In August this year, US President Trump suddenly threw out a request, hoping that China could participate in the nuclear disarmament negotiations led by the United States and Russia. As soon as this statement appeared, it immediately attracted a lot of attention.

After all, this is not a small thing. the issue of nuclear disarmament has always been one of the most sensitive topics among several great powers, and the reaction of China at the time was also direct, meaning that China and the United States are not at all at a level in nuclear power, and it is impossible to talk about disarmament.

At the United Nations General Assembly in September, Chinese representatives gave a new statement: We are not against disarmament negotiations, but we must meet one condition to talk about it.

In the meantime, the ball was kicked back into the US-Russian hand. What happened to this Chinese chess game?

Trump suddenly shouted to pull China into nuclear disarmament negotiations, and said it was like trying to mess up the water, and to find a sham cloth for his nuclear hegemony.This calculation ticked, but people at first glance knew that it was full of catches -- nuclear disarmament this is never a matter of seating in line and sharing candy, you have to see how many households are in the hand.

The 2024 report of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute in Sweden has already calculated the accounts clearly: Russia holds 4380 nuclear warheads, of which 1710 can be pulled out at any time; the United States follows closely with 3748, although more than 10,000 were dismantled during the Cold War, but a skinny camel is bigger than a horse.

Looking at China, the Pentagon estimated just over 600 pieces, not even the United States and Russia zero heads. at this time to disarm according to the same standard, is equivalent to letting the people with the necklace with the people carrying the weapons weapons than disarm, China's security buffer has not been first, who is willing to eat? so the Chinese side from the beginning to make the word clear: the strength is not too far, unfair negotiations can not talk about the truth, we do not run.

But a month later, at the United Nations General Assembly, China did not close the door, but instead threw a prerequisite for the United States and Russia to sit in trouble.

The permanent deputy representative to the United Nations Geng Xiaoping at the "International Day for the Complete Elimination of Nuclear Weapons" conference spoke kindly, but the core is tough: to talk about, first let the largest nuclear arsenal of countries fulfill special priority responsibilities, with verifiable, irreversible methods to greatly reduce nuclear weapons.

This statement is not made up temporarily. China has not changed its position since the day it produced its first atomic bomb. On the day of the successful nuclear test in 1964, the government statement stated that the development of nuclear weapons was forced by the nuclear threat of the United States and Russia, and the fundamental purpose was to break the monopoly and ultimately eliminate nuclear weapons. Later, he joined the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, took the lead in promising not to be the first to use nuclear weapons, and guaranteed non-nuclear countries not to threaten them.

In the 1990s, it was mentioned that the United States and Russia should cut their nuclear warheads in half first, and other countries would follow up. Now it's just putting the old rules on the table, which is tantamount to saying clearly: Want to pull us to the table? Clean your dishes first.

There are three mysteries hidden in China's premise, each of which pinches seven inches of the United States and Russia. The first is "the number should be truly subtracted", not playing word games. The United States and Russia have signed many disarmament treaties over the years, but they have actually been engaged in the trick of "reducing quantity without reducing quality".

Last year, Russia also took Belarus to engage in nuclear exercises, loaded the "Iskander" missile show muscle; the United States, on the other hand, said that to remove retirement warheads, while engaging in "nuclear sharing" in Europe, the tactical nuclear warheads secretly placed in allied bases, not far from the Chinese border is all a hidden danger.

What China wants is real action: the warhead is dismantled, the warehouse is sealed, the international inspectors can enter the door and count points, and nothing less is discussed.

The second is the "deployment to shrink", can not be disarmament side-by-side blockade.The United States in Asia-Pacific and Europe laid the anti-missile system, Russia also deployed tactical nuclear forces at the border.

These things went to that station, the early warning time of the neighbouring countries was shortened, and a little technical failure could be considered a nuclear attack.

Geng Shuang specifically ordered this matter at the UN General Assembly to let the United States and Russia understand that security is not a private matter of one's own, and that other people's fears must also be counted in. If we really want to talk about disarmament, we have to withdraw all overseas nuclear equipment and stop anti-missile radars. Otherwise, we will be unloading guns and firing artillery at the same time, all false tricks.

The third is the "rules to be settled", can not let the hegemonic countries to set the tone.U.S. Russia has always used nuclear disarmament as a tool forining advantage, during the Cold War, the signing of treaties was to avoid two defeats and wounds, now pulling China is want to bind our hands and feet.

China's nuclear power was only enough to defend itself, according to the US-Russian standards, equal to abolition of weapons. At this time, the mention of "nuclear power first responsibility", is to speak with the purpose of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons - the international community has long had a consensus, nuclear disarmament must be according to the rule of "who more who less first", the US-Russia is not qualified to transfer its responsibility to others.

U.S. Russia is completely difficult. promise, you have to really shoot the bottom of your own home. Russia's nuclear power is the pillar of supporting the big country's face, cut more domestic trade can not go; the "nuclear sharing" of the United States is the chain of the allies, withdrawal of the hegemony system must be relaxed.

Don't promise, you sit down on the reputation of "not wanting to really disarm", and then shout to China to negotiate, the international community will only look at it as a joke.

UN Secretary-General Guterres is anxious to shout that "the nuclear arms race is more dangerous", and the President of the UN General Assembly also said that it is necessary to act according to the treaty. If the United States and Russia don't take it, they will go against the expectations of the whole world.

Some people say that China is posing, but the posture without a card in its hand is called bluffing, and those with a card are called confidence. The new missiles shown in the military parade and the steadily growing nuclear power are all real guarantees.

China has never said not to disarm, only to talk on a fair basis.If the United States and Russia can really lower the nuclear warhead to the level of China, the deterrent structure is balanced, let's not say to sit down and talk about the terms, even the details of accepting the verification can be discussed.

But now the gap is there. The nuclear warheads in the hands of the United States and Russia account for more than 80% of the world's total. Why should China, which has only more than 600, follow their rhythm?

This move is both principled and wise. On the surface, he gave Trump a step, saying "no objection to talking", but actually he firmly held the initiative of disarmament in his hands. If the United States and Russia are really sincere, they will prove it with actions; If it still wants to play tricks, China can wait and see and prepare.

What the international community wants is not a signature photo, but a seal at the door of the warehouse, and a truck pulling away the nuclear warhead. These visible actions are more effective than 10,000 statements.

After all, China has never been an obstacle to nuclear disarmament, but a real driver.From Mao Zedong's time when he said "no atomic bomb can be without bullying", to the moment when he mentioned "nuclear powers take responsibility first", the core is one: nuclear weapons are too dangerous, either we don't have them, or they have to come according to the rules.

If the United States and Russia really want to solve the nuclear issue, don't always think about dragging others into the water, and first reduce their nuclear arsenals to what they should be. Otherwise, even if we talk about it a hundred times, it will be just a political show that wastes time, and China will never accompany it.

Source of information:

Minnan Network-Trump says he hopes China will join the trilateral nuclear disarmament negotiations between China, the United States and Russia. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs responds

China calls on the United States to stop developing and deploying global missile defense systems