Xinhua News Agency, Tokyo, October 4th Title: Taking over the "mess", it is not easy for Takashi Saami to be Japan's first female prime minister

Chen Zhen, a news reporter.

Japan's former Minister of Economic Security, CaoÊÐÔçÃç, won the ruling party's self-government party chairman election on Thursday, and was elected the party's 29th chairman.

Analysts believe that High City as a representative of Japan's right-wing politicians can win the election, mainly because the grassroots and local voting advantage is obvious, reflecting the further right-wing of the Self-Democratic Party and Japanese society.

Winning mainly comes from local votes

A total of five people participated in the election, in addition to High City, there were Japan's agriculture and forestry aquaculture minister СȪ½ø´ÎÀÉ, the head of the cabinet official house, Lin Feng Jing, the former minister for economic security and security, Little Lin Eagle, and the former director of the self-government party, Momoi Feng.

The election that day went through two rounds of voting. In the first round, each of the 295 Liberal Democratic Party members of parliament had one vote. Party members and "party friends", that is, registered supporters, were proportionately converted into 295 votes, for a total of 590 votes. Those with more than half of the votes could be directly elected. As a result, none of the five candidates received more than half of the votes. Takashi and Koizumi ranked in the top two with 183 votes and 164 votes respectively, entering the second round of voting. In the second round, each of the 295 members of parliament still had one vote, and each of the 47 prefectures and counties Liberal Democratic Party branch federations had one vote, totaling 342 votes. In the end, out of 341 valid votes, Takashi and Koizumi received 185 votes and 156 votes respectively, and Takashi was elected.

In terms of voting distribution, the high market received the most party members and ¡°party friends¡± votes in the first round, 35 more votes than the second, and in the second round, the party members and ¡°party friends¡± voting advantage of the high market was directly translated into the local voting advantage, with the local votes obtained 25 more votes than the small market.

In terms of congressional votes, the high market was originally at a disadvantage in the first round, but in the second round it was overwhelming. Analysts believe that the current self-government party has been dragged down by factors such as the "black gold" scandal, and the high markets with higher grassroots support rates have been favoured by more congressmen in the second round. It is that the current leader of the only unsolved vanguard "Majin" in the self-government party, former Prime Minister Moshin Tarot, has previously expressed support for more candidates to get party members and "party friends" votes.

In addition, Koizumi was exposed to scandals after the election campaign, including important members of his campaign team asking supporters to give him praise on the Internet, and some party members in the local organizations of the Liberal Democratic Party led by him who supported Takashi were "quit the party", which was also beneficial to Takashi.

Refraction conservative tendency

High City, 64 years old, is one of the representatives of Japan¡¯s right-wing politicians, who has frequented Yakuza Shrine several times. She has been conservative in diplomatic security, advocating increased defence fees, anti-espionage laws, etc. She also advocated the implementation of strict ¡°foreigners policy¡±, during the election campaign emphasized the frequent abuse of foreigners visiting Japan, and even claimed that ¡°Nara Park has foreigners kicking deer phenomenon¡±.

Judging from the situation of this election campaign, the five candidates mostly pursue conservative positions on diplomatic security and historical issues. For example, they all advocate strengthening Japan's defense forces. Among them, Koizumi visited the Yasukuni Shrine many times, and Kobayashi and Motegi all advocated surrounding threats. In contrast, Takaichi's right-wing conservative color is more obvious. It has long been supported by former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who is known for his conservatism, in the Liberal Democratic Party, with conservatives in the party as the basic disk. Analysts believe that Takashi has won wide support at the grassroots level of the Liberal Democratic Party, which shows that the party is more right-leaning.

In addition, High City¡¯s ¡°foreign policy¡± proposal is similar to that of the far-right conservative party, which made a major breakthrough in the July Senate election. The party then won support with ¡°Japanese priority¡± and made ¡°foreign policy¡± one of the main topics in Japanese politics. There are analyses that whether the rise of the party or the election of the high city were an expression of further conservation in Japanese society.

Future challenges are heavy

In order to become prime minister of Japan, Gao also needs to win the congressional prime minister nomination election, which is expected to be held in mid-October. Currently, the ruling coalition of the self-government party and the communist party has lost a majority in both houses of the congressional parliament, but the self-government party is still the largest political party in the congress, and the differences between the opposition parties are serious, and it is difficult to form a stable alliance, so that Gao has a great likelihood of winning the prime minister nomination election, replacing Shizoku as prime minister of Japan.

Public opinion generally believes that Gaoshi will face multiple challenges in its future governance, including the following three points:

First, Gao Shi will take over the "mess" of the ruling coalition falling into "double minority" in both houses of Congress. In this situation, it may be very difficult for her to promote policies and need to win over some opposition parties, including cooperation on key policies or even pulling them into the ruling coalition. Gaoshi has a positive attitude towards expanding the ruling coalition, but it is not easy to achieve. It must not only reach an agreement on policies with the third party, but also take into account the feelings of its ruling partner, the Komeito Party. If the opinions of the third party and the Komeito Party differ too much, it may cause dissatisfaction from the latter and endanger the existing alliance.

Second, as the president of the self-government party, the city needs to unite within the party and re-win the people's trust in the self-government party and black money scandal "politics and money" issues reflecting the interests of many people in the people's party, in which the support of the former "Abbas" in the city is the "black gold" scandal of the disaster area, how to deal with the related issues is a severe test for the high market. The Japanese people are unhappy with the current government's response to issues such as rising prices, aging minority, local lack of vitality, while the city emphasizes the economic line of the Abe period, advocating for more active fiscal policy.

Third, in the field of diplomatic security, Japan and the United States have reached an agreement on tariffs, but there is still uncertainty in terms of specific implementation and investment in the United States.In addition, some right-wing conservatives in High City claim that if implemented in practical policy, it will also exacerbate Japan's contradictions with surrounding countries.