Japan's latest poll data has emerged, the high market has become the target of elimination, the self-government party has killed two black horses, then who will laugh to the last in the prime minister's campaign?

On September 16, Japanese Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Koizumi Shinjiro officially announced that he would participate in the upcoming presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party. On the same day, Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato gave up his candidacy and instead called on supporters to support Koizumi Shinjiro. For the emergence of Koizumi Shinjiro, some Japanese media used the word "dark horse" to describe it. On the one hand, it is because Koizumi Shinjiro's poll support rate is not low, and he has a great voice among the people. On the other hand, it is because he has successfully won the recognition and support of many leaders of the Liberal Democratic Party, and his disadvantages are disappearing little by little. Besides Koizumi Shinjiro, Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi Fangzheng is also regarded as another "dark horse". He has won the support of former Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and others, and is also regarded by the outside world as a strong competitor for the next Japanese prime minister. Therefore, Japanese media generally believe that the next prime minister of Japan will be among sanae takaichi, Hayashi Fangzheng and Shinjiro Koizumi.

Compared with Lin Fangzheng and Koizumi Shinjiro, takaichi sanae is considered to be eliminated in the first round of election. Although according to the latest poll data, takaichi sanae's support rate is 29%, 4% ahead of Koizumi Shinjiro and 18% ahead of Lin Fangzheng, takaichi sanae is not as good as Koizumi Shinjiro's in terms of party support rate, whose support rate reached 36%. There are three main reasons for this situation: First, since the establishment of the Japanese prime minister system, there has never been a female prime minister. Under the extremely conservative circumstances of Japanese politics, it is conceivable that it is difficult for sanae takaichi to gain the recognition of many bosses in the party. Second, the reason why Takaichi sanae can get such high poll support has a lot to do with the late Shinzo Abe and former Prime Minister Taro Aso, but now that both factions have parted ways with them, it is difficult for Takaichi sanae to get new support. Third, because of her "far-right" position, it gives the U.S. government a headache. If she becomes the Prime Minister of Japan, the United States may be dragged into the water, which is a result that the U.S. government does not want to see.

Influenced by the above three factors, the Japanese media are not optimistic about sanae takaichi's candidacy, thinking that she is a "runner" at most, and she can't compete with the other two to the end. By contrast, Koizumi Shinjiro has a political advantage that other candidates don't, that is, youth. All along, Japan's prime minister has been a mature politician. With the passage of time, the new generation of voters have become more and more dissatisfied and disappointed with those mature politicians, thinking that after they "lose their vitality", they simply can't lead Japan out of the immediate predicament, so they prefer young and energetic politicians to serve as prime minister. Against this background, Koizumi Shinjiro, who is only 44 years old, has won the support of many young voters. As for the "too young and immature" that the outside world is worried about, Koizumi's solution is the alliance with Finance Minister Kato, which can not only eliminate the outside world's worries about his "too young" age, but also formulate a more stable fiscal policy to help Japan get rid of the economic downturn as soon as possible.

As for why the Japanese media compared Lin Feng to another black horse, this is mainly due to his rich experience in politics. Although the poll support rate is far less than the high markets of Early Feng and Young Feng, but its self-government support rate has exceeded 15%, which indicates the firm foundation of its party. As an important member of the Shandong Feng Cabinet, he advocated easing neighboring relations and developing the Japanese economy, which has been recognized by many parliamentarians. More importantly, he has served as a Japanese foreign minister, so he has a good impression on the core data of the Japanese government, which also gives him a chance in the subsequent policy debate. In addition to the strength of Shandong Feng and other people, Lin Feng is just enough to become the biggest competitor for