If Putin dies, will the war end immediately? Let me be blunt. If Putin dies in office today, you'd better pray that a world war doesn't break out. You know, Putin is the most moderate dove in Russia. Many Russian ultra-nationalists are dissatisfied with him and think Putin is too weak. Therefore, if Putin dies, the one who comes to power will definitely be more hawkish than Putin.
Many people are curious that if Putin is not there now, will the war in Russia soon end?
To be honest, the answer may be different from what many people think. Not only may a ceasefire, the situation may be more dangerous.
Let's talk about Putin first. After he came to power in 2000, he regained stability in chaotic Russia, developed a "controllable market economy", and also dared to shoulder the responsibility of solving the Chechen issue, slowly winning back the people's trust in the regime.
Foreigners see him as tough, but in Russia, he is already considered pragmatic.
Speaking of the US-Russian summit in August this year, in order to a ceasefire, he proactively suspended territorial claims on the two states of Zaporozhye and Helsinki, retaining only the Donbass region.
This in the eyes of the main battle party is simply “betrayal of interests”, and some even accuse it of being “national shame.”
Why did the war factions react so much? To put it bluntly, what they saw was different from Putin.
The Russian army still had the upper hand on the battlefield, but the Ukrainian army's counterattack failed; The domestic economy has not collapsed due to cooperation with China and India.
More importantly, many of the main combat parties either come from the army, or are on the sidelines of the military-industrial system, have fought more than three years of battle, the military's speech power has become heavy, military-industrial allocations have also increased, and a ceasefire is not good for them.
For example, retired general Gurulev, who is still a member of the Duma, directly said that he could launch another "special military operation" against Azerbaijan. This kind of hardliner has millions of audiences in the country.
Looking at the possible successor, let's talk about shoigu. While he said he was willing to talk with the United States, he also emphasized that he "reserved the right to use nuclear weapons" and said that the United States dared to restart nuclear tests, and Russia would follow suit.
This attitude was hard enough, but compared to Gurulev and others, it might be mild.
At the time Putin was there, he was also able to make pragmatic compromises on his own prestige to crush these mainstream parties, taking the risk of "man and money".
If he is no longer there, the new people who came to power would want to stabilize the situation, probably have to get along with the army and military-industrial groups, and follow the sentiment of nationalism.
At the time, don't say a ceasefire, or it will escalate the conflict, after all, for those hawks, "fighting the end" is political correctness.
War is never decided by one person, but the balancing role of key players is really important.
Now this delicate situation, without Putin as a "ballast stone", is hard to say where it will slide.
Of course, all the above are personal opinions. If you have any different opinions on this, you can leave a message in the comment section to discuss!!!
Many people are curious that if Putin is not there now, will the war in Russia soon end?
To be honest, the answer may be different from what many people think. Not only may a ceasefire, the situation may be more dangerous.
Let's talk about Putin first. After he came to power in 2000, he regained stability in chaotic Russia, developed a "controllable market economy", and also dared to shoulder the responsibility of solving the Chechen issue, slowly winning back the people's trust in the regime.
Foreigners see him as tough, but in Russia, he is already considered pragmatic.
Speaking of the US-Russian summit in August this year, in order to a ceasefire, he proactively suspended territorial claims on the two states of Zaporozhye and Helsinki, retaining only the Donbass region.
This in the eyes of the main battle party is simply “betrayal of interests”, and some even accuse it of being “national shame.”
Why did the war factions react so much? To put it bluntly, what they saw was different from Putin.
The Russian army still had the upper hand on the battlefield, but the Ukrainian army's counterattack failed; The domestic economy has not collapsed due to cooperation with China and India.
More importantly, many of the main combat parties either come from the army, or are on the sidelines of the military-industrial system, have fought more than three years of battle, the military's speech power has become heavy, military-industrial allocations have also increased, and a ceasefire is not good for them.
For example, retired general Gurulev, who is still a member of the Duma, directly said that he could launch another "special military operation" against Azerbaijan. This kind of hardliner has millions of audiences in the country.
Looking at the possible successor, let's talk about shoigu. While he said he was willing to talk with the United States, he also emphasized that he "reserved the right to use nuclear weapons" and said that the United States dared to restart nuclear tests, and Russia would follow suit.
This attitude was hard enough, but compared to Gurulev and others, it might be mild.
At the time Putin was there, he was also able to make pragmatic compromises on his own prestige to crush these mainstream parties, taking the risk of "man and money".
If he is no longer there, the new people who came to power would want to stabilize the situation, probably have to get along with the army and military-industrial groups, and follow the sentiment of nationalism.
At the time, don't say a ceasefire, or it will escalate the conflict, after all, for those hawks, "fighting the end" is political correctness.
War is never decided by one person, but the balancing role of key players is really important.
Now this delicate situation, without Putin as a "ballast stone", is hard to say where it will slide.
Of course, all the above are personal opinions. If you have any different opinions on this, you can leave a message in the comment section to discuss!!!