Preliminary

24 Septemberand one.” Global Strength"The aid ship is in GazaOcean affected 12 dronesAttack, the hull vibrated violently, and the communication was instantly interrupted.

Spanish、 ItalySubsequently announced. Navy escorts， IndonesianPromise to transfer. 20,000 peacekeepersYou can open the ship’s mission book, but it’s written.” Following far away."" Forced breaking the blockade line."。

Why do countries do this? What kind of effective solutions do you think countries will come up with?

The ship is just a gesture.

24 SeptemberLate at night, the explosion of the drone was just in Mediterranean Seadispersed above Spanish Prime Minister SanchezJust stand Port of CataniaAnnouncement of sending. FuroThe battleship, ItalyImmediately afterwards, FasanThe escort ship also started to start, to be honest, the gesture was good, and Europe this time looked real.

But the problem is that the missions of these two warships were opened, and it was clearly stated: Following far away."" Only rescue and deterrence can be performed"" It is strictly forbidden to forcibly break through the Israeli blockade"。

More surprisingly, even a lot of war rules are listed, scared and IsraelShred gun and fire, this is to escort, clearly to be an observer, why Europe isActing so conservatively? In the final analysis, I still don't want to offend both sides. On the one hand, the domestic people are Humanitarian crisis in GazaVery worried, not sending troops.

On the other hand, America isAre allies, IsraelYes is The Middle EastThe key partners, really move on. Europe isThe consequences were unbearable, so there was such a downside scheme: sending warships was expressively tough, but restricting actions was practically conservative.

Compare the historical data and you will know Europe isHow conservative this time. The Bosnian War of 1995， Europe isDispatch 60,000 peacekeepers， The Gaza crisis in 2025, only sent Two military ships.from from 60 thousandto Two shipsThis is not an ordinary breakdown, it is said. Europe ison The Middle EastThe willingness to intervene in transactions has decreased considerably over the years.

Just the day after the three states announced the dispatch of troops, one was hanged. The Red Cross flag.The medical ship. GazaSea area cover IsraelMilitary forced interception, ship 15 health care workersArrested by 4 hoursWhat does this mean? It shows that even if there are warships nearby, humanitarian assistance should be blocked or blocked, and the escort effect is quite limited.

Uncle Sam's drop-off moment

23 September， Trump isStand by The United Nations General AssemblyOn the floor, call on all parties.” Immediate ceasefire"" Protection of civilians“It sounds like that, but the problem is he’s turning around. Security Councilvoted The fifth veto, personally killed the ceasefire resolution, this kind of split between words and deeds is not the first time.

exist The GeneralDuring the speech, Trump istaunt United NationsYes is » The club of bullshit“I also admitted. Palestinian stateOf Over 150 countriesYes is » Small and Blind Country.The voice just dropped. America isThe representative is here Security CouncilCast down Vetoed votes。

And what happened? FRANCE、 England is、 Canadian、 AustraliaThese Iron Belt allies, the front and back legs announce admitting Palestinian stateIsn’t that not playing with you? America isSeveral resolutions have been rejected, but their role has completely changed. United Nations Security CouncilPermanent members.

America isIt was supposed to preserve the international order, but now it is.” Systematic direct obstacles to humanitarian reliefI was used to watching. Washington isThe face-faced world is now witnessing order-keepers crushing their own authority.

The Brookings Academy.Of The Middle EastExperts say the troops are right. US Middle East Policyand failed.” No confidence vote."， International Crisis OrganizationAnalysts are more straightforward: "The real meaning of the eight-country communiqué is not whether it can be changed. IsraelPolicy, but Arab worldFirst time around. America isforming a collective position.”

America isThe moral highlands are collapsing at a speed visible to the naked eye. Right of Veto“When the most fundamental efforts of the international community were blocked, that global conflict.” Arbitrator"The role is getting farther and farther away from it, and more importantly, the power vacuum it leaves will soon be filled by others.

The Middle East no longer waits for Washington.

In eight countries, and Qatar、 Saudi、 Turkey、 Egyptian、 Jordan、 United Arab Emirates、 Pakistan、 Indonesian-In The United Nations General AssemblyDuring this time, to IsraelThe submission of a joint statement, which in itself illustrates the problem: relations between these countries in the past were complex and even contradictory.

But this time at GazaOn the question, they found the greatest thing in common, why could they unite? in the end, it was because the security promise was bankrupt.

and DohaThe bombing was completely shaken. The Arab countrieson America isTrust in security, everyone suddenly understands that the so-called security commitment is unreliable, and the real security can only rely on oneself. Therefore, seeking diversified defense cooperation has become a new consensus, and more importantly, President of Indonesia Prabhupadaexist The GeneralPublic commitment, IndonesianPrepare to GazaSend to 20,000 peacekeepers。

This is not a casual remark, it directly answers the toughest question: " Who will maintain order after the war?"Of course, this program has a prerequisite, and it must be obtained. United NationsAuthorization. but this undoubtedly provides an unprecedented, substantial solution to the problem.

United Nations Humanitarian Coordination OfficeThe data shows, 2.3 million people in GazaIn excess of 1.9 million people displaced， 60%The infrastructure is destroyed and the humanitarian corridors are insufficiently open. 15%， The World Food ProgrammeThe warning, GazaThe north has entered " Catastrophic famineThe stage, 500,000 childrenSerious malnutrition.

But the question is the old question: Peacekeepers need to United Nationsauthorization and America isas Security CouncilPermanent members are likely to take action. Right of Veto。 This falls into " Voluntary and unauthorized.in difficulty, but EgyptianUnilateral action has begun. September 28th， Egyptianannounced in Rafah Border CrossingUnilaterally open humanitarian corridors and allow them daily 100 aid trucksNo need to enter. Israeland approved.

Who can answer first?

The Gaza crisisToday, it is no longer just a regional conflict, it has become a global " Test of credibility"It's not to see who says beautifully, but to see who can come up with a truly effective solution, it's not a military confrontation, it's a war. Right to formulate rulesCompetition for.

Why does the old order fail? after all, it is because the international order is falling away. Unipolar hegemony“To” Multiple game"Transformation, America isOf Right of VetoGive it United NationsThe mechanism kidnapped, Europe isTo act but not to blame. America isRegional states want to dominate but lack international authority.

When the old rules failed and the new rules did not come up, the parties were looking for new patterns of action in trial and error. Europe isAnd the regional coalition, although they are all acting, are facing the same difficulty:" Justification vs validity"， Europe isSending warships is morally tenable, but actually lacks coercive force.

The regional coalition is committed to peace and is stronger in effectiveness, but legitimacy is questionable. Harvard UniversityProfessor of International Relations by Stephen Walter.The letter states, “ The Gaza crisisis accelerating. The post-American eraAs a result, the old coalition system is collapsing.”

The future of the world will not return. America isThe dominant unipolar system will not be a simple multipolar equilibrium, but Functional Alliance"In this era, whoever can solve specific problems has the right to speak.

But the more important question is: this crisis is being redefined.” Who is qualified to make international rules“Whoever can come up with a truly effective solution first will take the most favorable place in this global reconstruction of credibility.

conclusion

The Gaza crisisIt is no longer just a regional conflict, but a mirror, which reflects the ferocity of traditional powers and gives birth to a new mode of collective action.

The future can save. GazaIt is not the empty political slogans, but the actions that can be really felt by the locals.