On the night of September 27, 2025, Kiev’s air defense alarm suddenly sounded, and it continued for more than ten hours, from ten o’clock in the evening to seven o’clock in the morning of the next day.
It is not exaggerated that the Russian military's strike was the strongest in three years, and they launched 595 drones and 48 missiles in various directions from the provinces of Saratov and Kursk to Ukraine.
In the city center of Kiev, it carried 64% of the firepower.Ukrainian interceptor systems hit 611 air targets, but there were still dozens of missiles drilling the air.
These missiles that escaped from the net hit residential areas, schools and hospitals. Kiev Mayor Klitschko later confirmed that at least four people died, including an 8-year-old child. More than 80 other people were injured, 12 of whom were particularly seriously injured. It's hard to say whether they can be saved.
The Russian Ministry of Defense has its own account, saying that this time it hit military factories and military airports in Ukraine, just to prevent the Ukrainian army from counterattack. But outsiders can see that the Russian army used the "Dagger" hypersonic missile this time-this thing flies faster than 10 times the speed of sound, and current air defense systems are basically unable to stop it.
It has been speculated that this may be Russia’s response to the recent NATO deployment in the East.
The US aircraft carrier "Ford" blocked the door of Russia, NATO's east wing can't get stuck
Kiev had just been bombed, and the United States had taken action.The same day, the U.S. Navy’s nuclear-powered aircraft carrier “Ford” was launched directly into the Oslo Strait in Norway.
Don’t ignore this place—it’s the only exit to the Baltic Sea, where Russian nuclear submarines have to cross to the Atlantic, and it’s close: 780 km to Kaliningrad, Russia, and 1,200 km to St. Petersburg.
The “Ford” carried 44 F/A-18E/F “Supergirl Bear” and 20 F-35C invisible fighters, and could fly to St. Petersburg for half an hour — where the Russian military district is headquartered.
Since the beginning of September, Russia and Belarus have been conducting joint military exercises “West 2025”, and NATO has not been out of hand. Germany has conducted a “Red Storm Brawl” exercise in Hamburg, dedicated to how to quickly move armored forces to Poland;
France sent three "Typhon" fighter jets to Poland, together with the German "Typhon" fighter jets, to conduct joint air patrol; NATO also launched the "Eastern Guard" operation, intending to deploy a brigade combat group in Poland and Lithuania.
President's press secretary Peskov spoke directly, saying that NATO is doing so, it doesn't differ from "indirect participation in the war", Russia wants to counteract how to counteract, others don't care.
Russian Federation Security Council Vice-President Medvedev was more direct, saying that if NATO dared to set up a “non-flying zone” in Ukraine, or dared to shoot down Russian drones, that would be declaring war.
Poland added fuel to the fire: building drones with Ukraine and sealing the border
Poland has always been particularly active in matters in the east of NATO, acting like a "bridgehead". On September 18, Poland and Ukraine signed an agreement to establish a joint drone combat team. Not only must we share the drone's tracking system, we must also train operators together.
Poland also lent more than 100 million euros to Ukraine to buy arms and repair equipment. There are Crab self-propelled howitzers and Wasp anti-aircraft missile systems-both guys that can be used directly on the battlefield.
Poland says it is “fearful of Russian-White military exercises” and has sent 40,000 troops directly to the border and closed all border ports. Polish Deputy Defence Minister Tomczyk has openly said that their troops are ready, whoever comes to “aggression” can fight back and will work with NATO allies.
The Russian Foreign Ministry directly referred to the Polish ambassador in the past, putting in front of the protest — — meaning “do not exaggerate.”
Is it possible to get the missiles into the hands of Ukraine?
The most concerned thing now is whether the United States will give Ukraine "Tomahawk" cruise missiles. On September 28, when U.S. Vice President Vance was interviewed by Fox News, he finally relaxed and said that the United States was considering whether to give the missile to Ukraine through European NATO member states.
This missile is no joke-it can have a range of more than 2,000 kilometers.
If Ukraine really got it, it is the first time it has the ability to hit the Russian core cities of Moscow and St. Petersburg.The Ukrainian President Zelensky had long wanted, before meeting Trump at the United Nations General Assembly, he made clear demands, and said “with the ‘strike ax’, Russia will sit down and negotiate.”
The control method is quite complex, it is inertial navigation, and by satellite positioning, can still follow the terrain, sticking to the ground 50 meters — — radar is not easy to find, because its radar reflection area is only 0.01 square meters, almost like a bird.
It has a stronger conventional warhead and can carry 6 meters thick steel concrete, whether it is a Russian military command center, ammunition warehouse, energy facilities, and everything.
The first is a technical problem: Ukraine now has no warships, no submarines, and can not launch a “battle ax” from the sea. If it changes to a land launch, the existing equipment will have to be changed, and the soldiers will have to practice for at least 6 months to get started.
More troubling than technology is the political mine zone. Russia has long said that whoever gives Ukraine a long-range fighting weapon is “escalating the war”, they are likely to counteract with nuclear deterrence. The U.S. has also fought heavily, and some lawmakers fear this will make the conflict out of control, and the U.S. military’s own “tacks” inventory will be empty.
How to play the next game? no one dared to act rashly
The current war between Russia and Ukraine has actually turned into a "proxy war", which is different from before. Russia relies on large-scale air strikes and hypersonic missiles to support the scene, just to suppress the counteroffensive momentum of the Ukrainian army; On the NATO side, sometimes it sends aircraft carriers, sometimes it upgrades military aid, and both sides show off their muscles in the east, and no one refuses to retreat.
Whether the "Tomahawk" missile can reach Ukraine may be the key to breaking the balance-one wrong step may lead to chaos.
In the short term, this situation is estimated to beined for a while: the fighting will not be too intense, but the political confrontation will be tight.
Although Russia's conventional military strength is stronger than that of Ukraine, Western economic sanctions and depletion after three years of fighting are almost unbearable. Although NATO has a lot of arms and strong military strength, it is not united internally-countries such as France and Germany prefer to talk from outside and do not want to make things too big.
In the long run, the direction of this matter depends on three key points: first, whether the United States will continue to send military aid to Ukraine and how much; Second, can NATO's defense system in the east work? Third, do Russia and Ukraine want to sit down and talk?
When there was no smoke in this battle, it was the citizens of Kiev who suffered the most. They had to queue up for food in the air raid siren, have to build their homes next to the bombed houses, and can only carry the hardships of war. In Washington and Moscow, thousands of miles away, a word or a decision made by those policy makers may change the fate of this country.
Source of information:
Global Times: Vance: The United States is considering providing "Tomahawk" to Ukraine
20250929 Russian military massive air strike Kiev U.S. confirms considering Ukrainian "tacks"