The contents of this article are written with authoritative materials and personal opinions. The source of the literature has been marked at the end of the article, so please know.
On September 23, The Russian Federation's Foreign Intelligence Service issued a statement, It said NATO troops were gathering in Romania near the Moldovan border, and the first batch of active French and British soldiers had arrived in Odessa.
Sergei kin, director of the agency, said NATO is preparing to "land" in Odessa Oblast in Ukraine, to deter Transnistria.
On the same day that the Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency issued a statement, the North American Air Defense Command said that U.S. fighter jets had made an emergency takeoff on November 24. Identified and intercepted four Russian warplanes flying near Alaska.
The Baltic Sea is not peaceful either.
Countries such as Estonia and Poland recently said their airspace was "violated" by Russia, causing NATO to quickly discuss how to deal with it. As a result, there was also an "open fight" among the attitudes of the allies.
On September 24, German Foreign Minister Wadfour publicly called on NATO members to be careful not to fall into Russia's "pit" and directly said that Russia "must have its own tricks."
Finnish President Stuart also supported this cautious attitude. He urged allies “not to overreact, but to be strong enough.”
However, on the same day, EU Commission President Von der Leyen said that Russian fighter jets shot down into NATO’s airspace were “also in consideration.”
This tough statement, There is a huge disagreement within NATO on the issue of Russia.。
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service said NATO may want to wait until after the parliamentary elections in Moldova on September 28.。
NATO has already conducted several exercises in Romania to practice the plan, and the West may also want to do something to find a reason for sending troops to Moldova during the November 30 Dniester coast region’s highest parliamentary elections.
Moldova has been a member of the Eastern Partnership Programme., after becoming an EU candidate country in 2022, the relationship with the West is getting closer and closer.
But The political forces in Moldova are very divided on the pro-EU and pro-Russian paths.。
In October 2024, Moldova held a referendum and asked everyone if they wanted to join the European Union. The result was only 50.46%, and just over half of the people voted, indicating that domestic opinions were very diverse.
The current President Sandu has always wanted to pursue a pro-EU policy, but there is great resistance., she herself failed to win directly in the presidential election and had to participate in the second round.
The issue of the Transnistria River is another sensitive area of the situation in MoldovaRussia’s peacekeeping forces have been stationed in the area, and relations with the central government of Moldova are not very good.
Previously, military equipment from Ukraine troops and Romania also appeared on the nearby border, making Russia worry that it might become a new conflict point.
In the face of pressure from the West, Russia, on the one hand, uses military and diplomatic means.。
On September 25th, Putin sent an invitation to scientists from all over the world to cooperate in the field of nuclear energy technology at the "World Atomic Energy Week" international forum held in Moscow.
This action shows, Even if the situation is tense, Russia still wants to maintain dialogue.。
On the issue of Ukraine, Russian President's press secretary Dmitry Peskov made it clear on September 24. Conditions for a meeting between Putin and Zelensky。
In an interview with Russian Business Consulting Radio, peskov said, "Putin showed that it is meaningful to meet after being prepared at the expert level. Unprepared meetings are mostly a show and doomed to failure."
Peskov also said, Russia proposed forming a working group after the third round of negotiations, but Kiev has never respondedThis diplomatic impasse shows that the Ukrainian crisis is difficult to resolve.
At the same time, Russia is also sending signals to the West through public intelligence.
The Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency said: Europe plans to pick on Russian troops in the Transnistria RiverTo create opportunities for NATO troops to be sent to Moldova.
This practice of disclosing intelligence is itself a psychological warfare and deterrent method.
Bloomberg's analysis believes that when Russia is testing NATO's determination, There are some worrying differences inside NATO.These differences are not only reflected in the mouth, but also in actual actions.
French President Macron said on September 24 that NATO countries must step up their response to Russia's "new provocations", but also stressed that "we will not open fire."
This tough and restrained statement, It is difficult for European powers to choose between deterring Russia and avoiding the escalation of conflict.。
America’s attitude is more untouchable.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bescent said on September 24th that Russia "began to violate NATO borders", But the United States does not intend to intervene in any military action or other situations.
When NATO is facing a potential crisis, this ambiguous attitude of the United States has made even more uncertain within the alliance.
A series of unknown drone incidents in Denmark recently complicated the situation.
Local time on 24 September. Several airports and military bases in western Denmark detected unidentified drone intrusions, causing airports to be temporarily closed。
Moreover, Copenhagen Kestrup International Airport also suspended the take-off and landing of aircraft on the evening of 22nd because of the discovery of multiple unknown drones.
The Danish Prime Minister said that “Russia cannot be excluded in any case.” But Russia has denied itThis kind of vague security incident increases the risk of misjudgment and escalation.
Analysts believe that the Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency says the EU is ready to send troops to Moldova. It looks like a strategic threat.Not the already established facts.
The EU is indeed pulling Moldova, but the possibility of sending troops directly to “occupy” is small, which is not in line with the style and interests of the EU.
But we cannot ignore that, The security situation in Eastern Europe is very tense.
NATO has strengthened its military presence in Romania, Russia's interests in Transnistria have been challenged, and political differences within Moldova are serious, These factors combined make the situation very dangerous.。
Moldova's parliamentary elections to be held on September 28th and Transnistria's planned Supreme Parliament elections on November 30th may become key nodes in the development of the situation.
The election results and the reactions they triggered, Will determine whether Eastern Europe moves towards stability or plunges deeper into conflict。
References:
The US intercepted four Russian fighter jets near Alaska 2025-09-25 20:59 PM
Putin: ensuring the safety of nuclear facilities is Russia’s “absolute priority” 2025-09-26 00:01
Peskov: Putin wants to meet Zelensky but needs to be prepared 2025-09-24 16:52
4. "Foreign media: Unknown drone invasions were discovered at multiple airports and military bases in Denmark, and the Danish Minister of Defense spoke out" 2025-09-25 18:34 | Source: Global Network