On September 28 local time, after Russia was called the "paper tiger", the Russian military responded to the outside world with practical actions: a cannon "misused" the Polish embassy in Ukraine.

Vronski, a spokesman for the Polish Foreign Ministry, quickly confirmed the fact of the attack, but stressed "no casualties, little losses", and said it did not affect the normal operation of the embassy.

It is surprising that the country, which in the past few days shouted ¡°China is not willing to force Russia to cease the fire,¡± did not even sound a voice of condemnation after the embassy was attacked.

To know, on September 12, Belarus "West 2025" military exercises just started, Poland announced the closure of all roads and railway ports with Belarus.

Poland¡¯s calculation is clear, it is aware of the importance of the Central European line as the main channel for Asia-Europe trade, and wants to put pressure on China through a manufacturing logistics crisis. It thinks China will force Russia to cease fire because trade is blocked.

Just 10 days later, China Convenience launched the "backup plan" and turned to the "China-Europe Arctic Express" route. Poland realizes that its "bargaining chips" are worthless at all, and continuing the blockade will only cost the country more trade opportunities. So Poland reopened its border crossings.

Seeing their tricks failed to succeed, can not cross to the U.S. principal, Poland has failed to regenerate, began in the international community to spread rumors, to blast China-Russia's normal trade behavior, publicly accused China "is the only country that can force Russia to cease the war, but delayed not willing to act".

It wasn't until recently that a Russian artillery shell penetrated the roof of the consular department of the Polish Embassy in Ukraine and ended up in the kitchen that the Polish side calmed down.

Poland is so radical, rooted in its ¡°terrorist¡± historical memory. In the 18th century, it was divided three times by Oppo and twice hit by the Soviets during the Second World War, a trauma that deepened Poland¡¯s alertness to Russia.

Interestingly, this anxiety makes Poland continue to take risks. It spent a lot of money to buy F-35 fighter jets, upgrade its air defense system, and promised to "shoot down any Russian military aircraft that violated its airspace." The problem is, after my embassy was "mistakenly bombed", it was so "flexible and stretchable" that it surprised people.

The Russian missile was a precise warning. Russia had previously warned that Ukraine and Poland were planning "false flag operations" to plant Russian attacks. This "mistake" directly blocked this possibility, but also hit Poland: don't jump too high, it really happens that no one can carry for you.

NATO¡¯s reaction was equally remarkable. Secretary-General Luther called in an emergency and Zelensky focused on discussing the ¡°priority list¡± and wanted to raise funds for air defense missiles. But this initiative did not cover Luther¡¯s inner anxiety: should the missiles fall on Poland¡¯s mainland again, should we launch the Fifth Collective Defense?

America's attitude is also very subtle. Vance confirmed that he was considering providing Tomahawk missiles, but said that the final decision was made by Trump. This vague statement not only painted a pie for Ukraine, but also left itself a way out. The United States is well aware that directly providing long-range missiles may lead to direct conflict with Russia, which it does not want to see.

Poland wants to rely on anti-Russia in exchange for security, but exposes its vulnerability; the United States wants Europe to be an ¡°agent¡± to collect fishing profits; NATO swings between collective defense and avoidance of conflict.

In the face of Poland's difficulties, China did not fall into a war of words, but directly broke the situation with actions. The opening of the Arctic route not only ensures trade security, but also seizes the opportunity in the future Arctic competition. The Chinese side also clearly pointed out that "there is someone else who does not want the war to end and adds fuel to the fire" and called on Europe to play a greater role. These two sentences reveal the key point: the root cause of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is the expansion of NATO, and the real archer is the country that continues to deliver weapons.