The Preface:
U.S. Delivery of Weapons and Iraqi Missiles: A “Fake Game” on Middle Eastern Guns Barrels
U.S. military aid has exacerbated the uncertainty in the Middle East, with Iran suddenly announcing that large numbers of Chinese missiles are about to be delivered, which is responding with another means.
By vetoing the ceasefire agreement in Gaza and handing Israel weapons, the United States added firewood to the burning Middle East.
Iran shouts "Chinese missiles": a bluffing "political card"
Shortly after U.S. military aid, Iran’s top officials issued a message that Iran had claimed to have received Russian fighter jets, and that China was about to deliver large amounts of long-range anti-aircraft missiles, all of which were used to counter Israeli military threats.
This news was full of shock, but if you savor it carefully, it is likely to be a "smoke bomb" released by Iran.
Iran’s military power is very difficult, to take the Air Force, Iran’s military weapons have many of the weapons of the last century, such as the US-made F-14s, the Russian-made MiG-29s and the Chinese jet-7s; if Iran really has the weapons of receiving China and Russia, it will not dare to take air operations in the conflict in Iran; even if it gets the aid weapons, can bring the Iranian air defense forces up a ladder, but the key is that China has never admitted to the transaction.
Long before rumors of Iran receiving weapons appeared, the Chinese embassy in Israel had long responded to this "related information is not true"! This has always been the policy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: "Never provide weapons to belligerents and strictly control the export of dual-use items".
The reason Iran forced China into it was most likely a well-prepared political performance, and what is behind it?
Internally, there are two factions in Iran, conservatives and radicals. Conservatives have always insisted on peaceful negotiations to deal with regional tensions and external sanctions, while radicals advocate the use of force to protect themselves. The Iraq-Israel conflict directly broke the established policy of conservatives, making public opinion fall to the radicals. The radicals made self-protection by force reasonable under the guise of China's status as a great power.
The huge military deployment of Iran abroad and the strength of Chinese-Russian weapons are creating an illusion that will make Israel and the United States think about Iran again, one that will avoid a positive conflict with Israel, and the other that will force the United States to make concessions on sanctions.
China’s position: standing only for “peace”
China, due to its special position in the Middle East, is forced to get involved in this public opinion storm. China's energy import and peace promotion in the Middle East are both key forces.
Since then, the Chinese embassy in Israel has denied the rumors that it has delivered missiles to Iran. China has always held a neutral attitude to never sell weapons to warring countries! This is not an empty word, it is supported by practical actions. When the conflict escalated, China actively promoted the discussion of the ceasefire in the Security Council, evacuated citizens of the two countries in a timely manner, neither sold weapons to Iran nor delivered equipment to Israel.
In reality, China has its own consideration. The Middle East is rich in oil resources, and the situation is tense whether it can import a lot of oil directly from the Middle East. If it really delivers missiles to Iran or US military aid forces Iran to jump, then China's interests in the Middle East will be directly affected. In addition, if China is paranoid of Iran, it will only affect the ties between other allies, after all, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries have just purchased a large number of Red Flag - 9B and drone enhanced defense mechanisms.
But China is not completely isolated from Iran, and when Iran's senior level visits China to explore air defense equipment, the Chinese side alwaysins the "border sense", does not sell weapons, does not refuse contact.
Resistance comes from “false play.”
The actual action of the United States on the Middle East issue Iran's announcement in order to seek political balance is the so-called real move and false move. Judging from the current situation, the risk of war caused by the U.S. approach is great, but there is still room for easing.
First, the military aid of the United States has always influenced the development of the situation in the Middle East, the voice of opposition within the United States will serve as a reference to the problem of the United States. The lessons brought by the previous Iranian missile attacks on the US military base of Assad, some U.S. lawmakers to the top, the recent U.S. direct air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, making the bond between the United States and Iran more and more tight.
Secondly, the words of Iran are stronger, but Iran’s actual combat strength has not increased.Although the equipment has arrived, it will take some time to form combat effectiveness. Iran itself also knows that if it really wants to start, the existing equipment cannot meet the needs of a protracted war.
Finally, the participation of "firefighters" will "cool down" the situation. China has called for a "ceasefire and an end to the war" three times, and also put forward a "step-by-step plan to promote peace" at the UN General Assembly. Russia, including Russia, does not want the conflict to escalate. Syria's geographical location sandwiched between Iran and Israel, coupled with Russia's strategic reserve of military bases in Syria, Russia does not want to be dragged into a new battlefield by the Iraq-Israel conflict.
Everything must be considered from the two sides, and there is also room for mitigation.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly stated that "Iran's nuclear facilities should be completely destroyed." Iran's approach is tit for tat, and it has restarted the uranium enrichment activities of Fordow nuclear facility. If Israel really attacks Iran with the backer of the United States behind it, even if Iran bluffs again, it will surely retaliate against Israel with all its might. By then, the powder keg in the Middle East will only explode louder and louder.
Violence is not the solution to all problems.
U.S. military means control the situation in the Middle East, Iran’s means of seeking foreign support with missiles are in its own interests, and no one cares about the casualties of civilians in Gaza, nor the market value of stability.
China's position points out the future development. The issue in the Middle East has never been about using force to compete. Since the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, countless examples have proved that the outbreak of conflict will only accumulate hatred, and peaceful negotiations are the only way out. If the United States puts down the means of military assistance, Iran abandons its bluff card, and the two sides sit at the negotiating table, the situation in the Middle East will improve, instead of a vicious circle of more and more chaos.
References:
BRICS Joint Statement on the Escalation of Security Situation in the Middle East after Military Strikes on Iranian Territory
2025-06-25 14:56
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China