Over time, the U.S. seems to have changed its strategic direction towards China.

America was before. The first island chain.Deploying military forces to contain China is all by ourselves. But now America itself is withdrawal, while continuously enhancing Japan's military capabilities, Japan is on the ¡°anti-China first line¡±.¡£

At the end of 2023, the United States announced that it would export to Japan 400 warheaded missiles.The United States also helped Japan build a new missile force.

By September 2025, the United States deployed the "Typhon" medium-range missile system in Japan for the first time.

It can be seen clearly, From 2023, the United States is consciously increasing Japan¡¯s missile defense capabilities.

This behavior of the United States also made it clear to the three sides of the Chinese-Russian Dynasty, It is not important to strike the American aircraft carrier, it is really important to start a war, and the first time to strike the Japanese missile base.

The United States will not be involved in the war.

The reason why striking the U.S. aircraft carrier is not important is that the U.S. does not necessarily meet.

And the most important thing, The United States now has no capacity to sustain the losses caused by the sinking of the aircraft carrier.

If the Cold War had not ended in the last century, even if a few U.S. aircraft carriers had been sunk, it would be able to fill the gap through the then still powerful shipbuilding industry.

But now there is only one shipyard in the United States that can still produce nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, and the shipbuilding industry in the United States has long been difficult and has no ability to produce aircraft carriers quickly.

The United States can¡¯t afford the loss of an aircraft carrier. Once its aircraft carrier is sunk, the United States will have a gap in the number of aircraft carriers in decades to come.

Secondly, based on the first case, the United States losing an aircraft carrier would mean the collapse of its global hegemony.

The U.S. is now unable to replenish aircraft carrier-like military power, which means that its losses in the war are ¡°permanent.¡±

If the U.S. needed eight percent of its military power to maintain global hegemony, and the U.S. now has ten percent of its military power, then the U.S. now has enough military power to maintain its military hegemony.

But if the United States is involved in the war, its military strength loses 4 points, falls to 6 points, and it does not have enough capacity to quickly produce new aircraft carriers and other warships, its military power will remain at 6 points for a long time, then America¡¯s global hegemony is naturally unable to sustain.

So we can see The United States is now trying to avoid falling into war as much as possible.In Eastern Europe, the United States has been supporting Ukraine through military aid, and in the Middle East, the United States has been very restrained in its actions.

Around China, the U.S. attitude toward China is also hoping to get China, like Russia, into a long-term war, the United States itself hiding behind military aid. "China's enemy", thus constantly bleeding China.

Therefore in the Asia-Pacific region, It is unlikely that the U.S. aircraft carrier forces will personally participate in the war, and the most likely situation is that the U.S. has prompted Japan to fall into a war with China, or Russia, North Korea and other countries.

The United States has abandoned the ¡°first chain of islands.¡±

In fact, the United States does not dare to direct war with countries such as China and Russia, from now many traces can be seen.

In addition to the upgrading of Japan's missile power by the United States mentioned above, the United States itself is also slowly withdrawing US troops on the "first island chain".

As of December 2024, the total number of US Marines deployed in the Ryukyu Islands is 1 million 90,000¡£ The United States is planning to withdraw 9000 peopleThey were evacuated to the ¡°second island chain¡± and the mainland.

It should be noted that about 70% of the U.S. troops stationed in Japan are deployed on theÁðÇò Islands, which means that theÁðÇò Islands are the pillar of the U.S. ¡°first island chain.¡±

Now a large number of American troops are evacuated from theÁðÇò Islands, almost as well as American troops. Half-abandoning the precursor of the "first island chain".

Also inside the United States now. The idea of ¡°zero¡± military facilities including airports and ammunition warehouses on the ¡°first island chain¡± was discussed.

Simply put, the U.S. hoped to build more and smaller military facilities on the ¡°first island chain¡± to prevent China from striking back.

It is also clear that the United States sees that China¡¯s current missile power is becoming increasingly strong. In the face of China's powerful missile power, the United States does not have the relatively large airports, ammunition depots and other military facilities on the "first island chain" with its own credit air defense system.

Therefore, the United States can only build more and smaller ammunition depots and airport facilities to prevent China from directly losing its combat effectiveness on the "first island chain" at one time.

In the face of the increasingly strong military power dominated by China, the United States now has a fear of starting war with countries such as the Chinese-Russian dynasty.

This has also made the United States have been avoiding war with countries such as the Sino-Russian dynasty, wanting to push some countries led by Japan forward.

If we really go to war with the "US-Japan Alliance", there is a high probability that the US aircraft carrier will not play in person. So in order to ensure victory, our country or Russia and North Korea One of the best ways is to quickly destroy Japan¡¯s missile bases.¡£

It is difficult for the United States to push Japan to the front stage and go to war with China

However, the United States wants to push Japan to Taiwan and let Japan and China go to war is also difficult to.

because Japan is not a fool, and people know that there is a huge military gap between it and China.

Most importantly, Japan is a country with a mature political system that is capable of coping with this crisis.

The United States wants to push Japan forward and go to war with China, and Japan can directly engage in the "no-prime state."

At that time, the current prime minister of Japan directly resigned from the runway, and the new prime minister was not elected for several years, allowing himself to enter the "no-prime state" for several years.

After all, if Japan wants to go to war with China, someone must be able to make a decision on this matter, right? But now Japan's prime ministers are erratic, so naturally they can't make a decision on this matter.

If you look at the situation where Japanese Prime Minister Shapiro Shimo wanted to resign several times after he came to power, and he was elected again, it is not difficult to see if the Japanese can really do this thing.

At the same time, China is also a reasonable country, knowing that fighting with Japan will only be cheaper for the United States, allowing the United States to constantly give blood to itself, so it will also have a certain "political agreement" with Japan, not allowing war to occur easily.

The result is that the "first island chain" unless the United States is proactively engaged in war with China, otherwise the possibility that China will fall into war is very small.

Source of information:

Japanese media: the first U.S. troops in Okinawa moved to Guam

The US military will deploy the "Tifon" interceptor system in Japan for the first time.

US media: U.S. Air Force's deployment of Asia-Pacific "integrated into zero"