The contents of this article are written with authoritative materials and personal opinions. The source of the literature has been marked at the end of the article, so please know.
Trump has just said that the U.S. military may want to return to Afghanistan and wants to re-use Bagram Air Base. The Taliban seem quite horizontal, shouting,"If the U.S. military dares to come back, it will work for another 20 years."
As a result, before the words were finished, the top Taliban officials secretly met with the US special envoy, more than once. Before long, we began to talk about prisoner exchange, and secretly released several captured Americans.
Who believes that there is nothing fishy about this? Trump hasn't come to power yet, and this routine of "blowing the wind first, then paving the way" has been played several times.
With this habit, he dared to shout in advance about missing shadows. I heard that someone in the United States has broken the news to the media, and Bagram's plans have been taken out again.
The face is dry, and the back is eyesighted. Bagram, the name, became the hot word in the mouths of the big figures in Washington.
Just 30 kilometers from Kabul, the location is correct, both runways are more than 3,000 meters, large strategic bombers such as the B-52 take off easily and have a full set of logistics security.
But that's not all. Retired. military officers who previously served in Afghanistan said that around 0, The U.S. spent a lot of money on expanding its base, rebuilding a main runway of 3,500 meters, and underground ammunition warehouses, air defense systems, intelligence surveillance facilities, which can accommodate tens of thousands of people at most.
This is not an airport, it is simply the headquarters on the front line of the war. Trump remembers this place, not because it’s old, but because he sees it close to the Chinese border.From military reconnaissance to intelligence surveillance, this place is very sensitive to Beijing. And the five countries in Central Asia will also be targeted by the United States.
This is not a withdrawal of troops, it is a rebuilding of chess.Chinese-Russian Iraqi countries smelled at once, Urge to make a joint statement and firmly oppose the return of U.S. troops in any form.
The statement clearly states, If the U.S. troops return to their bases, Afghanistan will become an important base for external forces to capture Eurasian countries.What they are worried about is not how many American troops there are, but the strategic intentions behind them.
The Taliban saw this statement and did not pretend to be stupid. They protested, stressing that Afghanistan has “complete sovereignty” and does not accept any external intervention.
More importantly, they have directly denied the existence of “so-called terrorist organizations” in Afghanistan, saying that not all active organizations are now internationally recognized terrorists.
The Taliban dared to be so "dirty" and did not suddenly realize, it is estimated to have cleared the bottom line of the United States.They know that the United States no longer wants to be stuck in the quagmire of the Middle East, but it cannot completely abandon its strategic layout.
The Taliban offers the way, the United States gives the benefits, and everyone takes what they need. Americans understand that the Taliban is not a friend, but can be used as a tool.
In recent months, senior Taliban officials have been making good friends, releasing Americans, providing security intelligence, and even beginning to clean up some organizations that have crossed the border. These operations appear to be aimed at “improving regional security,” but in fact are in line with the U.S. and pretend to be “a partner that can be controlled.”
At the same time, the Taliban is also paving their way. they maintain a close relationship with Iran, but they are beginning to ignore Pakistan. Pakistan accuses the Taliban of harboring the leader of the TTP (Taliban of Pakistan), saying it several times but it doesn't work.
The Taliban responded directly: "It's none of your business." The relationship between the two countries is clearly divided.
While becoming close to the United States, the Taliban stimulates neighboring countries, with the obvious purpose of turning themselves into a negotiating object that no one can avoid.The Taliban did not release hostages out of kindness, but for others to see. What they want is for the United States to recognize their "quasi-legal status", which is more useful than money.
With this title, even if it is not recognized by the international community, it can be used to have more voice in regional affairs. It can be said that both metas are being tested in the dark.
Trump dared to say to "return to the base," and the Taliban dared to set up a "both confrontation and cooperation" platform.The four states stated that they just wanted to stop, the Taliban had long been ready to turn. This is the Taliban's new strategy: fight while talking, fight while relying.
Of course, anything has a cost. Although the Taliban talked well with the United States, internal discontent in Afghanistan, suspicion from neighboring countries, and claims about the Taliban’s Tibetan extremist group, have not stopped.Afghanistan’s domestic economy has failed, infrastructure has also stagnated, and many people are still worried about their lives.
More importantly, if the Taliban really dared to bring the U.S. troops back, they would face pressure not only from their neighbors, but also from their core supporters.
They can’t get too close to the United States, nor can they completely disconnect with the United States.The question now is whether the United States is willing to go further and whether the Taliban can gain a firm foothold in the Sino-US game.
If the Taliban continues to send signals of cooperation, the United States may be willing to turn a blind eye "to a limited extent" on economy, intelligence, and even diplomacy. This method of "boiling frogs in warm water" is more effective than using force. However, if it is out of play, not only will China and Russia strongly oppose it, but even people in the United States may not support it.
So, the Taliban’s counter-arguments, in fact, are calculated.They bet the United States needs them, and the four countries can’t really join hands against them.Now, they sit at the negotiating table, with few cards in hand, but not nothing.
reference
“After Trump’s threat to re-occupy the Afghan air base, China-Russia Bai issued a joint statement”2025-09-26 20:45
The U.S. side hopes the dialogue will continue in Afghanistan 2025-09-29 04:23:13 PM Source: Xinhua Net
The U.S. Will “Return” the Afghan Air Force Base? 2025-09-20 08:51 PM Source: Global Times