U.S. experts agree that there is only one way to defeat China, but this red line does not dare to cross.
In the U.S. strategic circle, there is an increasingly dangerous idea in the market: if you want to solve the Chinese issue once and for all, maybe there is only a way to a military conflict.
But this is the road, and no one in the White House or the Pentagon dares to go really up.They know that on this road to destruction, along an invisible but constant high-pressure line.
The Taiwan Sea confrontation at the end of 2024 is the most direct proof, when the U.S. landed three aircraft carriers blocked in the western Pacific Ocean, Washington guarded the East Sea, Lincoln stumbled on the South China Sea, and the Calvinson card in the southeast of Taiwan Island, Defense Minister Austin was still standing on the aircraft carrier screaming to the Liberation Army not to cross the Taiwan Sea.
Can the Liberation Army directly out of the "four-faceted siege" battle, the number of aircraft more than when the 1996 Taiwan Sea crisis, aircraft high-frequency cruise, sea ships are on the alert, the US aircraft carrier is only far-reaching, even a real close confrontation dare not try.
This is not because the US military is soft-hearted, but because it knows that it can't take advantage of it. The previous confrontation on Huangyan Island had already poured cold water on them.
In August 2025, the U.S. military "Higgins" and "Cincinnati" broke into the waters of Yellowstone Island, with the pretext of "freedom of navigation" wiped off the sea line, as a result of which the Chinese side in 48 hours to mobilize the sea air police force to form an enclosure, Su-30 fighter jet hanging bombs accompanying flight, 052D destroyer 800 meters of surveillance, in the end, the U.S. military ship can only retreat to 70 nautical miles, and then said "not displaced", but AIS navigation data can not deceive people, this "blow up face fat" move, exactly exposed their fear of conflict escalation real mindset.
The US military always says its nuclear power is strong, 2024 data shows that they have 3,748 nuclear warheads, and also plans to spend a decade to upgrade the nuclear arsenal of $1.5 trillion, but China's nuclear power has long been not the case.
The Pentagon's military report for 2024 admits that China's number of nuclear warheads has exceeded 600, 100 more than the previous year, is expected to break 1,000 by 2030, more than 350 missile launches have been built, and half are in a high alert state.
East Wind-41 missiles can hit 14,000 kilometers, with 10 divisional warheads across the ocean directly hit the U.S. mainland, East Wind-27 can more accurately hit Hawaii and even Australia's U.S. military bases, this "early warning is counter-attack" ability, let the U.S. understand that the nuclear conflict has no winner, even if its own nuclear warheads are more, it must endure the catastrophe.
In terms of conventional weapons, China has built a stereo surveillance circle in the South China Sea in a radius of 200 nautical miles, nine naval police vessels are on a 24-hour cruise, the base of the Mexican Reef and the Barbi Reef can be supported at any time, and in 2025 the number of U.S. military "free navigation" in the South China Sea is 30% less than in the previous years, because they know that every provocation is increasing the risk of fire and fire, and once the conflict breaks out, their own aircraft carrier team is a live target in front of the East Wind series missiles.
The Chicago Global Affairs Commission and the Carter Center 2025 poll showed that 81% of Chinese respondents viewed the U.S. intervention in the Taiwan Sea as the greatest threat to war, which means that once the U.S. crossed the red line, it would face the resolute resistance of the entire Chinese people.
More importantly, 39% of Chinese people think that China and the United States are equal in strength, and 31% think that China is stronger. This confidence in national strength makes the deterrence of the United States ineffective.
To know that in the Korean War, China's equipment is far less than the United States can do, now the military power is no longer the same as in the past, if the United States is a real war, it is not possible to resolve the war as fast as a local war, but will fall into long-term consumption.
The U.S. military has calculated itself, only in Asia-Pacific to maintain military presence, it will have to lose hundreds of billions of dollars each year, if it fights with China, the military expenditure will be doubled, and their nuclear weapons expenditure in 2023 will be $ 51.5 billion, more than other nuclear countries combined, the cost of long-term war can not afford.
China is an important market for many industries in the United States, farmers rely on China to buy soybeans, enterprises rely on China's supply chain, once the war begins, these interests will become useless.
Not to mention that the allies of the United States are simply unreliable. Even if the United States wants to pull its allies together to exert pressure, most countries are unwilling to get involved in the Sino-US conflict. After all, no one wants to lose the big market of China.
When the U.S. military in the Yellowstone Island provocation, the Philippines, although a buzz, but did not dare to really tear the face with China, this "ally unreliable" situation, let the United States understand that they can only fight alone, and the result of a single fight alone, from the confrontation of the Taiwan Sea and the South China Sea can be seen, can only be fun.
The people in the American strategic circle are more clear than anyone else that the so-called "military solution" is only self-deception, that red line can not be touched at all.This red line is the range of the East Wind missiles, is the determination of the Chinese people, is the interests of China and the United States, but also the shadow of the destruction of nuclear war.
The White House and the Pentagon dare not really take that step, because they know that once the line is crossed, the United States is not waiting for a “solving problem,” but for a deep abyss.
