Preliminary
September 29, the second Autumn draft orderPlanning to call. 13.5 monthsCitizens aged 18 to 30, some of whom The highest record since 2016.。
just signing a military order.Meanwhile, his economic development minister is presenting a proposal to China in Beijing. The Request.
How will China respond to Russian demands?
Emergency Signals behind 50,000
The number is impressive.
135,000 conscription scaleIt can't be decided by just slapping the head, this is Russia's own Since 2016The highest record of autumn recruitment.
What attracted more attention is the efficiency of execution. After the masses suddenly ordered, they immediately launched external fast track。The 14-day review process was compressed to 5 days, and inspections, political review, and archives were all carried out simultaneously.
Behind this efficiency lies a sense of urgency at the forefront.
At the end of the day, there is external pressure.
On the same day that the draft order was signed, the United States considered the relevant news, and Vice President Vance publicly stated that, Trump isTomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine.
This thing is no ordinary weapon, Range over 2000 kilometersIf it really falls into the hands of the Ukrainian army, don't say Moscow, even the Kremlin is within the range. “Put a knife on your neck.”。
There is no shortage of action by NATO.
From 20 to 27 September The Baltic Sea Operation 2025The military exercise was held at the doorstep of Russia.
15,000 troops23 countries participated, and the locations were selected around the Baltic Sea. The exercises included co-operation, simulated defense and counterattack, Russian media directly called this. The naked provocation.。
The purple team defined these actions as Escalation of Aggression Threat, the recruitment order received part of the response.
Russia’s position on the recruitment was also special. Prepare for anti-aggression。
The phrase, which shifted from “offensive” to “defense”, indicated that Russia was adjusting its strategic position. Foreign Minister Lavrov also spoke at the UN General Assembly, saying any Aggressive behaviorThey will all respond resolutely.
When Peskov was questioned by reporters in front of the Kremlin, he did not even dare to answer directly, only saying not to discuss such issues.
This statement of the situation, first of all, shows how much pressure Russia is currently facing.
An economic lifeline of $244.8 billion
Military pressure is only superficial, and the economy is the key.
Speaking of which, the West's judgment has far blocked Russia's foreign trade path.
at this time, China and Russia $244.8 billionThe importance of trade in China continues to rise. 14 yearsBeing Russia’s largest trading partner is no coincidence.
Energy cooperation is key.
Russia's energy exports to China account for total exports More than half, just finalized "Siberian Electric Power 2"Natural gas pipelines can bring US$25 billion in advance payments to Russia every year.
Without China as a buyer, Russia's energy would not be sold at all.
More importantly, the change in payment methods. now in the Chinese-Russian trade, More than 95%Pay with the currency, without the dollar.
The United States is not used to wanting to freeze assets and cut off SWIFT.
Logistics channels are also being upgraded. Central European GroupRunning more and more frequently, the cargo volume of Heihe Highway Bridge and Tongjiang Railway Bridge is increasing day by day.
This is what the Russians are saying “Adjusted”It is not passive response, but proactive.
The field of cooperation is constantly expanding.
Previously mainly energy, now space, nuclear energy, and cross-border e-commerce these emerging areas are working.
Even Athens proposed “True technology”, expressed willingness to provide information to China C-929 project PD-26 engineAdditional 15 billion rubles of research and development funding were also approved on the spot.
These are all good things for Russia to support, and they are also key technologies urgently needed for China's industrial upgrading.
Of course, China has its own considerations.
China has made significant progress in upgrading industries such as aviation, and the demand for Russian technology is not as much as in the past.
Autonomous and controllableIn turn, it is Russia, under Western sanctions, and technological cooperation with China can help it out of trouble.
New approaches to multi-line combat research
The veins are very clear, and relying on China alone is not enough.
You can turn to China for economic matters, but for military assistance, China has its own principles and will not end up easily.
So in this piece of military logistics, he found another neighbor. North Korea。
Kim Jong-un’s promise is very clear: “As long as Russia needs it, North Korea will do its utmost. Brotherly dutieswhere it is.”
North Korea has the world's top conventional artillery production capacity and a huge mobilized force. This is undoubtedly the case for the Russian army, which is extremely short on supplies and troops. Give charcoal in the snow。
Iran is on the other side too.
Russia to deliver MiG-29 fighter jets 25 billion dollarsNuclear power plant agreement to consolidate its defense system in the Middle East.
such Multi line fighting.The purpose of the axis layout is clear: to decentralize risk and gain clock support.
The pressure on the U.S. side is not small.
On the one hand, Trump has forced the EU to impose a maximum of 100% tariffs on China, and wants to force China to stop buying Russian oil, which has a shortage of rare earth in its country.
What's more embarrassing is that European countries themselves are also Purchased in secret.Russian Energy.
If we really cut off trade with China, Europe's own losses will be greater than anyone else, and it is impossible for us to be on the same side as the United States.
China scholar Wu Dahui said that he understands very well that China and Russia are close 250 billionTrade is not after war, it is accumulated for years, and it is impossible to break trade.
The attitude of the eyebrows is also clear and firmly opposes this so-called "Economic pressure"。
After all, China is not a party to the crisis, so why should it pay for other people's conflicts?
Under these circumstances, the statements made by the Minister of Economic Development of Russia, Lechternikov, at the China-Russia trade conference were shocking.
He said,"No third country can ban Sino-Russian trade," followed by adding,"There is pressure from Europe and the United States, and some adjustments need to be made."
The two words come together, meaning to be clear: I hope China can withstand the pressure and do not interrupt trade.
Three core considerations.
When these things are put together, other ideas become clear.
External pressure, Russia is implementing Three one.Comprehensive strategic objectives.
Militarily, through 135,000 conscriptsStrengthen defense capabilities to prepare for long-term confrontation.
Economically, deepen the cooperative relationship with China to ensure the survival and development in the sanctions environment. In the Middle East, build a partnership of trust, spread risks and gain more support.
These three lines support each other and form a relatively complete solution system.
Speaking of which, this reflects a basic law of the game between major powers.
When external pressure exceeds the critical point, the oppressed party naturally seeks. believedThe breakthrough.
Not only did the sanctions not, but instead strengthened China-Russia economic ties. Military pressure prompted the Russian economic structure to be more confident.
The isolation strategy of the West was initially advanced. Integration of AsiaProcess.
such “The greater the pressure, the tighter the clutches.”This phenomenon is not uncommon internationally.
In the long run, these changes could have more profound effects.
China-Russia cooperation branches trade-driven shift to investment-driven, technology-driven.
Eurasian economic integration will accelerate, forming a check and balance on the transatlantic system. The strongest trends will take the lead in breakthroughs in key areas such as energy, technology, and finance.
Of course, this process will not go smoothly.
Russia's Militarization of EconomyHigher and higher, defense spending already accounts for more than 8% of GDP.
How long the model can last is a question. While cooperating with Russia, China must consider its own interests for such a long time.
But no matter what, the current cooperation model is for both sides Realistically required。
Russia needs Russian economic support to impose sanctions, and China needs Russian resources to secure the supply chain.
This based Real interestsCooperation is more reliable than those alliances that shout empty slogans.
conclusion
In the end, behind this order is actually a core consideration of survival and development, military, economic and diplomatic.
It can be foreseen that in the context of the continued increase of external pressure, China-Russia cooperation shareholders trade drive to deepen strategic coordination, which is already the trend.
With this complex pattern, how long do you think this model of cooperation can last?