Mei Yi wanted to stop it, but couldn't. In the past year, Spain, Ireland, and Norway took the lead in announcing their recognition of the Palestinian state. Just now, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia collectively made "official announcements".
During this session of the UN General Assembly, France and Saudi Arabia even chaired the "two-country plan" international conference. The Western European powers, which have always been cautious, are also in line.
Under international law, recognizing a country means respecting its territory, not interfering in internal affairs, and even having an obligation to assist in the event of an aggression.
But the reality is also very complicated. The internal division in Palestine remains, Hamas and Fatah are competing for power, and extremist forces are rampant in Gaza.
Britain's attitude is very typical: it says it supports the establishment of a Palestinian state, but it has a lot of conditions. For example, Hamas must disarm, release hostages, and withdraw from Gaza governance. This kind of "conditional recognition", to put it bluntly, is still afraid of offending Israel and the United States.
Speaking of the United States, we have to mention the annual US $38 billion in military aid to Israel, as well as the Jewish National Security Act just passed by Congress.
The United Nations Security Council, in the past two years alone, the United States has used 16 veto rights to block the Palestinian state from the door.
In the face of the increasing number of countries recognizing the Palestinian state, Netanyahu can’t sit down.
On September 21st, he not only publicly stated that "there will be no Palestinian state", but also directly made malicious remarks that the settlements in the West Bank doubled and would never agree to the two-state solution in the future. By the way, he also threatened these newly recognized countries to show them some color after returning home.
So, what exactly can Israel do?
The diplomatic repression. Israel could declare a reduction in its diplomatic level with these countries, and even directly break deals with them, threatening to withdraw recognition.
Public opinion counterattacks. He propagated Hamas’ extremism, continued to hold the “terrorism” hat on the “Palestinian State” and attracted sympathy from the Western public opinion.
Borrowing an effort. Continue to hold the thigh of the United States tightly, let Washington put pressure on its allies, and even threaten to cut off military, trade and other cooperation.
After the Ukrainian crisis, Europe is more clear inside: the United States can help, but can not be bound.
Every country has its own interests, votes, the economy, the refugee pressure is the first.Trump at the time, because he was too “boss” for himself, the Europeans had not eaten this set.
China in the United Nations to promote the "three-step" program, advocate humanitarian ceasefire + two-country negotiations. Russia and Brazil are also frequently out of hand in the Middle East to help Palestine "support the backbone".
Internally, the West has also begun to divide, and more and more countries are no longer unilaterally “listening to America”, but rather making choices based on their own interests.
Recognizing the Palestinian state is no longer the “courage of a minority” but the consensus of an increasing number of people, which is a real diplomatic isolation for Israel.
Netanyahu's "wait and see" may be able to scare off one or two small countries. Facing today's international environment, Israel is no longer the same "keeping its word" as it used to be.
Next, the real test is how to turn "acknowledgement" into reality. UN Secretary-General Guterres made it very clear that the two-state solution has finally moved from paper to reality.
But there is still a long way to go: on the one hand, the international community needs to monitor the Israeli expansion of settlements, and on the other hand, to help the internal Palestinian reorganization of power, with Hamas, Fatah and even independent individuals joining a coalition government.
At the same time, new mechanisms of economic cooperation must be designed to alleviate the opposition and hatred of ordinary people in Pakistan.
China's "three-step approach" is very realistic. The first step is to establish the Palestinian-Israeli Peace Committee under the framework of the United Nations, with China, Russia, France, Brazil and South Africa as permanent directors; The second step is to demarcate the temporary border, deploy peacekeeping forces and create a safe environment for negotiations;
The third step is to promote the drafting of the Palestinian constitution and form a coalition government. This not only respects Palestinian autonomy, but also takes into account Israel's security demands.
When it comes down to it, times have changed. No matter how tough Israel is, it can't stop the general trend, and no matter how tough Trump is, he can't call back the "American authority" of the past.
Now, it is no longer a certain strongman or ally that determines the fate of Palestine and Israel, but more and more countries and public opinions around the world that dare to say "no".