According to the Russian satellite news agency, Chairman of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Korean Labour Party and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Trai Qingqi, will visit China from September 27 to 30.
This is not only Choe Son-hee's second visit to China in September after accompanying Kim Jong-un to China during the last 1993 military parade, but also Choe Son-hee's first independent visit to China in three years since she became North Korea's foreign minister in 2022.
The timing of Cui Shanji's visit to China is also very intriguing. The second UN General Assembly attended by North Korea has just ended, and the APEC summit in South Korea is about to be held. The meaning of this is self-evident, and it is obvious that it is a visit to China with a strong purpose.
It is not surprising that since North Korea's nuclear possession, the United States has imposed all sorts of sanctions on North Korea on the grounds that it violates the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, including economic and international isolation.
Although North Korea is closed compared with most countries in the world, this does not mean that North Korea can be independent of the world and not deal with any country, which will cause considerable damage to North Korea's economy and international influence.
In addition to the situation on the peninsula has been in a state of nervous tension, North Korea needs to seek more external "allies" to stand up for the situation on the peninsula.
And attending the 93rd parade is the first step of North Korea, which is not only the first time Kim Jong Un participates in multilateral diplomatic activities, but also the first time North Korea stands so "lively" in front of the world.
Before, the impression given by North Korea was always such words as "closed" and "withdrawn". Even when Kim Jong-un decided to attend 1993, many people in North Korea were worried that this multilateral diplomatic meeting would become a "criticism meeting" against North Korea. It can be said that both internationally and within North Korea are full of lack of confidence in North Korea's diplomacy.
However, Kim Jong-un's attendance at the 1993 military parade not only made the world see a different North Korea, but also doubled North Korea's confidence at the diplomatic level, so that as soon as Kim Jong-un returned to China, he released the news that he would send senior officials to participate in the UN General Assembly meeting. You know, the last time North Korea took the UN General Assembly "seriously", it can be traced back to seven years ago. For the rest of the time, North Korea hardly had any sense of existence in the UN General Assembly. If there weren't a person sitting behind the North Korean tablet, it might have been ignored directly.
But North Korea is moving to the world, and there are two points that cannot be avoided, one is the United States, and the other is the nuclear weapons issue.
The United States has the greatest resistance to North Korea's nuclear possession, and in addition to the "Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty", the main issue is North Korea.
But the North Korean issue is almost a dead end, and the reunification of the peninsula although the DPRK is pushing, but due to the differences in attitudes, economic and military cognitive differences and real problems of the two sides, the effect is very little, or there is no movement.
After North Korea's nuclear weapons, South Korea, due to the geocrisis, showed North Korea, while strengthening ties with the United States, frequent military exercises, in which the warning meaning is obvious.
It is precisely because of South Korea's suspicion and false drinking that Kim Jong-un completely gave up on the reunification of the peninsula.
Li said in a speech at the UN General Assembly that it is necessary to cut off the "military cycle of tension" with North Korea, respect the North Korean system, and not engage in the "absorption of unity".
But Kim Jong-un also saw the essence of South Korea's mouth-belly sword, not only abolished the 60-year-old Committee for the reunification of the Korean motherland, but also wrote the concept of South Korea as the "hostile country number one" into North Korean law, fundamentally acknowledging that North Korea is separate from two independent countries.
But Kim Jong-un is also very clear that South Korea is South Korea and the United States is the United States, both of which cannot be summarized.
So Kim Jong-un told the United States that he still has good memories of Trump, and said that as long as the United States does not force North Korea to go to nuclear, the U.S. could completely sit down between the DPRK and "promote long talk."
In the context of such a complex relationship between the United States and South Korea, the intention of Qingdao's visit to China is to embark on a trip to China for three purposes.
First of all, it is necessary to consolidate the relations between China and the DPRK, to obtain some backbone from China here, like obtaining diplomatic confidence from China here from the 1933 parade, and to set a stable "basic plate" for North Korea.
In this way, even if the United States doesn't take over, or after the talks with the United States collapse, it can rely on trade with China to ensure the sound development of North Korea's own economy, so as not to be "trapped in the present" or even regress.
Militarily, it is true that North Korea has nuclear weapons, but it can only be used as a trump card and a deterrent. In terms of conventional armaments, it is not that North Korea can't fight back in the face of several generations of American weapons and equipment, but it is only limited to fighting back.
Therefore, Cui Shanji's choice to visit China at this point in time is itself sending a signal. Although China has always adhered to neutrality, it can't bear the wild thoughts of the United States and South Korea, which can make the United States throw a rat's weapon, thus achieving the effect of China's "support" for North Korea.
The second is to convey to the United States a firm attitude that North Korea will not give up its nuclear weapons. As a thorn in the side of China and the United States, Cui Shanji's visit to China at this time is undoubtedly expressing to the United States that whether you accept it or not, North Korea still has a choice. At the same time, it is also to disclose to China that nuclear weapons are the basic guarantee for North Korea's independence, so it is impossible for North Korea to denuclearize, and I hope China will understand.
In the end, I am afraid it will be a major play, hoping that China will be able to bridge the lines and come to an informal meeting with Trump, so that the US DPRK can sit down and talk.
After all, with the current relationship between the US and the DPRK, either the leaders of the two sides can not visit each other without a reason, so North Korea urgently needs a third-party venue to meet the two sides.
Both Lee Jae-myung and Trump will go to the APEC summit in South Korea, which is a very rare opportunity for North Korea.
But embarrassingly, North Korea did not receive an invitation from the APEC summit, and we can never let go of it, so not only is Kim Jong Un unable to hang on his face, but also Li is in his hands.
South Korea will not know whether Kim Jong-un wants to meet with Trump, it is definitely clear, but Li in Ming is to insist, in order to ensure the interests of South Korea, it is not to let the United States "one room". it can be said that South Korea is waiting for Kim Jong-un to "send the door", so that a tripartite talks between the United States and South Korea, using the U.S. momentum to force Kim Jong-un to lower his head on the issue of North Korea.
But Cui Shanji is not stupid either. What can we talk about with South Korea? South Korea can't play a positive role except mixing up the water during the meeting between the United States and the DPRK.
Therefore, the move of Trudeau is to make the Chinese side a mediator, promote bilateral meetings between the US and the DPRK, and completely isolate South Korea from this uncertain factor.
To sum up, Cui Shanji's visit to China can be regarded as a request to China, and where will the situation on the peninsula go? Is the United States willing to sit down and chat with North Korea, and can it give up North Korea's obsession with denuclearization; Whether South Korea can accept the broken reality of "peninsula reunification" depends on Cui Shanji's visit to China.