Preliminary
The Taliban have been taking over Afghanistan for years now, and Trump has also cried out about the “Bagram Air Force Base” on social media rumors that it would take back the territory.
But the Taliban will not agree, and China, Russia, Pakistan and Iraq have also united and jointly issued a statement. It is to resolutely oppose other countries setting up military bases in Afghanistan and maintain regional peace and stability.
It seems that Trump is more ambitious, but his objective conditions are limited. Coupled with the joint opposition of the four countries, some ideas are destined to fail to be implemented. Even if the US military wants to come back, Afghanistan can't accommodate them now.
The withdrawal of Afghan troops, Trump suffers.
Trump had already said a few days ago that he wanted to “recall” the U.S. military bases, but in the event that he had already been rejected, he continued to speak out on social media:
“We refuse to rule out the possibility of sending troops to take back the base.”
Per someone will ask, was the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan not voluntary at first?
In fact, when the whole story returns, it will be discovered that the US military withdrawal from Afghanistan was not Trump's intention, and the Biden administration announced the withdrawal.
In 2021, Biden was still the president of the United States, and under his authority, the U.S. troops withdrew, ending the 20-year war in Afghanistan.
But at the time, the "rapid withdrawal" of the troops has led to the situation in the area into a chaos, which has aggravated Afghanistan, for which a lot of criticism has been received.
On August 30, 2021, U.S. military aircraft took off from the runway, surrounded by Afghan people, who were chasing the aircraft, trying to climb onto the aircraft but unfortunately crashed, the picture is very shocking.
There are media people coming out to accuse the US military, before launching the war as a foreigner, ruining this country, affecting the lives of several generations, leaving the people with indelible wounds; now again shoot the ass, the US military is gone, but what about the Afghans?
Faced with criticism, Biden also gave himself respect, believing that the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan was to better respond to China and Russia's challenges, and felt that China and Russia should not have U.S. troops caught up in Afghanistan's dirt, and the United States could not let them be happy.
But this excuse can't convince everyone, especially his "nemesis" Trump. He claimed to have been committed to making the United States "decent", rather than "embarrassing" troop withdrawal like the Biden administration.
In fact, the withdrawal did not good results, after all, the shadow of war could not be completely eliminated, and Afghanistan's economy would not slow down at all in a moment and a half, and people's lives would not get "immediately visible" improvement.
At the time, the Afghans who came out for the United States, also became "hot potatoes". remained in their own country fear of revenge, go to the United States again facing the "audit" issue, withdrawal difficult.
Even if, in the end, the Philippines took over the task of funding the United States and placing these Afghan refugees in the Philippines; but the end to work for the United States eventually falls, it sounds quite ironic.
When the interests are in place, they are the good officers of America’s work; when the interests are scattered, they are “knead in the eye, sting in the flesh” and the logic of Trump’s return to military bases is the same.
It is a military base and a strategic position.
Don't look at what Trump says, it depends on what he does.It is also necessary to combine the international situation to see the real trajectory behind the cloud.
On the face, Trump was dissatisfied with the Biden's withdrawal; he also said this time, not to take Afghanistan cheap, but to make it easier to cope with threats from other countries.
In the background, there are experts who speculate that Trump wants a military base, more than looking at the strategic position of the base, which is important to the current United States.
At the beginning, the United States used the "9.11" incident to build a military base between two Central Asian countries, saying that it wanted to fight terrorism.
In fact, the newly built two military bases, linking the Afghan base, formed a powerful “neck” for the United States in Central Asia, directly threatening Russia’s security and more conducive to safeguarding American interests.
However, with the successive closure of the two military bases, the Afghan bases disappeared, and the threat of U.S. influence in Central Asia was diminished, even with the Middle East strategy.
Previously, when the US military was still stationed in Afghanistan, it could also suppress Iran and detect the latest intelligence next door; If Iran wants to take action, it has to consider the trend of the United States, and even mobilizes a lot of resources to guard against the United States, which consumes money and energy.
At the same time, the American deterrence in the Middle East has declined, and even if the U.S. wants to take military measures, it will have to pay more time and cost. Now, Trump, because of strategic considerations, wants to regain al-Qaeda sovereignty, can also be understood.
After all, now America's ally Israel, like the "Wild Horse", has sparked a thunderstorm in the Middle East, and even with the United States' wind of bad ratings.
It's easy to give up but hard to get, and the four countries refuse to agree first
Now, Trump has this mind and wants to return to the U.S. military bases in Afghanistan; but now, unlike in the past, not only does Afghanistan disagree, but four countries collectively stand out to express opposition.
After the talks, the four countries of "China-Russia Bay" jointly issued a Joint Statement, opposing the establishment of U.S. military bases in Afghanistan.
In terms of China's position, we have consistently advocated "world peace",ined a good international order, opposed to "hegemonism" in the United States, and did not agree to Trump's "precautionary thinking".
At the same time, Russia does not want to see the United States come to Central Asia to cause chaos; Because the "Russia-Ukraine conflict" has not yet been resolved, it is more in the interests of our country to "fight" than to let other countries station troops in Ukraine.
Now, the United States wants to station troops in Afghanistan again, as if inserting a "steel nail" in Central Asia, which has brought new pressure to Russia, which they don't want to see.
As for Iran, it is better understood, because Afghanistan is next door to Iran, before the US military base oversaw Iran, so that everyone was alerted, not easy to wait for them to leave, how will they welcome them back?
After all, after the so-called “war on terror” of the United States began, it brought little loss to Pakistan.
After all, the war in Afghanistan killed 70,000 Pakistani people; moreover, there were “suicidal” bombings across the country, and a lot of Afghan refugees were housed.
Now, they also went back and signed a “Common Strategic Defense Agreement” with Saudi Arabia to strengthen regional peace cooperation and jointly defend peace.
At present, with the opposition of all four countries, Trump's desire to send troops has become empty talk; Even if Afghanistan can't stop the "violent power", these countries are not vegetarians.
The current international trend of "unity and cooperation" is the mainstream. persuade Trump to break his illusions as soon as possible and manipulate the world with "hegemonism" has become history.
Source of information:
After Trump threatened to re-occupy Afghan air base, China-Russia issued a joint statement
The Observer Network
Wanting to "recall" the rejection, why did Trump look at the Bagram base in Afghanistan?
The light network.
Biden: U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan is in response to China’s challenge
The Global Network)
Biden and Trump start their first debate, accusing each other of U.S. troops withdrawal from Afghanistan
by Zidane 1
U.S. Defense Secretary orders review of Afghanistan withdrawal during Biden administration
The New York Times)
The Philippines has two sides for the United States.
(from the above news)
Saudi Arabia and Pakistan sign joint strategic defense agreement, Iran president says welcomes
The Northern Night Online
Pakistan Prime Minister: U.S. has failed in Afghanistan, the war on terrorism has caused huge losses to Pakistan
The World Times