Text | Li Qianwen Media Person

On October 4, the Japanese self-government party will elect a new president to replace Shikoku, and the next Japanese prime minister will be decided today.

The first round of voting will be attended jointly by MPs and ordinary Party members, with a total of 295 votes per Chinese MP and a total of 590 votes for the same number of Party members. If a candidate gets more than half of the vote in the first round, it will be directly elected as the new president; if no one exceeds half, the top two candidates will enter the final round.

Voting for members of the People's Party has ended on the 3rd, and a parliamentary vote will be held at 1 p.m. on the 4th, local time (Beijing time at 12 p.m.). The results of the first round of voting will be announced around 2: 10pm local time (1: 10pm Beijing time).

A survey by Japan's TBS TV showed that although it had been previously exposed to negative news such as hiring Internet water soldiers to brush praise, The fountain goes in.It still maintains the lead in terms of parliamentary votes, and is expected to win the support of more than 80 people, accounting for about 30% of the total number of members of the Liberal Democratic Party;

City Earlyand Linnaeus isMore than 50 members of parliament supported.

The other two candidates... Takayuki Kobayashiand Mushroom is sensitive.Approximately 30 people were supported.

The poll also showed that in terms of party membership votes, the high market ranks as well as last year's presidential election, but from the current situation, no candidate is expected to get more than half of the votes directly elected in the first round. TBS TV analysts believe that the two are most likely to enter the winning wheel, but Lin Feng is recently pursuing the momentum in terms of parliamentary votes, and it is also possible to become a black horse to kill in the winning wheel.

Rules of the winning game.

After the first two candidates in the first round of voting enter the final round, they will compete for 342 votes composed of 295 members of Congress and 47 county-level party departments, and finally decide the outcome. Compared with the first round, The biggest change is that the proportion of parliamentary votes will rise sharply, which will become the key factor in determining the outcome.

Historically, three times in the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party, the candidate who won the second place in the first round turned over in the final roundIn 1956, Shenyang Shenyang defeated Abe's grandfather - Shenyang Shenyang; in 2012, Abe's Shenyang Shenyang was in the final round against Shenyang Shenyang; in 2024, the first round won the second place, Shenyang Shenyang was also in the final round defeated High Market Shenyang, and was eventually elected president.

According to the information published on the 3rd, if the vote enters the final round, the first two candidates with the number of votes will be announced before the final vote begins, according to the second and the first order of 5 minutes, after which the final vote will be held, and the results are expected to be announced around 3 p.m.

The vote in the winning round depends not only on the candidate¡¯s personality within the party, but also more effectively reflects the calculation of interests between different forces within the Democratic Party.Although all factions except the Aso faction have been disbanded after the Liberal Democratic Party's political black gold scandal, this does not mean that the Liberal Democratic Party has become a loose sand. Some faction members that have been dissolved still hold meetings to maintain cohesion, while emerging forces are also beginning to emerge.

Among the candidates for this presidential election, In the name of the Learning Society, respectively, High-School Morning Foot and Little Lin Eagle have actually built up new forces within the Party.

The "kingmaker" battle of four former prime ministers

In the face of the presidential election, the new and old forces within the self-government party want to win the treasure, especially in the victory round.Only in this way can the new cabinet obtain the position of ministers and the right to speak, otherwise it can only sit on a cold bench and stand side by side, becoming the so-called "non-mainstream" within the party.

After the birth of the new president, Four former prime ministers will appear in the Liberal Democratic Party: 85-year-old Taro Aso, 76-year-old Yoshihide Suga, 68-year-old Fumio Kishida, and Shigeru Ishiba, also 68-year-old.All four have a calling power within the Self-Democratic Party. As the presidential election approaches, candidates have called on old leaders one after another, hoping that they will canvass for themselves.

Mahatma Gandhi is the only faction that has not dissolved in the self-government party - the leader of Mahatma Gandhi., the faction covers a total of 43 members of Congress in the House and Senate. Due to the discord between Aso and Shigeru Ishiba, Last year, the Aso faction supported takaichi sanae in the final round of the presidential election, and the result became non-mainstream.

So far, Taro Aso has not clearly expressed his support for a certain candidate, obviously not wanting to bet on the wrong treasure again. Some Japanese media analysts believe that If Ho Chi Minh and Ho Chi Minh meet, some of the votes will flow to Ho Chi Minh; but if it is Lin Feng and Ho Chi Minh, how the Ho Chi Minh will vote, it is not difficult to predict at the last moment.

Suga Yoshihide belongs to non-factional members in the Liberal Democratic Party and has greater influence among the same non-factional members. In fact, he constitutes a "non-factional faction."In the first round of voting in the presidential election last year, Yoshihide Suga supported Shinjiro Koizumi, and this year he still supports Koizumi.

Fumio Kishida was once the leader of the Kishida faction before its dissolutionLast year, he joined forces with Yoshihide Suga to support Shigeru Ishiba in the decisive round. Hayashi Fangzheng, who also belongs to the Kishida faction, served as Chief Cabinet Secretary in Ishiba's cabinet, paving the way for him to compete for the throne of president and prime minister. Although Kishida himself did not express his support this time, The outside world generally believes that the shore party will vote for Lin Feng.

Shigeru Ishiba is the head of the original Ishiba faction. Although Ishiba faction is only a small faction in the Liberal Democratic Party, Shigeru Ishiba is still expected to become the new "kingmaker".Among the five candidates, Lin Feng and Xiao Jing were both members of the cabinet, and both of them said in the campaign phase that they would continue the relevant policies of the cabinet. Therefore, if one of the victories appeared in the round of the confrontation with the high market, the cabinet would support the members of the cabinet.

Behind the battle for the presidency of the Liberal Democratic Party is also a battle for "king". Who will laugh last, the results will be revealed soon.