One wave is unsettled, another wave rises again.
Earlier, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said in a statement at the General Assembly: Russia remains willing to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict through dialogue and has regular hopes for dialogue with the United States., but it is now clear to everyone that the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are still at a standstill.
Moreover, with the continued intervention of the United States and Europe, the situation between Russia and Ukraine is facing more unknowns and risks.
In particular, recent incidents such as "airspace invasion" occurred in Poland and Estonia. The European side pointed the finger at Russia and took corresponding military actions in response, which made the "gunpowder smell" between Russia, Europe and NATO increasingly intense.
However, just as the situation in Russia continues to evolve, raising external concerns, There are three important things to be concerned about.
First, the Russian crucial oil pipeline was attacked again, Ukraine: I did it.
On the 29th, the Russian Republic of Chuvash stated that a pumping station of the "Friendship" oil pipeline in the region was attacked by a Ukrainian drone. As a result, the pipeline once fell into a "shutdown state".
In this regard, the Ukrainian security agency also confirmed the attack on the "Friendship" oil pipeline, and said the counter-operation was "expected", triggering explosions and fires of related facilities, paralyzing the "Friendship" pipeline.
At present, Russia is repairing the attacked oil pipeline, and it is not clear when it will resume operation.
It is known, The "Friendship" pipeline has a length of 9,739 kilometers and is one of the longest pipelines in the world.Starting from Russia, it leads to Germany, Poland, Hungary and other countries, and is one of the main pipelines for Russia's oil delivery to Europe.
But recently, with the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the frequency of Ukrainian attacks on the "Friendship" pipeline has also increased, affecting oil supplies to countries such as Hungary and Slovakia.
To this end, Hungary has publicly warned Ukraine many times that cracking down on the pipeline is “Attack on Hungarian energy security”Retaliatory measures will be taken against Ukraine. Among them, Hungary is one of Ukraine's main electricity suppliers.
Therefore, if Ukraine continues to attack the "Friendship" pipeline, causing Hungary to face the crisis of "being cut off from oil", Then it is not ruled out that Hungary may retaliate with "power outage".
In addition, the Chuvash Republic is located in the heart of Russia, and the attack on the Ukrainian unmanned oil pipeline in the area indicates that the Ukrainian unmanned aircraft's combat strength remains insignificant and poses a certain threat to Russia.
In addition, frequent attacks on energy facilities are likely to further promote the spillover of the war between Russia and Ukraine. At that time, Russia is likely to respond by increasing its attacks on Ukrainian energy facilities, exacerbating the escalation of the situation.
However, compared with the bombing of the Russian oil pipeline, Ukraine's other idea may surprise the outside world even more.
The second thing, Moscow may be hit by "beheading"? Russia issued a warning.
Zelensky recently stated in an interview: If Russia refuses to end the war, Kremlin officials should make sure that it is clear where the nearest defensive hole is.He also said that "if the Russian army attacks Ukraine, the Ukrainian army will also launch a counterattack."
If the conflict continues to escalate, Then Ukraine is likely to launch a "headshot" on the Kremlin in Moscow.。 Prior to this, the Ukrainian army had dispatched drones to launch attacks on Moscow many times.
Russian President Peskov’s press secretary said: “It’s better not to talk about it anymore, everyone understands the consequences.”
What does that mean?
Although the Russian side did not take a tough response, it has been shown that if the Ukrainian army strikes the Kremlin, the nature of the conflict in Russia will change dramatically, the Russian side is likely to completely release the restrictions, and the Ukrainian administrative institutions and decision-making centers will also be hit.
You know, during the more than three years of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, neither side directly attacked each other's key administrative centers. Neither the Kremlin in Moscow nor the government buildings in Kiev were included in the attack list. And this, It is one of the few "sanctions" between the Russian and Ukrainian sides in this conflict, and one of the important "red lines".
But now, with Zelensky's threat, it means that tensions continue to escalate. Even as the peace talks process continues to be in trouble and the deadlock is difficult to break, This dangerous and sensitive move is likely to be one of the means to break the impasse between the two sides.
And this also shows from the side that the peace talks in Russia are imminent, the war continues to escalate, and will only generate more turmoil and tragedy.
Of course, from the situation of previous Russian-Ukrainian negotiations, this long-lasting major war was influenced by many factors, and it was difficult for both sides to push the conflict to end. Third-party or international intervention is required.The United States, as Ukraine’s biggest supporter, remains the key.
No, at the critical moment, Russia began to call out to the United States.
The third thing, Putin sent an invitation letter, and Trump began to curl.
The Russian President’s press secretary Peskov said: Putin is willing to meet again with TrumpAnd said that Putin's previous decision to invite Trump to visit Moscow at the Alaska summit is still valid, and Putin is ready. "Everything will depend on the decision of the United States."
It should be noted that the US-Russia presidential summit in mid-August was once regarded as a "major turning point" in the situation between Russia and Ukraine, and after meeting with Putin, Trump soon met with Zelensky and a group of European leaders. A summit was held in an attempt to promote a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
But it is likely that after the US-Russian and US-European summit, the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks still have not made significant progress, and the US-European claims and disagreements on Ukraine's security have become the main obstacles. Among them, Europe's advocacy for sending so-called "peacekeeping forces" to Ukraine to ensure the smooth implementation of the ceasefire, but this move was strongly opposed by Russia.
Now, Putin shouted to Trump, preparing to push the US-Russian president to hold a summit in Moscow, is equivalent to after turning around, Again, we have come back to a “new starting point” – the final direction of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, and the negotiations between the US and Russia are still inseparable.
The difference is that the White House's attitude towards Russia has "repeatedly jumped" recently. First, Trump threatened Russia and released a signal that "Ukraine is expected to recover all its territory", and then US Vice President Vance declared The U.S. is considering providing the U.S. with “war ax” missiles.To keep the situation changing.
It can be seen that it is not easy for this war to come to a successful conclusion, and more variables and turmoil continue to come.
The mountain rains want to come full of wind.Next, and see how the situation develops.