Preliminary
China gave the Philippines an opportunity, but Marcos Jr. didn't seize it well. On September 19th, Chinese ambassador to the Philippines resignsThe Chinese side has not announced its successor, and the position is still empty.
Meanwhile, mass demonstrations have erupted in more than twenty cities across the Philippines, with Cousin Marcos announcing his resignation, and Little Marcos announcing his resignation.They also ordered mass arrests.Unrest in the Philippines is getting out of control.
What does the departure of the Chinese ambassador to the Philippines mean?
50,000 people surrounded the presidential palace
and ManilaCompletely messed up. September 21stin the morning, The Brake Park.Tens of thousands of protesters have gathered, raising the "Marcos family out" Southern Palace of Marrakesh"Slogan.
By the afternoon, the protesters departed from the park, turbulently headed to The Presidential HouseIn the direction, along the way, people are constantly joining, the team is becoming bigger and more exciting.on both sides of the street, 50,000 police officersFully armed, set up road barriers at all roads.
The tense confrontation lasted for several hours. At evening, when the protesters tried to break through the last line of defense, a group suddenly appeared. The black man., started throwing stones at riot police.
The situation came out of control and the police began to use it. High pressure cannons.and Tear gas, protesters scattered and fled, and the whole downtown Manila fell into chaos.This is The little Marcus.It is the worst crisis since taking office.
In just a few hours, the whole country More than 20 citiesAt the same time, protests broke out from the north Liu Song Islandto the South. MindanaoThere are angry crowds everywhere.In the face of such a wave of protests, the Marcos government showed Iron attitude。
The Philippine police announced the arrest. 210 protestersThat includes. Large number of minorsThis makes things more complicated.At the same time, the Philippine military also announced its entry. Red alertState, the national troops cancelled holidays, all in standby state.
What's even more surprising is that Marcos originally planned Visit to the United StatesAlso forced to cancel.A president who was about to visit abroad was suddenly forced to stay at home to deal with the crisis. The seriousness of the situation。
Little Marcus has done it again.
The root of all this is from 52 years ago.Speaking of it. 21 September 1972, father of Marcos Jr. The old Marcus.Martial law was declared across the country, beginning a 14-year dictatorship.
At that time in the Philippines, political corruption prevailed, Marcos FamilyThe use of power to gain money is estimated to be corrupt. Billions of Billions。In 1986, under the pressure of a popular uprising, Marcos Sr. was forced to flee United States HawaiianHe died from illness in 1989.
But the political legacy of the Marcos family did not disappear. corruption scandal flood prevention, is simply a replica of the old Marcos era.According to the investigation, this project, which is supposed to protect people from floods, actually has a large number of " The Ghost Project"。
The funds have already been allocated, but the scene is even Not a single brick moved.Contractors and officials colluded to "pump water" the budget layer.According to the Philippine Ministry of Finance, Since 2023This corruption case has surpassed. A billion pesos.The loss amounts to billions of yuan.
Arrived 2024 Rainy SeasonThe flood once again crashed the city's defense line, and a medium-intensity typhoon collapsed the newly rebuilt dam in several places. Liu Song IslandMore than 6 million peopleIn some neighborhoods of Manila, water is deep. Two meters。
The people openly watched the budget was layered "pumping water", and finally a decent one. The drainage gapNothing seen.What is even more annoying is that this scandal is also involved in the little Marcus. political allies。
His cousin, chairman of the House. by RomualdesHe has resigned on corruption charges, which has left the Marcos government. CredibilityThe complete bankruptcy.The Philippine media bluntly pointed out that this corruption pattern has become " Family business", passed from father to son.
History seems to be repeating itself, but only this time, the little Marcus faces. Degree of AwarenessMuch higher than in his father's time.
Chinese ambassador to the Philippines.
In the Philippines. Fire is four.At that time, another heavy news came. September 19thChinese Ambassador to the Philippines The Yellow River.He resigned after meeting with Philippine Foreign Minister Lazarus.
The scene photo shows Lazarus holding the hand of the Yellow Ridge, speaking gently, calling the Philippines. Always believe dialogue can solve problems."。But the reaction of Zhou Lian was profound: "Hope Sino-Philippine relationsjoint efforts by both sides. Getting back on track。"
This sentence may seem polite, but it is actually China's response to the Philippines Clear warning。What do you mean "getting back on track"? This means that the current bilateral relationship has Went off track。
Even more notable is the position of the Chinese ambassador to the Philippines after the departure of Huang Tian. Temporary emptyChina has not announced its successor so far.In the field of diplomacy, this is usually seen as Relationship DeclineThe signs.
Reminded by 2021China has reduced its diplomatic relations to the official level due to Lithuania's involvement in Taiwan and has not been restored so far.If the Philippines fails, it is possible. Follow the trail.。The Philippine government is worried. economic consequences。
by 2024Bilateral trade volume reached 509.9 billion yuanChina is the third largest trading partner of the Philippines.Exported from the Philippines Banana, pineapple, nickel oreAnd other products, more than 40%Depending on the Chinese market.If China launches economic countermeasures, the Philippines will bear An incalculable loss。
Lithuania’s lessons are in sight: After 2021Neutral trade declines in one year 40%Lithuania has so far failed to restore relations with China.The Philippines economy is more dependent on China than Lithuania. much higher。
As one Filipino businessman privately said: “We can’t be separated from China economically, but we can’t be separated from China politically.” Completely turned to America.Isn't that shooting yourself in the foot? "
Marcos miscalculated
The Little Marcus. Strategic misjudgmentThey were doomed to failure from the beginning.After his appointment, he completely changed his predecessor. by DuterteA balanced foreign policy, choosing to completely turn to the United States.Not only in South China SeaFrequent provocations also allowed US troops to be deployed in the Philippines Internal systemAnd even extending hands to the ocean.
The Philippine Defence Minister said. Something in the sea.Will intervene ", completely trampling on China's red line.Marcus believed that by supporting the United States, he could force China to make concessions. Wrong calculation.。The reality is cruel: the US just gave it. empty promiseChina controls the Philippine economy.
Marcus promised to get it from the United States last year. 100 billion investmentIt is believed that family beauty can bring practical benefits.The investment has gone blurred, and the Philippines has also been added by the United States. Tariffs of 19%。
Ironically, the Philippines Agricultural products, fruitsBecause the deterioration of China-Philippines relations cannot normally export to China, farmers suffer.A sluggish economy and high inflation have become the most pressing issues, but the Marcos administration Handlessly。
The latest poll shows that Marcos’ support has fallen. 25%And his opponent, Duterte’s daughter. by SarahHigh Support Rate 59%。Under this discrepancy, the opposition is likely to plot against Marcos.” Join hands to act"。
Especially in the Philippines. Incredibly hit.。Recently, China Fujian shipCruising in the South China Sea, the force of "stopping" made the Philippine military increasingly "desperate".As an international observer said: "The greatest wisdom of small countries in the game between big countries is Maintain a balance“Not on the side side.”
The Marcos government tied the Philippines to the "pirate ship" of the United States, and finally gained economic and military " Lose-lose“The end of. Game of great powersNot on the streets, the touchers are destined to lose everything.China will continue to use Steady and firmThe pace of protecting sovereignty and regional peace.
conclusion
Marcus’ trouble reflects small nations in the game of great powers. Lack of survival intelligenceOften on the side. Not to pay.。China-Philippines relations will be difficult to repair in the short term, and the Philippine economy will be under greater pressure. Political StabilityFacing severe tests.
How do small countries work in a complex geological environment? Balancing relations between major powersWhat do you think?