Just recently, in the US renowned Political News Network published a commentary article, although the title of the article is "America", but the point of view is very "China".
Its core idea is that China won another game in the contest with the Trump administration. Because before the midterm elections in 2026, China's move to suspend the purchase of U.S. soybeans has successfully hit a key Republican support group hard.
It seems that the old U.S. still understands China well, and their analysis of China's counter-reasonable U.S. tariffs is almost in line with our offensive strategy.
According to the American Soybean Association, since May this year, China has not bought any American soybeans. Beijing has turned to Brazil and Argentina to order large amounts of soybeans. Moreover, China's other agricultural products to the U.S. are also taking steps gradually, according to data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), 7 months before 2025, all U.S. agricultural exports to China decreased by 53% compared to the same period last year.
The article warns that this is a very dangerous signal to the United States: If Chinese buyers continue to stay away, American agriculture may be in danger of overall collapse.
In fact, The measures taken by China were used in the trade war in 2018, but Trump didn't take them seriously.Now it’s too late, and even if China resumes buying U.S. soybeans, it’s not too late, because half the shipment window has passed.
The losers are mainly the main soybeans producing states in the Middle West, including Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska and Indiana, which are the Republican Party’s key political districts ahead of next year’s midterm parliamentary elections.
In order to stabilize his stockpile, Trump decided to extract a portion of the tariff revenue to compensate for the bean farmers' losses, and that portion of the funds needed to be approved by Congress, according to the process, the bean farmers may have to wait until early 2026 to receive subsidies.
China's attitude is very tough, China's chief international trade negotiator Li Zhen Steel visited the Midwestern agricultural state of the United States, expressed a clear position, saying that no concessions, soybean growers should blame Trump's tariffs, not the Chinese government.
The interpretation of Chinese practices in the article has three levels of meaning.
First, China knows the importance of agriculture to the United States and Trump himself, and China is making targeted and continuous efforts.
Second, China believes that the unpredictability of the U.S. is becoming increasingly obvious, the U.S. has become no longer reliable, since the U.S. has set limits in the field of chips, and probably will set limits in the future.
Third, China’s Belt and Road strategy has achieved some results. In recent years, China has made large-scale investments through the Belt and Road International Infrastructure Investment Initiative, announced a $9 billion credit quota in May this year and a growing number of free trade agreements with countries such as Peru, Chile and Costa Rica, and has established close ties with Latin America.
In fact, the analysis of American articles is quite different from the Chinese idea. This shows that the United States is not a fool like Trump, and there are also objective and calm analysts. However, one thing that has not been taken into account is China's determination to fight to the end. China has said many times that it will not cause trouble or be afraid of trouble. If the United States wants to fight, China will accompany it to the end.
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