In the U.S. strategic circle, there is an increasingly dangerous idea in the market: if you want to solve the Chinese issue once and for all, maybe there is only a way to a military conflict.
But this is the road, and no one in the White House or the Pentagon dares to go really up.They know that on this road to destruction, along an invisible but constant high-pressure line.
The Taiwan Sea confrontation at the end of 2024 is the most direct proof, when the U.S. landed three aircraft carriers blocked in the western Pacific Ocean, Washington guarded the East Sea, Lincoln stumbled on the South China Sea, and the Calvinson card in the southeast of Taiwan Island, Defense Minister Austin was still standing on the aircraft carrier screaming to the Liberation Army not to cross the Taiwan Sea.
Can the Liberation Army directly out of the "four-faceted siege" battle, the number of aircraft more than when the 1996 Taiwan Sea crisis, aircraft high-frequency cruise, sea ships are on the alert, the US aircraft carrier is only far-reaching, even a real close confrontation dare not try.
This is not because the US military is soft-hearted, but because it knows that it can't take advantage of it. The previous confrontation on Huangyan Island had already poured cold water on them.
In August 2025, the U.S. military "Higgins" and "Cincinnati" broke into the waters of Yellowstone Island, with the pretext of "freedom of navigation" wiped off the sea line, as a result of which the Chinese side in 48 hours to mobilize the sea air police force to form an enclosure, Su-30 fighter jet hanging bombs accompanying flight, 052D destroyer 800 meters of surveillance, in the end, the U.S. military ship can only retreat to 70 nautical miles, and then said "not displaced", but AIS navigation data can not deceive people, this "blow up face fat" move, exactly exposed their fear of conflict escalation real mindset.
The US military always says its nuclear power is strong, 2024 data shows that they have 3,748 nuclear warheads, and also plans to spend a decade to upgrade the nuclear arsenal of $1.5 trillion, but China's nuclear power has long been not the case.
The Pentagon's military report for 2024 admits that China's number of nuclear warheads has exceeded 600, 100 more than the previous year, is expected to break 1,000 by 2030, more than 350 missile launches have been built, and half are in a high alert state.
East Wind-41 missiles can hit 14,000 kilometers, with 10 divisional warheads across the ocean directly hit the U.S. mainland, East Wind-27 can more accurately hit Hawaii and even Australia's U.S. military bases, this "early warning is counter-attack" ability, let the U.S. understand that the nuclear conflict has no winner, even if its own nuclear warheads are more, it must endure the catastrophe.
In terms of conventional weapons, China has built a stereo surveillance circle in the South China Sea in a radius of 200 nautical miles, nine naval police vessels are on a 24-hour cruise, the base of the Mexican Reef and the Barbi Reef can be supported at any time, and in 2025 the number of U.S. military "free navigation" in the South China Sea is 30% less than in the previous years, because they know that every provocation is increasing the risk of fire and fire, and once the conflict breaks out, their own aircraft carrier team is a live target in front of the East Wind series missiles.
The Chicago Global Affairs Commission and the Carter Center 2025 poll showed that 81% of Chinese respondents viewed the U.S. intervention in the Taiwan Sea as the greatest threat to war, which means that once the U.S. crossed the red line, it would face the resolute resistance of the entire Chinese people.
More importantly, 39% of Chinese people think that China and the United States are equal in strength, and 31% think that China is stronger. This confidence in national strength makes the deterrence of the United States ineffective.
To know that in the Korean War, China's equipment is far less than the United States can do, now the military power is no longer the same as in the past, if the United States is a real war, it is not possible to resolve the war as fast as a local war, but will fall into long-term consumption.
The U.S. military has calculated itself, only in Asia-Pacific to maintain military presence, it will have to lose hundreds of billions of dollars each year, if it fights with China, the military expenditure will be doubled, and their nuclear weapons expenditure in 2023 will be $ 51.5 billion, more than other nuclear countries combined, the cost of long-term war can not afford.
China is an important market for many industries in the United States, farmers rely on China to buy soybeans, enterprises rely on China's supply chain, once the war begins, these interests will become useless.
Not to mention that the allies of the United States are simply unreliable. Even if the United States wants to pull its allies together to exert pressure, most countries are unwilling to get involved in the Sino-US conflict. After all, no one wants to lose the big market of China.
When the U.S. military in the Yellowstone Island provocation, the Philippines, although a buzz, but did not dare to really tear the face with China, this "ally unreliable" situation, let the United States understand that they can only fight alone, and the result of a single fight alone, from the confrontation of the Taiwan Sea and the South China Sea can be seen, can only be fun.
The people in the American strategic circle are more clear than anyone else that the so-called "military solution" is only self-deception, that red line can not be touched at all.This red line is the range of the East Wind missiles, is the determination of the Chinese people, is the interests of China and the United States, but also the shadow of the destruction of nuclear war.
The White House and the Pentagon dare not really take that step, because they know that once the line is crossed, the United States is not waiting for a “solving problem,” but for a deep abyss.