The smoke of the battlefield in Ukraine has not yet dissipated, a new round of fire has been lit. Putin has just signed the order of recruitment, 13.5 thousand young people are about to wear military clothes; the side of Ukraine is not reluctant to show weakness, Foreign Minister Sergei I Hammer stated: the whole territory of Russia will be the target.

Both sides showed their cards, and the war no longer just stayed in the trenches, but began to spread to the rear, becoming a "national confrontation" without boundaries.

In addition to the theatre of the confrontation, US President Donald Trump was not vacant, while shouting "Intermediate Peace" and delivering the knife to Ukraine.

war spread

In the past, the front line had borders, and the front line and the rear were clearly separated. But now, war has broken rules. From September 27 to 28, the Russian army adopted a "saturated attack" approach and launched non-stop air strikes on Ukraine for 12 consecutive hours.

According to the Russian Defense Ministry, they used 595 drones and 48 missiles to launch more than 640 waves of strikes.

Ukraine also responded immediately, saying that they blocked most of the weapons and only allowed 5 missiles and 31 drones to break through the air defense system. But whichever side is truer, one thing is certain: civilian casualties are inevitable, and infrastructure has not escaped. This is not a question of who wins or loses, but a tug-of-war of "who will last long".

However, Ukraine's counterattack is no longer in step. On September 28, Ukraine drones appeared over Moscow.

Authorities confirmed that a total of 84 drones were intercepted, but several broke through the defense line, killing a 76-year-old woman and a 6-year-old child.

This is not the first time that Ukrainian drones flew into Russian territory, but the meaning of this is different ¨C they really entered the Russians¡¯ ¡°background¡± and this was the beginning of what Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sergei Serbijka called the ¡°attack on the entire Russian territory.¡±

At the same time, Putin is not idle. On September 29, he signed the fall draft order, calling up 135,000 youth between the ages of 18 and 30 to serve. Russia emphasizes that these people are conscripts and will not be sent directly to the Ukrainian battlefield.

But anyone with a discerning eye can see that this step is preparing for a long-term war. Let young people stay at home and veterans go to the front line. Russia is undergoing a system-wide "exchange of blood".

This war is no longer a contest between the armies, but a game of the country's overall resources.The front line is gunpowder, the back is the people's heart, who can stand up, who can master the initiative.

Winter, weapons, politics, who is pushing the chariot forward?

The war did not become fierce by the air, there was always a push behind the back.This Russian-Ukrainian situation suddenly rose, in fact, the result of the joint action of the three forces.

The first is the time.Winter is coming, no matter whether people or machines are afraid of the cold.For Ukraine, energy is the root of the dead, and last winter was hit by electricity disruption and warming by Russia.

This year, Russian troops obviously want to repeat the old routine, continue to destroy power plants and heating facilities, so that Ukraine people cannot survive in the cold wind.

And Ukraine is not planning to sit still. They are targeting Russia's oil system. Destroying oil depots and refineries will not only "cut off" the Russian army, but will also strain Russia's finances. In other words, both sides want to seize a breath and create a "winter capital" before the road is blocked by heavy snow.

The second momentum came from the United States. Ukraine dared to say "attack Russia's entire territory" not with hard mouth, but with the bottom card.

U.S. Vice President Wences has made rumors that he is considering providing Ukraine with "Taxic" cruise missiles with a range of more than 2,000 kilometers, and Moscow and St. Petersburg have to be brave.

Finally, there¡¯s a ¡°back-the-scenes push¡± ¨C Trump.The president recently changed his speech, suddenly saying that Russia is just a ¡°paper tiger¡± and also suggested that Ukraine has a chance to take back all the land lost.

Apparently supporting Ukraine, in fact, is a mess. He said on the one hand to be a "mediator", and on the other hand to encourage Ukraine, the purpose is clear: let Europe make money out, the United States stands on the side as a judge, ready at any time to pick up a big deal. This vague strategy, not only does not reduce the heat, but instead makes the fire burn more fierce.

These three forces joined together, like three wooden fires, burned the battlefield that had already been dangerous, into a boiler of boiling water.

Trump¡¯s ¡°peace script¡±

Trump says he can mediate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but from his recent operations, it¡¯s more like a ¡°Nobel Peace Prize campaign.¡±

He said he was willing to mediate with the outside, but behind it he sold weapons and provoked the public opinion. This two-sided betting practice, the core of which is only one: whether there is any benefit to the United States. To be honest, his "America's priority" principle, decided that he would not really take the risk of angering Russia to interfere in depth. Even if he really wanted to provide "Tax" missiles, Europe had to take the pocket first, and he nodded.

More importantly, Trump's "mediation" strategy is actually "standby". What he was waiting for was not peace, but opportunity. If the war reached a stalemate, he would jump out and say,"Look, I can get them to cease fire"; if one side suddenly collapsed, he would come out to "clean up the mess." This strategy was good for him, but it was not helpful to the war itself. He was not putting out the fire, but waiting to see who burned it first.

conclusion

Putin's recruitment was not a temporary initiative, and the Ukrainian drone was not accidentally mistaken. All this is a manifestation of the systematic escalation of the war. and Trump's vague attitude is more like stirring up the wind on the edge of the battlefield.

At present, the window of peace talks is rapidly closing. Both sides are overweight and betting, ready to fight a longer and harder protracted battle. This conflict has spread from the trenches of East Ukraine to the backyard of Russia and to the nerve endings of Europe.

The next few months will be the key nodes that will determine the course of the war.Can Ukraine withstand the Russian autumn offensive?Can Russia withstand the double pressure of sanctions and war losses?These questions have no answers, only time can speak.

But it is certain that this winter will be deeper and longer than last year.For Russia and Ukraine, this is no longer a war, but a game of transportation.

For the world, this uncontrollable conflict is pushing everyone into a more unpredictable abyss step by step. The bell of war has rung, and the echo of peace is still inaudible for the time being.