's economic growth potential, as well as its competitiveness for long-term development, and we hope that China will have a healthy demographic structure in the future and a dynamic balance between population and development.

Source: Wang Pingping of the National Bureau of Statistics: The decline in the total population has narrowed and the quality of the population continues to improve

National Center for Health Statistics: U.S. birth rate will increase by 1% in 2024

Japan: The number of newborns and the overall fertility rate in 2024 are both low