In recent days, the U.S. supply of “Tax missiles” to Ukraine has become a hot spot.
According to the September 28 Wences bombings, the United States is considering providing Ukraine with tactical-axis missiles.If the president signs, Europe will pay for this long-range weapon.
So far, Trump has not approved the application from Ukraine.
In response to the case, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Steven Bryan published an article on the digital content creation platform Substack, which wrote that the transfer of "Tax" missiles to Ukraine would lead to the outbreak of war between the United States and Russia on the European continent.
Why is this American politician so supposed?
If the United States wants to provide Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, it must provide corresponding missile launch systems.
From the current situation, if Trump signed the contract, then the tactical missile sold to Ukraine at the same time, the corresponding "Tifon" missile system will also be turned.
In general, if the Ukrainians want to master the launch of tactical axis missiles, they need to learn and time to adapt.
The most effective arrangement was: even weapons with U.S. operators, come to the Ukrainian soil together, at the crucial moment, by the Americans to operate missile launches.
However, in this way, things may go bad, and Russia will definitely treat the United States as launching missiles at Russia.
Once Russia is determined to be a US-launched tactical missile, the nature will change immediately.
On September 28, local time, in response to Wance’s remarks that “the United States is considering providing tactical axis missiles to Ukraine,” Kremlin spokesman Peskov told reporters: “Who can launch these missiles? only Ukrainians can launch them, or is it necessary for U.S. troops to operate? who will decide the target of these missiles? is it the U.S. or Ukraine itself?”
Peskov did not say anything hidden, and if American soldiers acted, they would consider war with the United States and Russia.
Compared with Peskov, Putin speaks much more directly:
For countries that “allow Ukraine to use its missiles to attack Russia,” Russia reserves the right to attack military facilities within its territory.
Putin's words are to Trump and Europeans. Don't play with fire. If you play with fire, you will set yourself on fire.
And another high-ranking Russian speaker, more specifically, he is the Chairman of the State Duma Defence Committee Andrei, who told Russian media: Any U.S. military expert who assists Ukraine in launching a “Taxic” missile against Russia will be a target for Russia.
This is specific to “people”.
In short, for the Russian Kremlin, the situation will definitely escalate as long as the U.S. supplies warhead missiles to Ukraine.
Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Steven Brian said:
"If the United States approves Ukraine's application, then this decision will be reckless and may lead to an escalation of the conflict. It will put the United States in direct conflict with Russia, which may lead to war in Europe."
Brian’s reason is that using such weapons requires U.S. troops stationed on Ukrainian territory, which means the U.S. will be directly involved in the conflict.
[Trump is riding a tiger, where should he go?]
Now, the most contradictory should be Trump.
A few days earlier, Trump encouraged Ukraine that it would win the final victory and regain all the territories it lost.
The influence of this is too great.
I don’t know why, and it always feels like it’s Trump who ignores Ukrainians and Europeans.
On September 23, Trump and Zelensky met, and Trump said he supported the Ukrainian attack on military facilities, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in Russia.
Zelensky’s “spiritual” hype suggested the need for the United States to provide support for “strike-axis missiles.”
Trump has not rejected Ukrainian President Zelensky, nor has he made any promises.
On Russia’s “United Day” on September 30, Putin spoke to the whole country, claiming that he would not give up any inch of “liberated” territory, the four states of the East must be in Russia here.
Currently, the Lugansk and Donetsk provinces are almost in Russian hands, and more than 70% of the provinces of Helsinki and Zaporozhye are in Russian hands, and it is necessary to continue the fight to liberate all of the provinces of Helsinki and Zaporozhye.
Putin’s words, and the “rapid ceasefire” Trump advocated, are the opposite.
From the point of view of what Putin spoke to all the people, US-Russia basically entered the path of "separation".
In the future, if Trump does not agree to provide "Tomahawk missiles" to Ukraine, it will be equivalent to giving Ukraine a clear signal that the United States will not participate or be involved in the Russia-Ukraine war.
This would be a huge disappointment for Europe and Ukraine.
If Trump was willing to supply Ukraine with “tacks” missiles, Ukraine and Europe would be happy, and Russia would be very angry, even if the US-Russia would completely break up.
As the former Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Brian said above, on the issue of providing “strike-axis missiles” it was a bit careless that the US Russia would go to war in Europe.
If that happens, will Europe be idle? Absolutely not.
The NATO leaders, the United States and Russia, are working together and the Third World War is about to break out.
Finally, three points on this.
First, Trump most likely will not approve the provision of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.
Trump is very clever, looks crazy, and actually calculates very well.
Before he took office, his motto was “Make America Great Again.”
If there is a war with Russia, "Great Again" will become very far away.
Therefore, there is a high probability that Trump will not approve Ukraine's application.
Second, Trump does not want to tear his face with Russia, in his view, the United States has only one opponent.
In the American governing philosophy, there has always been only one competitor, and that is China.
After the start of Trump 2.0, he showed an attitude of importance to Russia. The goal is easy to see, he would try to pull Russia into the US camp as much as possible, rather than bringing China and Russia too close.
If the U.S. and Russia tear their faces apart and fight in Europe, and once the U.S. is caught in the whirlwind of war and begins a tremendous consumption, then the U.S. power will be visiblely diminished.
As a result, how can Trump endure it? He wants to unite more countries around America.
Third, Ukraine may have improved its own "Firebird" cruise missiles, which may be more appropriate.
Instead of hoping to supply long-range missiles to the United States and Europe, Ukraine preferred to improve its own "Fire Bird" cruise missiles, after all, this missile can reach more than 3,000 kilometers, which can form full coverage of Moscow.
At present, although the range of the "Firebird" meets the requirements, however, the slow speed, cannot be hidden, etc. are insufficient, which may make the Firebird easily intercepted.
If Ukraine is able to solve the problem of speed and hidden birds, it will have a huge impact on Moscow.
Many people think that Ukraine can no longer be moved. In fact, the tenacity of the Ukrainians may be underestimated. The military industry has developed to a certain extent. Many drones can already be produced, and even the long-range missile "Flamingo" has been developed.
Everything shows that with the support of Europe, the collapse of Ukraine is still far away.
There is some truth in the remarks made by the former U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense. If the United States provides Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, the situation will definitely escalate, and even the United States and Russia may fight. Can't Trump see this possibility? Must be able to tell.
Therefore, it is difficult for Ukraine to obtain Tomahawk missiles, and it is also difficult for the United States and Russia to start operating in Europe.