The contents of this article are written with authoritative materials and personal opinions. The source of the literature has been marked at the end of the article, so please know.
The presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan is about to begin. On October 4, five candidates will compete together. Whoever wins will basically be the next prime minister.
Currently, the highest popular support rate is high market early.
She previously had a support rate of 34%, higher than that of小泉进次郎 and林芳正.When she gave a speech, she spoke loudly and rushed, and she felt like a very powerful political figure. However, a high support rate doesn't mean that you can win. The problem with a high market is that you can't catch the last stick.
Gao is the Naraians and has always been considered the heir of the Abe route. She speaks directly and is good at engaging in topics. The media call her a "hard-core woman".But it was because she was too "hard" that she didn't eat well in the Self-Democratic Party.
The self-government party is very balanced, the high market is too radical, so even if the first round of voting is good, it is also difficult to get enough "transfer tickets". some senior lawmakers privately said, "let her be a flagship, when a hand is not very suitable."
During his speech on September 22nd, Takaichi said that foreign tourists "kicked Nara's deer with their feet" and wanted to use this incident to emphasize the need to strengthen immigration management.
As a result, Nara Park immediately came out and said that there was no such thing at all, and no one was found to abuse deer. When the reporter asked her where the news came from, she said: "I confirmed it myself." There was no picture or report, just "I heard".
This netizens blow up the pot, some criticize her want to use national emotions, give hard policies to find reasons, and others irony her, "A leader can't even manage a deer well, but he still wants to manage the country?"
Takashi is in a hurry, and Shinjiro Koizumi is also in trouble. On September 26th, Koizumi held a press conference and admitted that his team sent emails to supporters to teach them how to brush praise and hack opponents online.
There were 24 phrases in the mail, and even "How to Attack High Market Morning Foods" was clearly written.
Although I apologized, it was useless. What everyone cares about is not whether he knows or not, but whether a young man who says he wants to reform is also using the old routine in order to win the election. The topic of "withdrawing from the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party" on the Internet has been hot searched.
In the meantime, Lyme has become the focus of everyone’s attention.He does not show off the mountain or the dew, like a very calm bystander. But on closer inspection, he may be the "dark horse".
Lin Feng is now the chief of cabinet officers and is seen in the party as a representative of the “technical bureaucracy”, the kind of person who is very knowledgeable but not passionate.
He has no radical remarks or exaggerated promises. His centre-of-the-road approach may be unflattering on either side, but it is just the right way to attract those who were disappointed in the first round of voting.
Everyone pays more attention to his diplomatic experience. He met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and stressed the importance of stabilizing Sino-Japanese relations; When the reporter asked, "Is the United States forcing Japan to expand its military?" He directly denied it, saying that "Japan should pursue its security strategy at its own pace".
Although these words are not eye-catching, they are still very important in this "technical flow" of Japanese politics.
If there is no majority in the first round of voting, a second round of "limited voting for members" will be held. At that time, people who originally supported Koizumi or other candidates may vote for Lin Fangzheng because they are dissatisfied with Takashi.
Some people think that the flavor is a bit like the stone, the surface is gentle, the back of the ground is operated, and unconsciously the victory is set.
Speaking back to the electoral system, this self-democratic party uses the "all-regular" system. Including votes from members of Congress and local party members, there are a total of 535 votes. You must get more than 268 votes to win.This system may seem fair, but it actually tests the candidates '"integration ability."
Although Gaoshi Zaomiao has an advantage in public opinion, his popularity within the party is not very good. If there is no good relationship between the various factions, it will be difficult to turn the tables in the second round.Koizumi Shinjiro's credit has been damaged, the reform personality has collapsed, and the "youth idol" is now a bit suspicious.
On the contrary, it is linfoma, staying low in the wind, without causing any problems. He is not as sharp as the high market, nor attracts the eye as the small spring, but the way he struggles steadily fits the hearts of those party members who are tired of inner struggle.
If Lin Feng is successfully entering the second round, getting the “held votes” of other candidates, then the final result may not be as simple as the poll.
Politics is not about who runs fast, it is about who laughs last.
There are still a few days before the October 4th vote, and everything is not yet settled. Can Gaoshi withstand the pressure of public opinion? Can Koizumi restore his image? Can Lin Fangzheng become a dark horse? Everyone is waiting to see.
The outcome of this election will not only determine the future of the self-government party, but also affect Japan's foreign policy.In the issue of China, whether confrontation, compromise, or a pragmatic line, are hidden in this struggle.
reference
Japanese People's Party President Elections Frequently "Roll" 2025-09-29 13:56 PM Source: Global Times
2. "Japan's Liberal Democratic Party presidential candidate Koizumi admits to" getting favorable reviews "and refuses to withdraw from the election" 2025-09-27 10:57:07 | Source: Xinhuanet
3. "Takashi Hayashi also talked about deer in Nara. Local response: There is no evidence that foreign tourists committed violence to deer" 2025-09-23 16:26| Source: Observer Network