Everyone thinks that “Hamas is destroyed” is a military victory, but the truth is A systematic "circumcision" forcing it to accept a peace book without dignity。
You may not know that Hamas was not completely defeated on the battlefield, but was pushed to the edge of the cliff under diplomatic, economic, and internal containment: either surrender or disappear completely.
To put it bluntly, this so-called "peace" is not flowers and applause, but a cold calculation. Arab countries need oil for investment, Turkey wants to stabilize its economy, Saudi Arabia is pushing "Vision 2030", and no one wants to pay for "resistance" anymore. As a result, Hamas was transformed from a "national hero" to a "regional liability."
Gaza after the war.
This is not the end of a military campaign, but a “shock therapy” under financial and diplomatic calculus.
To understand today’s situation, it is necessary to look back.In 2007, Hamas withdrew Fatah by force and took control of Gaza, becoming a “symbol of resistance.”For many years, it has been supported by Qatar, Turkey, Iran and has also won the applause of “Arab streets.”
But the problem is that Hamas’s survival model – armed resistance, underground smuggling, foreign aid funding – has gradually failed over the past decade.U.S. pressure, Israeli technological blockade, and the strategic shift of Arab nations have turned it from a “resistance vanguard” to a “hardy burden.”
Especially in the past two years of conflict, Hamas has lost more than 25,000 armed personnel, its core chain of command has been weakened, and its financial line has been cut off. A long battle of consumption, so that it finds it to fight again, not victory, but self-extinction.
The historical irony is that when he came to power by force, he now has to surrender his weapons to exit.
What Hamas lost was not gunfire, but time.
Trump's "20-point plan" looks like a peace plan at first glance, but it is essentially an "ultimatum".
The pressure line is clear:
Military high pressure: Israel announced "complete elimination at any time" and the US military expressed its "preparation for war";
Diplomatic isolation: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey all turned collectively, telling Hamas that "the world is better without you";
Survival bait: Promise surviving members to "pardon" and give them the last way out.
This is a choice between "destruction and survival". Hamas seems to have "voluntarily agreed", but in fact it is pressed on the table to sign it.
More importantly, the surrender of the governance of Gaza means that Palestine, which was divided in 2007, is once again "united", but the dominance has completely returned to Fatah. This is a power reorganization, not a national unity.
What ordinary people see is just celebrating on the streets – finally not being bombed. but behind politics, an organization is completely marginalized and a region enters a new order.
This surrender was not the loss of Hamas to Israel, but the loss to the entire Middle East.
So, what does China have to do with ordinary people?
First, for the Middle East pattern, China’s advocated “multilateral mediation” space is further crushed. The US-style scheme is implemented at the end of this time, and the Arab countries are also cooperating, which means: the future Middle East issue, the U.S. dominance may be stronger. China wants to promote multipolar peace and needs to face new reality challenges.
Second, for the global market, this “rendering agreement” reduced the geographic risk in the Middle East in the short term, with oil prices and supply chains more stable. This is beneficial for energy-importing powers such as China. But in the long run, will the “American-led peace” trigger new imbalances again?
Third, for ordinary people, this reminds us that the end of war is not necessarily fair, but calculated.The worker may be more concerned with oil prices and international investment, but the logic behind it is the same – you thought it was “the end of victory,” in fact, “the redistribution of the strong.”
The order of the world is often not decided by the winning party, but written by the worst party.
Therefore, the story of Hamas's "surrender" is not the beginning of peace in the Middle East, but a moment when the old order collapsed and the new order reorganized.
This seemingly peaceful agreement is essentially a "strategic reshuffle" jointly promoted by big powers and regional powers. Hamas is no longer a chess player, but just a discarded piece on the chessboard.
The question is, can such a “peace” really bring stability, or is it just a prelude to the next round of games?
Will a new "resistance" be born from the ruins of Gaza in the future? That's what everyone should be thinking.
Peace in the Middle East is often not the end, but the beginning of the next conflict.