Trump is now in a dilemma about the situation on the peninsula: on the one hand, Lee Jae-myung personally asked the United States for help, and on the other hand, Kim Jong-un entrusted someone to bring a message to China. How to solve this problem?
First, we say Lee is asking for help from the United States.
Li in Ming sought help from the United States because he found that now North Korea can produce 10 to 15 nuclear warheads a year, and if this continues, in a few years, North Korea will have a considerable nuclear arsenal. At that time, South Korea will no longer have a day to start. So, these days, Li in Ming openly shouted: President Trump is the only person who can solve the problem. At the same time, Lee in Ming also intimidated Trump: “North Korea will soon have an intercontinental missile that can launch to the United States!”
However, in the face of this threatening reminder by Lee in Ming, Trump has not responded at the moment. Recently, Trump has been upset by the Russian-Ukrainian war and the situation in the Middle East, and does not have time to talk to Lee in Ming. Moreover, Trump does not want to blame Kim Jong-un.
Next, we say a word from Kim Jong-un to China.
During the two days, North Korea's Foreign Minister, Tri Dhyang, made an official visit to China, and China's Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, met her personally. This was the second time that Tri Dhyang came to China this month, and at the beginning of September, she attended the 93rd Chinese parade with Kim Jong Un. At this meeting, Tri Dhyang said the highest leader of North Korea told her to speak to China, saying: "No matter how the world changes, the feelings of the people of the two countries will not change!"
Kim Jong-un made such statements as to want China to eat a bullet of concentration on the situation on the peninsula. And this is undoubtedly a major blow to Trump. Since Trump took office, he has been seeking to meet with Kim Jong-un, and he is pursuing this as his own achievement. Before, Kim Jong-un has been resolutely rejecting, until September, his attitude has changed a bit. In the past few days, Kim Jong-un cried out to the Trump administration: If the United States no longer seeks to let North Korea give up nuclear weapons, then there is no reason for North Korea not to sit down and talk to the United States.
Kim Jong-un shouted to Trump so much that he wanted Trump to make the final choice:
1. Either the United States recognizes North Korea's nuclear status, then the United States and North Korea can achieve dialogue, but then the United States will inevitably offend Japan and South Korea;
2. Either the United States continues to refuse to recognize it, then the United States and the DPRK have no talk about it.
The commentary suggests that Trump is very likely to choose the former. Because for Trump, the moment to blame Japan and South Korea is not much, the future can be improved, but Kim Jong-un gives little chance, missing this window will be difficult. And, there is a good opportunity for the U.S. meeting in October, the APEC summit in South Korea. Trump has been certain to attend this summit, Kim Jong-un is not yet certain, but the United States is now very much looking forward to Trump and Kim Jong-un to meet at this summit.
At such a critical moment, Kim Jong-un let Foreign Minister Trai Goodgi speak to China, in fact, is to make a pledge to China, to make China reassured that China-Korean relations will not change because of the US-Korean relations.
For us, China, we never interfere in the exchanges between sovereign nations, and we also believe that the friendship between China and the DPRK will last.So if the DPRK meets in APEC, we will not have any opinion.China's ultimate pursuit on the peninsula issue is: long-term peace and stability on the peninsula.