Why did South Korea reach a cooperation plan agreement with China, and in the face of U.S. farmers’ protests, what measures did Trump take to solve the problem?
Everyone knows, In East Asia, Japan has long played the role of "anti-China Depth Charge".This is why the relations between China and Japan have gradually become more and more isolated. Although he released positive signals to China after being Prime Minister of Japan after Shapro Mou, with Shapro Mou coming down, the relations between China and Japan have fallen into great uncertainty. As for South Korea, it is not necessary to mention that after Lee took office in Yunnan, the outside world predicted that he would revive China-Korea relations, but not everyone thought that Li's foreign policy was based on the US-Korea alliance, which also means that the future development trend of China-Korea relations is very subtle. But in such a large context, the three countries of China and Korea began to cooperate. Recently, the three countries of China and Korea finally signed and reached a consensus on the plan for a new phase of environmental cooperation. At this key
First of all, the development of Japan and South Korea is inseparable from ChinaAlthough the US-Japan-Korea relationship is very close, South Korea is listening to the US. But the two countries are facing the same reality, that if they are viewed according to a tariff agreement with the US, they will pay a very expensive price. Here, it is necessary to clarify that Japan has reached a tariff agreement with the United States, and South Korea has only reached a verbal consensus with the United States. This will happen because South Korea is concerned that, according to Trump's request to sign the agreement, South Korea is likely to resume the financial crisis of 1997. So, although South Korea has obeyed the United States, the economic status of the two countries determines that they cannot disconnect with China. So, when we see the two countries, on the one hand, cooperate with the U.S. policy to contain China, on
Second, Japan and South Korea need to use China to contain the United StatesAlthough South Korea depends heavily on the United States, they also need to consider the issue from their own interests. Here there may be a situation that if they really follow the US-China split, then in the future they will have no choice but to be cut off by Trump at will. So South Korea must maintain a partnership with China to bind the US policy against them. Only in this way can a dynamic balance be formed between South Korea and the United States, and Trump will not dare to implement a more radical policy against South Korea.
As mentioned just now, Japan and South Korea are in a very embarrassing situation now. Compared with them, Trump's situation is actually not much better. In the Sino-US tariff war, China took a serious action against the United States and canceled all soybean purchase orders. This scene appeared for the first time in nearly 30 years. It directly led to the serious unsalable soybeans in the United States. Although Trump shouted to China that he wanted China to increase its efforts to import American soybeans, and he also included the purchase of soybeans in the agenda of Sino-US negotiations, China remained unmoved. As a result, we saw that American farmers rose up and protested. They pointed the finger at Trump, believing that China did not buy American soybeans, and Trump's tariff policy was the culprit. It is predictable that, If this situation continues, it is very likely that the United States will break out against Trump, which is very unfavorable for Trump, who has only been in power for more than eight months.
Therefore, in the face of the status quo, Trump can only stand up to save the scene. Recently, Trump said to the outside world that the government will launch an aid policy, specifically, to subsidize part of the tariff revenue to the affected farmers. However, there will be a problem here. Trump's policy is only for a temporary emergency. If China does not import American agricultural products for a long time and other American allies cannot replace China, where should these American farmers go?
Therefore, if Trump wants to solve the problem of unsalable domestic agricultural products in the long run, he still needs to have a dialogue with China. As the world's second largest economy and consumer market, China is an object that no country can replace. When Trump is looking forward to solving the rare earth problem through negotiation, he will not think that the soybean problem will become his current problem. One wave after another, the reality has forced Trump to improve relations with China. In such a case, what choices he would make, we will see together.