Japan's new prime minister is basically determined to choose one of the two. Why do you say that Sino-Japanese relations will usher in new changes after the new prime minister takes office? If China and Japan go to war in the future, what will be the outcome?

After the resignation announcement, the Japanese prime minister's election entered a new round of play, according to media reports, The presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party, that is, the candidate for the new Japanese prime minister, is basically locked, and it is likely to be decided among two popular candidates, one is sanae takaichi, a former economic security official, and the other is Koizumi Shinjiro, an agriculture, forestry and fisheries official.While there are only 11 days left until the final election results, it can be assured that whether the two wins the final election, the relationship between China and Japan will change.

First of all, let's get to know Takaichi Sanae. She is not a new face. In the previous presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party, Takaichi Sanae was also one of the candidates, but she lost her hald in the final vote. This time she rallied to stand for election, which shows that she has some confidence in winning the election. So, what kind of politician is Takaichi Sanae? To describe it in two words, it is ¡°hard¡±.In her view, Japan needs to have counter-attack capabilities, and at the level of economic development, Japan needs to constantly strengthen its investment censorship mechanism. So, if she wins the election and becomes prime minister of Japan, the relationship with China may change at two points. First, it is the military interaction between the United States and Japan, and the deterrence against China will increase. After all, Japan understands that if it wants to keep the United States loose against Japan and allow Japan to develop military power, Japan must act as a good "anti-China vanguard" in the Asia-Pacific region.

So, On the basis of previous U.S. and Japanese cooperation, Japan will further increase its anti-China efforts.On the one hand, there will be more and more joint military exercises between the United States and Japan. Through joint military exercises, while Japan shows China its position of containing China, it can also enhance Japan's military strength by arming Japan by the United States. To give the most typical example, just this month, the United States took the opportunity of joint military exercises with Japan and deployed the "Typhon" intermediate missile system in Japan despite China's opposition. In this way, the United States not only consolidated the first island chain, but also enabled Japan to have the ability to attack China. On the other hand, Japan's performance will become more and more radical on issues where it has differences with China. The most typical one here is undoubtedly the Diaoyu Islands issue. In the future, Japan is likely to learn from the Philippines and send more and more ships into the Diaoyu Islands waters. In this way, they want to gain greater support from the United States. Therefore, after Takaichi Sanae came to power, the military confrontation between China and Japan will continue to strengthen, and correspondingly, the probability of strategic misjudgment between the two sides will be greatly increased.

Second, the economic cooperation between China and Japan will face a test. As we all know, Japan obeys the policy of the United States, so Japan can basically follow up on the economic policy of the United States towards China in real time. From this point of view, what Takaichi Sanae said about strengthening the investment review mechanism is actually the investment review in China. If this is the case, the economic cooperation between China and Japan will inevitably be affected. Once the Sino-US negotiations reach a certain extent, the United States is likely to ask its allies to contain China's trade. By then, Japan is bound to become a member of containing China. As a result, the Prime Minister of Japan was taken, and the impact on China-Japan relations was likely to be more harmful than beneficial.

Secondly, let¡¯s talk about Xiao Jinglong. Compared to the hardness of the high market, Xiao Jinglong appears to be softer. Especially at the economic and trade level, his attitude toward China is more pragmatic, advocating cooperation and communication to ease the differences between the two countries. However, in addition to the gentleness, Xiaohua also has its anti-Chinese side, for example, he went to worship the A-class war criminals of the Yakuza shrine.

So, no matter what, no matter who is elected prime minister of Japan, China-Japan relations will come up with new changes, but there is a good saying, "The change is not apart from its purpose", their policy against China will still be based on the U.S. position against China. In this way, back to the point of view just mentioned, the probability of strategic misjudgment between China-Japan will increase to different degrees.

There is only one end, that is. Japan ¡°will not be a country¡±The reason is simple, although Japan has the support of the United States, it has a deadly weakness, that is, there is no strategic depth.

Believe this reason Japan will not fail to understand, so Japan cooperates with the U.S. policy against China, in fact, in the end is only "dissuasion", the United States wants Japan directly against China, the possibility is small. after all, Japan can not lose its country for the United States.