Starting from the early morning of October 1, the U.S. government has been suspended for three days and has had a serious impact in many fields such as finance and public services. According to reports from the Global Times and other media, since October 1, many financial regulatory agencies such as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission have almost stopped operating, and most employees have been placed on "leave without pay", resulting in the rejection of IPO applications. Many companies planning to go public have been forced to postpone the process. In the stock market, many stocks that do business with the U.S. government fell, market panic has emerged, and shares of precious metals and commodities have rebounded. In foreign trade, due to the departure of many U.S. customs staff, the import and export licensing time is long, and the delivery of some goods with urgent needs and short shelf life has to be postponed.
On the other hand, after the shutdown of the government, hundreds of thousands of U.S. government employees were forced on unpaid leave, only waiting for the government to re-operate to receive salaries, among which many young people did not have a lot of deposits, how to pay credit card bills and maintain life was a difficult issue. For this situation, U.S. President Trump seems to be somewhat happy, he said on October 1 that the government shutdown is also beneficial, he will get rid of a lot, and push the responsibility of the government shutdown to the Democratic Party, saying that because the Democratic Party will not learn lessons, he was forced to "shut down the door."
Trump's words have some support. In late September, the Republican Party proposed a temporary appropriations bill and was passed in the U.S. House of Representatives. However, when it reached the U.S. Senate, it was vetoed by the Democratic Party, resulting in no new funding from the U.S. federal government. support. At that time, Trump publicly stated that if the money was not available, the U.S. government would shut down before October 1. As a result, the Democratic Party did not back down and never gave the Republican Party a pass. Two days after the government shutdown, Trump issued a final warning, saying that he would lay off federal government employees from "Democratic agencies" on a large scale, which numbered about thousands, and would also study shutting down some Democrat-related agencies. It is not difficult to see three pieces of information. First, the infighting between the two parties in the United States has intensified, and they have troubled each other in areas such as fiscal budget, personnel appointments and removals. Trump recently held meetings with the U.S. military and plans to rectify the Democratic Party's "vote warehouse" cities such as Chicago and New York.
The second is the government shutdown is gradually “armed”, the Democratic Party with the government shutdown to threaten the Republican concessions, and the Republican Party is not sure, in turn cut off the Democratic Party institutions and employees, and push the government shutdown responsibility all to the Democratic Party, fighting its reputation. Third is the U.S. enterprises and people are too unlucky, because of the two parties struggle, many import and export enterprises customs difficulties, some U.S. enterprises listing difficulties, the U.S. people lost many public services, as a result of the issue of security issues, infrastructure construction and people's livelihoods issues will continue to increase.
On October 3, local time, the U.S. Senate will convene again to vote on the provisional appropriations bill. If it fails to pass, the U.S. government shutdown will continue until next week. At first glance, there is a high probability that the Democratic Party will not compromise, and the confrontation between the two parties will continue. For Trump, the Democratic Party has become his "biggest enemy." Not long ago, Trump spoke to more than 800 U.S. military officers, saying that the United States is facing an "internal war" and that he will invest trillions of dollars to develop various services. Make them the "most powerful army" in the world. For the Democratic Party, if Trump makes a tough move, they are likely to retaliate through litigation or public protests, or join Republican lawmakers to oppose Trump.
After the U.S. government closes, it will also have a certain impact on the international situation. The first is the situation in Russia and Ukraine. After the Pentagon is empty, U.S. military assistance to Ukraine may be interrupted. This is a rare opportunity for the Russian army. Secondly, there is the situation in the Middle East. Israel may take this opportunity to increase its offensive against the Gaza Strip, while the United States can only turn a blind eye. Finally, Sino-US relations have lost the control of the U.S. military. Will U.S. military bases in various places make risky moves? Especially on the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait issues, if China's red line is touched, it may lead to unpredictable consequences.