The contents of this article are written with authoritative materials and personal opinions. The source of the literature has been marked at the end of the article, so please know.

September 20, White House in Washington. Trump stood there with a serious expression and tough words: ¡°If the Taliban do not surrender Baghdad, we will have to act.¡±When these words came out, they were like a bomb that blew up the calm situation in Central Asia.

In fact, this is not the first time he has mentioned this. As early as March, he made a slip at a private money-saving meeting, saying that Bagram was only "an hour's drive" from China's nuclear facilities, and that the United States must get it back.These words were not said casually. They were planned long ago.

The Bagram base was a strategic location that the US military spent a lot of money to build during the war in Afghanistan. Its location is particularly important and it has all kinds of functions.

It's not just a military base, it's also an intelligence center. The U.S. military used to rely on it to intervene in Central Asia, and its intelligence network spread across South Asia, the Persian Gulf, and even Eastern Europe.

At the time of the withdrawal, not only dust, but unfinished ambitions remained. The Biden government withdrew its troops in 2021, letting the Taliban take over everything.Now Trump wants to turn the tables back, threatening to regain control with a single sentence.

The Taliban don't take his trick at all. Less than two days after the news broke, Kabul responded on the radio: ¡°We will not surrender one centimetre of land to the country.¡±

They also said that if the U.S. army dared to come, it would surely ¡°do not eat and go.¡± The Taliban has also strengthened their patrol near Bagram, increasing checkpoints, and the atmosphere has suddenly become tense.

At the same time, the United Nations headquarters in New York was also in trouble. On September 25th, the foreign ministers of China, Russia, Iran and Pakistan held their fourth meeting in new york.

They soon wrote a joint statement defining the ¡°11-point consensus¡±, mainly a sentence: ¡°Do not accept any foreign military bases to remain in Afghanistan.¡±

The four countries have a striking consensus. China is worried that the United States will threaten Xinjiang and "the belt and road initiative" through Bagram.Russia feels that Afghanistan is the pain of the former Soviet Union and cannot be repeated.

Iran is more direct, fearing that the US military will launch missiles at its own home there. Pakistan has always been worried that terrorists are messing around, the refugee problem can't be solved, and accidents always happen at the border.

This reaction was not random. It was planned long ago. Some say it¡¯s more like singing a song together, not singing alone.

Of course Trump knows these things. What he wanted was not just a base, but to let people know his existence and to play chess again on the map.

Afghanistan is not just sand and stones. There are reports that Afghanistan has large reserves of many rare metals, especially lithium, copper and uranium.Now everyone is robbing new energy, whoever has lithium ore, whoever has a future.

In addition, Afghanistan in the center of Asia, is the transportation mainstream in the north-east and south-east. Central Asia¡¯s gas pipeline also passes through here.Whoever controls this place can control energy and control the entire region.

So if the U.S. interferes again, it will not only affect military issues, but also the economy and strategy of Central Asia as a whole.

For Trump, he needs to be "tough" outside and change everyone's feeling that he can't do it. In the United States, doing so can quickly excite voters, especially when the election is coming. For him, this is a vote and an opportunity for him to leave his name.

However, doing so can cost a lot. Some analysts have said that even if Trump really wants to act forcibly, the United States will encounter many practical problems if it wants to regain control of Bagram, such as how to deploy troops, how to support logistics, and how to rebuild the intelligence network.

The biggest problem is that the Taliban has taken control of the place, and the U.S. military wants to go back, which is equivalent to fighting again.

Things are still changing now. The Taliban have been sending more troops around Bagram, Foreign ministries in the four countries are also communicating, preparing to deal with ¡°more serious situations.¡±¡£The United States wants NATO countries to support itself, but many European countries are now very careful.

Someone asked, is Trump scaring people this time, or is he really going to do it?

Some people also asked whether these four countries would expand their front lines from Afghanistan to other places? Will China and Russia take this opportunity to formally establish long-term cooperative relations in Central Asia? Will Pakistan allow Chinese-Russian troops to enter its borders in order to realize the so-called ¡°buffering¡±?

Now it appears that Bagram is like a line that divides the area in half. The Taliban will not retreat. Trump doesn't want to quit. Four countries are building walls. America, wants to climb over the wall.

The game of chess is not over.

reference

¡°The United States wants to re-occupy Afghanistan¡¯s largest air base Trump threatens to ¡°don¡¯t give it a hurt¡±¡± 2025-09-21 16:01 PM Source: Xinhua Agency client

2. "Joint Statement of the Fourth Informal Meeting of Foreign Ministers of China, Russia, Pakistan and Iran on Afghanistan" 2025-09-26 18:52| Source: World Wide Web

The U.S. Will ¡°Return¡± the Afghan Air Force Base? 2025-09-20 08:51 PM Source: Global Times