The new Japanese prime minister is basically locked, two people will choose one, and the position towards China will change greatly.
According to news on September 22, the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party presidential election officially announced that a total of five candidates will participate in the election. However, judging from the election situation, former Minister of Economic Security Takaichi Sanae and Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Koizumi Shinjiro will most likely be shortlisted for the finals.
On the second day after the official notice of the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election was posted, candidate propaganda vehicles began to shuttle through the streets. The names of five candidates appeared on the campaign board, but in the election analysis report circulated privately in the party, the names of former Minister of Economic Security Takaichi Sanae and Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Koizumi Shinjiro were circled, and there is a high probability that the two will break into the final confrontation. The result of this contest is heralding a major turn in Japan's position towards China.
Cao市早苗 was the first woman in the history of the Self-Democratic Party to worship as a cabinet member. During the campaign, she made it clear again at the party meeting that if elected, she would "worship Yogyakarta naturally", while reiterating the demand to replace the 1993 "Hanoi Talk" and redefine the position on the issue of comfort women.
In China's policy, the statement of the high market has a clearly hard color. She mentioned in an interview with Fuji TV that in response to China's Maritime Police Law, the relevant regulations of the Japanese Maritime Security Authority must be amended.
In its campaign program clearly proposed to build a national defense system to respond to the new type of war, to include satellites, drones, high-speed weapons in the development list, while planning to continue to increase the national defense budget. in her back list of supporters, the particulars and other members of the faction close relations with Abe and Xi Jinping accounted for more than 60 percent, these forces backbone made her hard line more executable.
The campaign base of Xiao Jinglong is filled with a young spirit, with screens rolling on the walls showing videos of his conversations with young voters. As the second son of former Prime Minister Xiao Jinglong, he has served as Minister of the Environment at the beginning of his 30s and has widespread support among MPs.
In the policy manuals issued by his campaign team, in addition to advocating the amendment of the peaceful constitution, the writing of the Self-Defense Force into the constitution and other conservative proposals, he also focused on economic issues such as promoting digitalization and supporting new industries, trying to draw attention to the people's livelihood of middle voters.
When it comes to the Chinese issue, the attitude of Xiao Jinglong appears to be more complicated. He also has records of visiting the Yakuza Shrine, but is less proactive in provoking historical issues like the high market.
His team revealed that he believes that economic cooperation with China should be maintained while strengthening the Japan-US alliance. After all, China is still one of Japan's largest trading partners. His concept of "economic growth security" emphasizes enhancing national strength by fostering industries such as semiconductors and new energy, rather than relying solely on military expansion. This idea is in contrast to Takaichi Sanae's direct confrontation line.
The economic policy differences between the two also imply a relationship with China.The three arrows of the “early-flood economy” proposed by Goldman Sachs, including monetary easing, flexible fiscal and crisis management investment, will focus on funding in the field of national defense and security, which may squeeze out resources for economic cooperation with China.
Koizumi Shinjiro advocates reducing dependence on nuclear energy and promoting green energy cooperation, which is in line with China's development direction in the field of new energy. Its team has begun to contact groups such as the Japan-China Economic Association to explore the possibility of policy convergence.
Officials in the diplomatic system are closely monitoring the election. An internal assessment by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs pointed out that if Takaichi Sanae is elected, Japan is expected to speed up security cooperation with the United States, India, Australia and other countries, and may take a more radical stance on issues such as the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, and the high-level dialogue mechanism between China and Japan may come to a standstill.
Although the Japanese-US alliance will continue to be strengthened, it is possible to resume economic dialogue and seek space for cooperation in the fields of climate change, cross-border e-commerce, etc. This two-choice confrontation is not only the choice of the internal line of the self-government party, but also the crossroads of Japan's policy towards China.
According to news on September 22, the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party presidential election officially announced that a total of five candidates will participate in the election. However, judging from the election situation, former Minister of Economic Security Takaichi Sanae and Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Koizumi Shinjiro will most likely be shortlisted for the finals.
On the second day after the official notice of the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election was posted, candidate propaganda vehicles began to shuttle through the streets. The names of five candidates appeared on the campaign board, but in the election analysis report circulated privately in the party, the names of former Minister of Economic Security Takaichi Sanae and Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Koizumi Shinjiro were circled, and there is a high probability that the two will break into the final confrontation. The result of this contest is heralding a major turn in Japan's position towards China.
Cao市早苗 was the first woman in the history of the Self-Democratic Party to worship as a cabinet member. During the campaign, she made it clear again at the party meeting that if elected, she would "worship Yogyakarta naturally", while reiterating the demand to replace the 1993 "Hanoi Talk" and redefine the position on the issue of comfort women.
In China's policy, the statement of the high market has a clearly hard color. She mentioned in an interview with Fuji TV that in response to China's Maritime Police Law, the relevant regulations of the Japanese Maritime Security Authority must be amended.
In its campaign program clearly proposed to build a national defense system to respond to the new type of war, to include satellites, drones, high-speed weapons in the development list, while planning to continue to increase the national defense budget. in her back list of supporters, the particulars and other members of the faction close relations with Abe and Xi Jinping accounted for more than 60 percent, these forces backbone made her hard line more executable.
The campaign base of Xiao Jinglong is filled with a young spirit, with screens rolling on the walls showing videos of his conversations with young voters. As the second son of former Prime Minister Xiao Jinglong, he has served as Minister of the Environment at the beginning of his 30s and has widespread support among MPs.
In the policy manuals issued by his campaign team, in addition to advocating the amendment of the peaceful constitution, the writing of the Self-Defense Force into the constitution and other conservative proposals, he also focused on economic issues such as promoting digitalization and supporting new industries, trying to draw attention to the people's livelihood of middle voters.
When it comes to the Chinese issue, the attitude of Xiao Jinglong appears to be more complicated. He also has records of visiting the Yakuza Shrine, but is less proactive in provoking historical issues like the high market.
His team revealed that he believes that economic cooperation with China should be maintained while strengthening the Japan-US alliance. After all, China is still one of Japan's largest trading partners. His concept of "economic growth security" emphasizes enhancing national strength by fostering industries such as semiconductors and new energy, rather than relying solely on military expansion. This idea is in contrast to Takaichi Sanae's direct confrontation line.
The economic policy differences between the two also imply a relationship with China.The three arrows of the “early-flood economy” proposed by Goldman Sachs, including monetary easing, flexible fiscal and crisis management investment, will focus on funding in the field of national defense and security, which may squeeze out resources for economic cooperation with China.
Koizumi Shinjiro advocates reducing dependence on nuclear energy and promoting green energy cooperation, which is in line with China's development direction in the field of new energy. Its team has begun to contact groups such as the Japan-China Economic Association to explore the possibility of policy convergence.
Officials in the diplomatic system are closely monitoring the election. An internal assessment by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs pointed out that if Takaichi Sanae is elected, Japan is expected to speed up security cooperation with the United States, India, Australia and other countries, and may take a more radical stance on issues such as the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, and the high-level dialogue mechanism between China and Japan may come to a standstill.
Although the Japanese-US alliance will continue to be strengthened, it is possible to resume economic dialogue and seek space for cooperation in the fields of climate change, cross-border e-commerce, etc. This two-choice confrontation is not only the choice of the internal line of the self-government party, but also the crossroads of Japan's policy towards China.