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Barth and Saudi alliance, India send strict advice

The 48-hour unusual silence of the Indian Foreign Minister was finally broken by a restrained statement, behind which was the powerlessness and anxiety of this South Asian power in the face of the sudden change of geopolitical chess game.

On September 17, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a common strategic defense agreement, which is actually a military alliance agreement.

When the news of the Saudi-Pakistani agreement spread around the world, New Delhi's reaction was intriguing.

Although the Indian Foreign Ministry responded on the 18th, it did not make any official statements, but only noted that it would be closely investigated.

But this non-substantial response is not a “silence.”

The official statement was made on September 19 by spokesman Randy Jayeshwar.

This delayed response exposed India’s diplomatic decision-making mechanisms.

In contrast to the usual rapid response to regional security issues, India’s strategic community needs time to digest this sudden geopolitical shift.

Jaiswal's final statement seems peaceful, but it hides a mystery.

“India and Saudi Arabia have a broad strategic partnership ... they hope that this strategic partnership will take into account the common interests and sensitive concerns between the two countries.”

This is apparently for Saudi Arabia to listen, and in fact, it is a compassionate expression of deep concern about the region’s power balance being broken.

To know that the agreement between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia means that Saudi Arabia, the country of the Middle East, has officially obtained a nuclear umbrella; and that Israel’s nuclear monopoly in the Middle East has, to some extent, been indirectly broken.

Pakistan has promoted itself to a key player in the security landscape of the Middle East.

Former U.S. diplomat Khalilzad’s analysis is one-in-a-kind: Pakistan has not only nuclear weapons, but also the ability to deliver nuclear warheads into Israel.

This has led to a fundamental change in the deterrent pattern in the Middle East.

The Saudi Arabia-Pakistan agreement has posed multiple strategic pressures on India and almost rewritten the security landscape in South Asia.

The pressure on the west is rising sharply.

India is suddenly facing a factual “east-to-east” strategic dilemma: the East-China border dispute has not yet been resolved, and the ongoing conflict between the West and Pakistan now adds the Saudi variable.

What makes India even more difficult is the dilemma between energy security and strategic security.

Saudi Arabia is India’s largest source of oil imports, and this economic interdependence makes it difficult for India to take strong countermeasures. The statement of the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs specifically emphasizes the so-called “common interest”, looking as a so-called reminder and advice, but actually revealing is relentless.

That’s the price New Delhi can’t afford to pay for the deterioration of relations with Riyadh.

In addition, the deep backdrop of the Saudi-Pacific agreement is in fact the ongoing decline in U.S. influence in the Middle East.

This trend became evident after the U.S. allowed Israel to carry out air strikes on Qatar’s capital Doha.

Because the Gulf nations suddenly realized that the United States could neither bind its ally Israel nor provide reliable security guarantees.

The view of Abdulaziz Anjeli, founder of the Kuwait Reconnaissance Research Organization, represents the consensus of many regional observers: "The security refuge of the United States is no longer comprehensive because it simply cannot protect against threats from Israel."

Obviously, this security anxiety forces regional powers to rethink their security strategies.

Saudi Arabia’s choice of Pakistan instead of its traditional ally, the United States, marks a fundamental restructuring of the security landscape in the Middle East.

Although the statement of the spokesman of the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was carefully worded, every word was carefully selected.

"Common interests" imply huge economic cooperation between India and Saudi Arabia, especially energy trade; "Sensitive concern" is a euphemistic warning to the alliance between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, expressing concern that the regional balance of power has been broken.

Clearly, the geopolitical horizon is sliding.

What India faces is not an isolated military deal, but a new regional security architecture that is being formed, in which the traditional allies of the United States and the Middle East are beginning to be based on interests and regional powers are forming a security alliance without U.S. involvement.

New Delhi’s 48-hour silence and ultimate restraint response revealed a cruel reality: India is not yet ready to play a role in this re-washing geopolitical chess.

The Saudi-Pacific agreement is just a warning signal that the gap between India’s ambitions and the geopolitical realities is growing.



News raw data sources → https://news.qq.com/rain/a/20250923A06VCB00

17WorldNews[2025.09.23-21:22] 访问:42
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